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Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 103-74
30-25 18-17 21-13 34-19
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#9
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Sutherland Sharks v Newcastle Falcons
10 May 2025
SUTH103
NEWC74
25 May 2024
SUTH74
NEWC67
11 Mar 2023
SUTH76
NEWC71
14 Aug 2022
SUTH61
NEWC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutherland Sharks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutherland SharksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#10
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H05/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
74-120
74
120
-46
A06/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H13/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H14/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H29/03
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A05/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H25/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A27/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
106-90
106
90
+16
A03/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
17-22
27-16
22-27
21-33
20-27
13-36
20-24
21-19
21-14
26-14
25-27
29-20
16-26
8-15
23-15
17-16
23-23
21-22
20-17
20-22
20-15
23-15
14-18
11-25
24-15
25-10
23-16
17-30
18-8
30-17
23-15
20-23
17-24
18-16
20-21
23-11
25-25
22-32
36-22
166.6Avg total
84.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.076.3161.3+8.783%
Season at home (3)84.071.3155.3+12.7100%
Season away (3)86.081.3167.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)84.082.6166.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)85.876.0161.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.994.6175.6-13.722%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.273.8153.0+5.480%
vs Weaker (7)91.376.0167.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H29/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H29/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
77-88 OT
77
88
-11
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
24-23
26-19
15-12
30-12
25-31
15-23
34-31
12-20
23-11
23-23
18-26
15-17
20-28
18-24
11-16
24-19
11-23
15-15
17-14
20-24
11-25
26-21
14-28
18-27
21-22
23-13
10-15
26-18
26-22
21-18
11-10
25-24
17-13
12-14
15-18
21-8
27-13
12-22
24-18
157.8Avg total
77.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.877.2153.0-1.333%
Season at home (4)76.869.2146.0+7.550%
Season away (2)74.093.0167.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)77.780.1157.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.684.2155.8-12.618%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.368.0140.3+4.350%
vs Weaker (7)84.478.0162.4+6.471%
This opponent (Sutherland Sharks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
Sutherland SharksNewcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sutherland SharksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#10
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H05/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A06/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H13/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H14/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/03
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H25/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/05
NBL1 East
81.5Avg total
39.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.184.9-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.741.381.0-1.646%-
Last 30 away (17)41.646.287.9-4.641%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.181.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.678.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.648.489.0-7.928%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.236.874.0+0.440%-
vs Weaker (7)44.038.182.1+5.986%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H29/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H07/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H29/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H03/05
NBL1 East
81.1Avg total
40.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.678.0-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.437.775.1-0.353%-
Last 30 away (13)37.444.481.8-7.023%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.281.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.044.279.2-9.224%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.531.069.5+7.567%-
vs Weaker (7)42.340.082.3+2.357%-
This opponent (Sutherland Sharks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sutherland Sharks wins
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AInner West Bulls106-90
27/04/25ANorths Bears75-84
25/04/25HIllawarra Hawks 288-70
12/04/25HBankstown Bruins83-66
05/04/25AHills Hornets77-70
29/03/25HPenrith P.81-78
14/07/24HBankstown Bruins83-86 OT
13/07/24HIllawarra Hawks93-74
06/07/24AMaitland M.74-120
05/07/24HNorths Bears80-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HMaitland M.84-61
26/04/25AIllawarra Hawks 277-88 OT
12/04/25HIllawarra Hawks 284-68
06/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits72-77
05/04/25ACentral Coast Crusaders71-98
29/03/25HSydney Comets67-71
13/07/24HMaitland M.64-85
07/07/24HInner West Bulls76-80
06/07/24AHornsby S.104-97
29/06/24HHills Hornets78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutherland Sharks
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game85.084.086.0
Allowed / game76.371.381.3
Point differential+8.7+12.7+4.7
Avg total161.3155.3167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.876.874.0
Allowed / game77.269.293.0
Point differential-1.3+7.5-19.0
Avg total153.0146.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra660100%97.276.2+21.0
2 BA CoE76186%89.066.7+22.3
3 Sutherland Sharks65183%85.076.3+8.7
4 Maitland M.64267%87.380.5+6.8
5 Illawarra Hawks 264267%83.581.0+2.5
6 Sydney Comets85362%74.269.5+4.8
7 Inner West Bulls63350%88.787.8+0.8
8 Hills Hornets73443%75.775.3+0.4
9 Manly W.73443%77.078.6-1.6
10 Norths Bears73443%70.974.9-4.0
11 Bankstown Bruins73443%77.385.0-7.7
12 Newcastle Falcons62433%75.877.2-1.3
13 Central Coast Crusaders62433%78.281.5-3.3
14 Penrith P.72529%75.687.7-12.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits61517%70.791.5-20.8
16 Hornsby S.6060%73.891.3-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutherland Sharks30182134103
Newcastle Falcons2517131974
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