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Southern District vs Sunshine Coast Phoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 101-71
28-17 17-18 20-17 36-19
Position#1
Record7-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game86.7
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Southern District v Sunshine Coast Phoenix
26 Jul 2025
SOUT101
SUNS71
28 Apr 2024
SOUT73
SUNS80
01 Apr 2023
SOUT73
SUNS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern District winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sunshine Coast Phoenix winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
107-114
107
114
-7
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
96-117
96
117
-21
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A13/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
104-90
104
90
+14
A14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H21/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H28/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H04/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A12/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
118-110
118
110
+8
A19/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
24-17
21-17
23-15
32-32
24-21
30-34
21-27
30-35
22-29
20-26
24-27
26-37
24-23
27-22
18-21
17-25
22-21
36-22
29-22
23-21
18-14
16-23
27-25
18-20
17-23
18-21
19-24
15-30
32-20
27-19
31-28
26-24
22-23
25-17
22-23
28-27
34-35
20-24
36-24
192.7Avg total
95.9Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.897.0191.8-2.254%
Season at home (6)87.292.2179.3-5.050%
Season away (7)101.3101.1202.4+0.157%
Last 10 (10)95.996.8192.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)94.893.0187.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.0106.0195.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)92.290.2182.4+1.956%
vs Weaker (11)95.790.2185.9+5.564%
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H24/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
H31/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A06/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
H21/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
79-114
79
114
-35
A28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
A05/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
78-102
78
102
-24
H06/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H19/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
26-21
16-28
26-17
23-33
17-24
19-26
20-27
22-10
20-16
23-19
14-18
24-26
27-14
33-25
14-12
32-25
17-17
15-10
21-16
38-25
27-19
17-24
30-17
15-20
20-34
21-31
23-29
36-30
31-19
22-17
19-27
16-29
22-29
18-17
22-27
18-24
18-21
25-17
27-21
177.6Avg total
89.9Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.486.7178.1+4.769%
Season at home (7)95.190.9186.0+4.371%
Season away (6)87.081.8168.8+5.267%
Last 10 (10)89.987.7177.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)93.095.4188.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.094.1176.1-12.111%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.190.5180.5-0.469%
vs Weaker (8)91.879.2171.0+12.575%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
Southern DistrictSunshine Coast Phoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A13/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H04/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A12/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A19/07
NBL1 North
97.6Avg total
46.9Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.445.992.3+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.542.786.2+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)49.048.797.7+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)46.950.797.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)46.647.494.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.752.0101.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.744.288.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)48.146.694.7+1.545%-
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northside Wizards
#9
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H24/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H31/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A06/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H21/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A05/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H06/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H19/07
NBL1 North
92.6Avg total
47.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.390.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.245.193.2+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)43.943.487.3+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)47.445.292.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.250.098.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.046.788.7-4.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.044.990.9+1.162%-
vs Weaker (8)51.240.591.8+10.888%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern District wins
3
Sunshine Coast Phoenix wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25AIpswich Force118-110
12/07/25ANorthside Wizards95-87
04/07/25HGold Coast Rollers105-97
28/06/25HSouth West Metro Pirates72-88
21/06/25HMackay Meteors84-83
14/06/25ACairns Marlins104-90
13/06/25ATownsville Heat95-103
07/06/25HRockhampton Rockets96-117
31/05/25ABrisbane Capitals107-114
17/05/25HNorthside Wizards83-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25HBrisbane Capitals88-83
06/07/25HSouth West Metro Pirates78-102
05/07/25ALogan Thunder108-93
28/06/25ABrisbane Capitals79-114
21/06/25HRockhampton Rockets112-85
14/06/25ANorthside Wizards85-68
07/06/25ATownsville Heat98-77
06/06/25ACairns Marlins79-63
31/05/25HGold Coast Rollers79-110
24/05/25HNorthside Wizards93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern District
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game94.887.2101.3
Allowed / game97.092.2101.1
Point differential-2.2-5.0+0.1
Avg total191.8179.3202.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game91.495.187.0
Allowed / game86.790.981.8
Point differential+4.7+4.3+5.2
Avg total178.1186.0168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sunshine Coast Phoenix139469%91.486.7+4.7
2 Brisbane Capitals149564%99.892.6+7.2
3 Gold Coast Rollers149564%96.592.5+4.0
4 Mackay Meteors148657%96.995.2+1.6
5 Southern District137654%94.897.0-2.2
6 Rockhampton Rockets147750%93.594.2-0.7
7 Ipswich Force147750%95.897.3-1.5
8 South West Metro Pirates136746%91.591.5-0.1
9 Northside Wizards146843%87.488.4-1.1
10 Logan Thunder135838%95.896.2-0.4
11 Townsville Heat145936%90.392.4-2.1
12 Cairns Marlins1441029%90.199.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern District28172036101
Sunshine Coast Phoenix1718171971
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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