PythiaBasketballBETA
SLB· Surrey Sports Park
Surrey 89ers host Caledonia Gladiators on 19 November 2026 in the SLB, with Pythia designating the 89ers as the favourite at 75% versus 25% for Caledonia, a reflection of Surrey's 3-5 season record, 78.9 points scored and 81.6 allowed per game, and a higher league position at 9 compared to Caledonia's 3-4 record, 83.9 points scored and 93.0 allowed per game and a position of 8; the model's confidence is further reinforced by Surrey's 1-2 home record of 85.7 points scored and 89.3 allowed and their recent 2-3 run over the last five games, including a 77-80 loss to London Lions, a 68-53 win over Bristol Flyers and a 76-81 defeat to Sheffield Sharks, while Caledonia's 1-3 road record of 82.5 points scored and 100.0 allowed and their 2-3 run in the last five games, highlighted by a 94-92 win over Manchester Basketball, a 93-119 loss to Liverpool and a 92-99 defeat to Newcastle Eagles, show a more uneven performance; in their nine meetings the 89ers have won six to three, though Caledonia's last encounter on 17 April 2026 ended 120-117 in Caledonia's favour, suggesting a competitive matchup; Pythia projects a final score of 91-83 for Surrey, a total of 173.7 points and an overtime probability of 4%, with the home team's line at 91-83 and the model estimating a 75% chance that Surrey will cover the spread.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 78.9 | 81.6 | 160.5 | -2.8 | 38% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.7 | 89.3 | 175.0 | -3.7 | 33% |
| Season away (5) | 74.8 | 77.0 | 151.8 | -2.2 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.2 | 88.1 | 170.3 | -5.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.6 | 77.4 | 154.0 | -0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 81.5 | 94.0 | 175.5 | -12.5 | 8% |
| vs Similar (15) | 88.2 | 84.9 | 173.1 | +3.3 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 117.0 | 120.0 | 237.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 83.9 | 93.0 | 176.9 | -9.1 | 43% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.7 | 83.7 | 169.3 | +2.0 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 82.5 | 100.0 | 182.5 | -17.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.0 | 97.0 | 186.0 | -8.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.6 | 96.0 | 182.6 | -9.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (29) | 82.0 | 93.6 | 175.6 | -11.7 | 28% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.9 | 45.3 | 88.2 | -2.4 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 45.5 | 46.3 | 91.8 | -0.8 | 54% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.9 | 44.5 | 85.4 | -3.6 | 35% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 47.5 | 90.6 | -4.4 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 46.0 | 87.2 | -4.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 40.8 | 46.2 | 87.0 | -5.5 | 23% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 43.7 | 43.3 | 87.0 | +0.5 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 60.0 | 52.0 | 112.0 | +8.0 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 46.9 | 86.7 | -7.1 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.7 | 44.4 | 83.1 | -5.6 | 14% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.8 | 49.2 | 89.9 | -8.4 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.5 | 47.2 | 91.7 | -2.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 47.4 | 93.0 | -1.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (29) | 39.8 | 46.6 | 86.4 | -6.8 | 21% | - |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.8 | 20.7 | 50.9% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.8 | 9.1 | 34.9% | 27.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 14.1 | 70.8% | 14.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.0 | 23.8 | 50.9% | 47.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 9.9 | 34.9% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.4 | 10.9 | 70.8% | 10.9 |
Surrey 89ers| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 | Surrey 89ers v Caledonia Gladiators | 117-120 OT |
| 11/01/26 | Caledonia Gladiators v Surrey 89ers | 73-86 |
| 12/12/25 | Surrey 89ers v Caledonia Gladiators | 99-69 |
| 16/11/25 | Caledonia Gladiators v Surrey 89ers | 76-93 |
| 11/10/25 | Surrey 89ers v Caledonia Gladiators | 85-100 |
| 09/04/25 | Caledonia Gladiators v Surrey 89ers | 90-81 |
| 01/03/25 | Surrey 89ers v Caledonia Gladiators | 79-71 |
| 02/02/25 | Caledonia Gladiators v Surrey 89ers | 68-77 |
| 09/11/24 | Surrey 89ers v Caledonia Gladiators | 92-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | London Lions | 77-80 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 68-53 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Sheffield Sharks | 76-81 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 107-91 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 55-82 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Leicester Riders | 107-102 OT |
| 10/10/26 | H | Liverpool | 74-85 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 67-79 |
| 03/05/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 95-100 |
| 01/05/26 | H | Cheshire Phoenix | 96-128 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Liverpool | 93-119 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 92-99 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 94-92 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Sheffield Sharks | 87-79 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 67-91 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Sheffield Sharks | 76-98 |
| 20/09/26 | H | Liverpool | 78-73 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Bristol Flyers | 82-91 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 101-111 |
| 17/04/26 | A | Surrey 89ers | 120-117 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 38% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | LLWWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Points / game | 78.9 | 85.7 | 74.8 |
| Allowed / game | 81.6 | 89.3 | 77.0 |
| Point differential | -2.8 | -3.7 | -2.2 |
| Avg total | 160.5 | 175.0 | 151.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 0% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 33% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 43% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.9 | 85.7 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 93.0 | 83.7 | 100.0 |
| Point differential | -9.1 | +2.0 | -17.5 |
| Avg total | 176.9 | 169.3 | 182.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  London Lions | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 81.4 | 75.9 | +5.5 |
| 2 |  Newcastle Eagles | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 84.7 | 76.6 | +8.1 |
| 3 |  Sheffield Sharks | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.7 | 81.4 | +2.3 |
| 4 |  Bristol Flyers | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 77.5 | 77.9 | -0.4 |
| 5 |  Manchester Basketball | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 81.3 | 83.2 | -1.9 |
| 6 |  Cheshire Phoenix | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 94.9 | 95.0 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.2 | 84.3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Caledonia Gladiators | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.9 | 93.0 | -9.1 |
| 9 | Surrey 89ers | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 78.9 | 81.6 | -2.8 |
| 10 |  Leicester Riders | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 84.2 | 89.4 | -5.1 |
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