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Newcastle Falcons vs Maitland M. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 84-61
21-8 27-13 12-22 24-18
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#12
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game79.8
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Maitland M.
03 May 2025
NEWC84
MAIT61
13 Jul 2024
NEWC64
MAIT85
15 Jul 2023
NEWC76
MAIT68
02 Apr 2022
NEWC57
MAIT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A22/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H29/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H29/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
77-88 OT
77
88
-11
A26/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
17-23
19-23
15-16
13-22
24-23
26-19
15-12
30-12
25-31
15-23
34-31
12-20
23-11
23-23
18-26
15-17
20-28
18-24
11-16
24-19
11-23
15-15
17-14
20-24
11-25
26-21
14-28
18-27
21-22
23-13
10-15
26-18
26-22
21-18
11-10
25-24
17-13
12-14
15-18
159.5Avg total
76.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.280.4154.6-6.220%
Season at home (3)74.372.0146.3+2.333%
Season away (2)74.093.0167.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)76.882.7159.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)74.280.4154.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.684.2155.8-12.618%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.069.4139.4+0.640%
vs Weaker (8)85.976.9162.8+9.075%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#3
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
H20/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A10/08
NBL1 East
Knox
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
23-24
20-21
16-24
29-20
16-16
22-16
27-27
18-15
22-13
28-20
18-19
20-29
28-26
28-22
13-22
23-26
17-31
31-25
27-20
25-25
22-16
19-25
22-30
32-22
30-12
27-14
15-14
29-26
19-17
18-24
22-17
25-33
18-17
37-17
26-28
19-16
26-8
18-14
14-24
177.9Avg total
93.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.679.8172.4+12.880%
Season at home (3)99.380.3179.7+19.0100%
Season away (2)82.579.0161.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)93.484.5177.9+8.970%
Last 5 (5)92.679.8172.4+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.597.5186.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)87.782.7170.3+5.067%
vs Weaker (25)99.681.8181.4+17.888%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
Newcastle FalconsMaitland M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H29/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H07/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H29/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/04
NBL1 East
83.1Avg total
40.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.278.7-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.838.875.5-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.443.982.3-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.983.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.483.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.044.279.2-9.224%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.633.069.6+3.660%-
vs Weaker (8)43.439.883.1+3.662%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H20/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A10/08
NBL1 East
Knox
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A27/04
NBL1 East
87.9Avg total
46.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.341.890.1+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.941.990.8+7.076%-
Last 30 away (13)47.541.889.2+5.777%-
Last 10 (10)46.941.087.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.487.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.548.095.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.341.385.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (25)48.841.490.2+7.480%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
5
Maitland M. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AIllawarra Hawks 277-88 OT
12/04/25HIllawarra Hawks 284-68
06/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits72-77
05/04/25ACentral Coast Crusaders71-98
29/03/25HSydney Comets67-71
13/07/24HMaitland M.64-85
07/07/24HInner West Bulls76-80
06/07/24AHornsby S.104-97
29/06/24HHills Hornets78-76
22/06/24AManly W.75-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ASydney Comets77-62
25/04/25HHornsby S.106-95
12/04/25HHills Hornets88-84
05/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-62
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks 288-96
17/08/24HMandurah Magic98-102
16/08/24HKnox89-99
10/08/24ACanberra86-67
03/08/24HBA CoE94-79
20/07/24HManly W.104-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game74.274.374.0
Allowed / game80.472.093.0
Point differential-6.2+2.3-19.0
Avg total154.6146.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %20%0%50%
Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game92.699.382.5
Allowed / game79.880.379.0
Point differential+12.8+19.0+3.5
Avg total172.4179.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra660100%97.276.2+21.0
2 Maitland M.54180%92.679.8+12.8
3 Sutherland Sharks54180%80.873.6+7.2
4 BA CoE43175%92.266.8+25.5
5 Inner West Bulls43175%93.886.2+7.5
6 Illawarra Hawks 264267%83.581.0+2.5
7 Sydney Comets63350%73.271.2+2.0
8 Manly W.63350%79.078.3+0.7
9 Norths Bears73443%70.974.9-4.0
10 Bankstown Bruins73443%77.385.0-7.7
11 Hills Hornets52340%79.278.4+0.8
12 Central Coast Crusaders62433%78.281.5-3.3
13 Penrith P.62433%77.589.8-12.3
14 Newcastle Falcons51420%74.280.4-6.2
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits51420%71.688.4-16.8
16 Hornsby S.5050%73.493.8-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons2127122484
Maitland M.813221861
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