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Sutjeska vs Buducnost Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 16 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record22-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game77.7
Sutjeska
Montenegro
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Buducnost
Montenegro
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game77.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaPrva A Liga - Semi-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sutjeska v Buducnost
16 May 2024
SUT v BUD
upcoming
13 Feb 2024
SUT57
BUD70
17 May 2023
SUT68
BUD82
14 Feb 2023
SUT83
BUD94
13 May 2019
SUT84
BUD74
03 May 2018
SUT71
BUD79
28 Feb 2016
SUT92
BUD91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SutjeskaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSutjeska
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 69
H10/04
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
61avg 69
A17/04
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
109-78
109
78
+31
no box
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
no box
A25/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
W
103-79
103
79
+24
no box
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H09/05
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A12/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A14/05
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-25
17-18
28-24
11-20
12-28
21-12
26-21
26-13
22-18
15-22
17-24
26-20
25-18
35-13
23-27
19-22
17-14
16-37
19-20
20-16
15-27
20-20
19-19
27-22
24-25
26-21
26-11
21-19
23-18
18-11
23-33
9-23
25-17
29-12
19-29
18-26
23-17
20-23
16-18
166.0Avg total
83.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.177.7166.9+11.481%
Season at home (13)94.073.8167.8+20.2100%
Season away (14)84.681.3165.9+3.464%
Last 10 (10)83.582.5166.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)84.281.4165.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.682.8164.4-1.260%
vs Similar (9)79.477.1156.6+2.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.078.0167.0+11.080%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
100-79
100
79
+21
100avg 75
H16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
76-84
76
84
-8
58avg 75
A21/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 75
H31/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 75
A05/04
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
100-69
100
69
+31
100avg 75
H13/04
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 75
A19/04
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
67-78
67
78
-11
61avg 75
A30/04
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 75
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
78avg 75
A10/05
ABA League
Sutjeska
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H14/05
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-17
32-17
24-25
14-21
24-17
14-26
24-20
21-23
23-21
19-26
20-19
27-25
20-13
26-21
20-21
23-24
19-12
34-15
24-18
16-15
23-18
13-14
28-26
16-27
13-14
18-18
20-19
20-23
16-17
26-17
12-16
21-23
33-25
17-25
15-27
26-18
17-23
23-20
18-16
164.5Avg total
84.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.380.2164.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)78.280.2158.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.379.0159.3+1.350%
vs Similar (3)84.079.3163.3+4.733%
vs Weaker (16)86.976.6163.6+10.388%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
SutjeskaBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H10/04
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A17/04
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A25/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/05
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A14/05
Prva A Liga
81.2Avg total
40.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.081.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.740.581.2+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)40.341.481.8-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.243.880.0-7.620%-
vs Similar (9)40.641.181.7-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.140.383.4+2.753%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A05/04
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H13/04
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A19/04
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A30/04
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A10/05
ABA League
Sutjeska
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H14/05
Prva A Liga
81.2Avg total
41.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.379.2+4.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.980.7+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)41.935.777.7+6.280%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.681.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.680.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.839.480.2+1.450%-
vs Similar (3)38.037.075.0+1.067%-
vs Weaker (16)43.736.980.6+6.888%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.5
51.7%
58.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
31.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.516.0
68.1%
69.7%16.0
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.2
55.6%
58.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
31.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
69.7%13.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sutjeska
LWWWLLWWLL
Buducnost
WLWLWWWLLW
#1
League position
#2
+0.4
Net rating
+5.4
104.2
Offensive rating
111.6
103.8
Defensive rating
106.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
33.9%
73.9%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 111.6Defence103.8 · 106.2Shooting50.6% · 53.8%3-point %32.8% · 33.9%Ball care16.1% · 14.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sutjeska   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sutjeska wins
8
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
14/05/24Buducnost v Sutjeska84-77
13/02/24Sutjeska v Buducnost57-70
17/05/23Sutjeska v Buducnost68-82
10/05/23Buducnost v Sutjeska93-58
14/02/23Sutjeska v Buducnost83-94
13/05/19Sutjeska v Buducnost84-74
03/05/19Buducnost v Sutjeska94-84
03/05/18Sutjeska v Buducnost71-79
18/04/18Buducnost v Sutjeska76-68
28/02/16Sutjeska v Buducnost92-91 OT
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/24ABuducnost77-84
12/05/24APodgorica82-81
09/05/24HPodgorica85-81
30/04/24HDanilovgrad103-79
28/04/24ATivat74-82
25/04/24AStudentski Centar71-93
21/04/24HJedinstvo109-78
19/04/24ALovcen Cetinje80-77
17/04/24AVojvodina Novi Sad70-81
10/04/24HVojvodina Novi Sad84-89
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/24HSutjeska84-77
10/05/24APartizan86-100
07/05/24HPartizan74-73
30/04/24APartizan67-78
19/04/24AZadar80-73
13/04/24HZadar100-69
05/04/24AStudentski Centar93-80
31/03/24HPartizan83-89
21/03/24AFMP Beograd76-84
16/03/24HBorac Mozzart100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska
Prva A Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%100%64%
Points / game89.194.084.6
Allowed / game77.773.881.3
Point differential+11.4+20.2+3.4
Avg total166.9167.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%69%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buducnost
Prva A Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total161.0161.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost110100%84.077.0+7.0
2 Sutjeska2722581%89.177.7+11.4
3 Podgorica2620677%88.772.7+16.0
4 Primorje2418675%86.276.2+10.0
5 Studentski Centar2619773%86.172.9+13.2
6 Tivat2820871%84.577.7+6.8
7 Lovcen Cetinje24101442%76.477.9-1.5
8 Kotor24101442%72.177.3-5.2
9 Ibar Rozaje26101638%77.283.3-6.1
10 Milenijum2491538%79.384.6-5.3
11 Decic2481633%83.587.3-3.9
12 Danilovgrad2481633%81.291.9-10.8
13 Jedinstvo2471729%79.186.8-7.7
14 Pljevlja2432112%73.591.8-18.3
15 Mediteran2020%89.0104.5-15.5
16 Mornar Bar2020%78.0104.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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