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Newcastle Falcons vs Maitland M. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 64-85
15-17 20-28 18-24 11-16
Position#12
Record7-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#1
Record16-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game83.1
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Maitland M.
03 May 2025
NEWC84
MAIT61
13 Jul 2024
NEWC64
MAIT85
15 Jul 2023
NEWC76
MAIT68
02 Apr 2022
NEWC57
MAIT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H18/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H26/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A01/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A16/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A22/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H29/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
18-14
15-20
22-12
15-16
12-19
27-17
13-22
18-19
15-22
17-18
21-20
29-23
19-14
23-19
24-26
15-33
19-22
20-23
34-16
22-26
16-22
25-27
21-29
24-25
17-23
19-23
15-16
13-22
24-23
26-19
15-12
30-12
25-31
15-23
34-31
12-20
23-11
23-23
18-26
165.6Avg total
81.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.080.8155.8-5.837%
Season at home (9)69.673.4143.0-3.944%
Season away (10)79.987.4167.3-7.530%
Last 10 (10)81.584.1165.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)83.488.8172.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.386.4158.8-14.119%
vs Similar (6)69.871.7141.5-1.850%
vs Weaker (8)85.070.5155.5+14.588%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
103-81
103
81
+22
A19/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H25/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H01/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
A15/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
103-86
103
86
+17
A16/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A22/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
99-121
99
121
-22
A23/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
112-93
112
93
+19
A29/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
120-74
120
74
+46
H06/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
112-100
112
100
+12
H07/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
29-17
23-21
24-27
23-17
21-15
25-21
31-25
20-17
26-24
22-16
28-16
21-31
22-16
34-12
23-28
29-20
26-15
26-23
22-28
20-24
16-30
30-11
14-17
30-36
23-34
22-29
24-22
26-28
22-19
27-24
37-22
33-21
27-20
36-13
24-20
24-23
34-23
26-23
28-31
190.0Avg total
102.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)100.583.1183.6+17.484%
Season at home (10)101.978.8180.7+23.190%
Season away (9)99.087.9186.9+11.178%
Last 10 (10)102.587.5190.0+15.080%
Last 5 (5)104.694.0198.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)90.580.2170.7+10.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)99.884.1183.8+15.783%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
Newcastle FalconsMaitland M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H26/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A01/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A16/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H29/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H07/07
NBL1 East
80.7Avg total
38.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.277.7-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.735.270.9+0.564%-
Last 30 away (16)38.944.683.6-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.980.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.445.479.8-10.919%-
vs Similar (6)35.533.068.5+2.567%-
vs Weaker (8)44.935.480.2+9.575%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A19/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H01/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A16/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A22/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A23/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H07/07
NBL1 East
94.5Avg total
49.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.342.589.8+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.139.988.0+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.545.191.6+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)49.944.694.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)51.051.6102.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)43.242.785.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.342.590.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
4
Maitland M. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24HInner West Bulls76-80
06/07/24AHornsby S.104-97
29/06/24HHills Hornets78-76
22/06/24AManly W.75-87
16/06/24ABA CoE84-104
15/06/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits88-94
01/06/24AIllawarra Hawks95-82
26/05/24HNorths Bears71-79
25/05/24ASutherland Sharks67-74
18/05/24HCentral Coast Crusaders77-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24HIllawarra Hawks112-100
06/07/24HSutherland Sharks120-74
29/06/24ANorths Bears112-93
23/06/24ABA CoE99-121
22/06/24ACanberra80-82
16/06/24APenrith P.103-86
15/06/24ABankstown Bruins100-87
01/06/24HManly W.96-73
25/05/24HSydney Comets100-78
19/05/24AInner West Bulls103-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL37%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game75.069.679.9
Allowed / game80.873.487.4
Point differential-5.8-3.9-7.5
Avg total155.8143.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW84%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game100.5101.999.0
Allowed / game83.178.887.9
Point differential+17.4+23.1+11.1
Avg total183.6180.7186.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%90%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra1917289%87.874.7+13.2
2 Maitland M.1916384%100.583.1+17.4
3 Manly W.2015575%89.578.2+11.2
4 BA CoE2014670%91.081.4+9.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1913668%94.189.2+4.9
6 Inner West Bulls1912763%93.183.7+9.3
7 Sydney Comets1911858%88.683.5+5.1
8 Hills Hornets2011955%87.787.9-0.2
9 Bankstown Bruins1910953%80.481.2-0.8
10 Norths Bears20101050%85.585.0+0.5
11 Sutherland Sharks1981142%80.988.2-7.3
12 Newcastle Falcons1971237%75.080.8-5.8
13 Central Coast Crusaders2051525%85.293.2-8.0
14 Hornsby S.1931616%80.093.5-13.5
15 Illawarra Hawks2021810%82.3100.4-18.1
16 Penrith P.191185%80.197.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons1520181164
Maitland M.1728241685
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