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FMP Beograd vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-76
21-14 17-24 26-14 20-24
Position#11
Record7-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#2
Record18-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Buducnost
07 Nov 2026
FBE73
BUD76
28 Dec 2024
FBE88
BUD91
21 Mar 2024
FBE84
BUD76
29 Oct 2022
FBE96
BUD91
04 May 2022
FBE74
BUD79
08 Apr 2022
FBE77
BUD79
30 Jan 2021
FBE88
BUD99
14 Jan 2019
FBE70
BUD87
09 Dec 2017
FBE76
BUD93
27 Nov 2016
FBE69
BUD77
20 Mar 2010
FBE73
BUD70
14 Mar 2009
FBE85
BUD93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 71
H05/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
71avg 71
A14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
54-87
54
87
-33
43avg 71
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
66-78
66
78
-12
57avg 71
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 71
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
57avg 71
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 71
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 71
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 71
A11/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
57-88
57
88
-31
47avg 71
A16/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
18-20
17-16
19-17
18-23
14-23
18-22
22-18
13-26
19-20
14-18
8-23
18-18
9-12
26-18
13-30
19-15
29-22
16-9
14-18
15-21
20-21
20-16
19-24
16-17
20-23
19-18
20-22
26-19
19-22
28-18
13-13
16-22
23-17
21-21
25-34
16-20
15-23
14-22
12-23
152.7Avg total
71.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.684.9161.5-8.330%
Season at home (11)79.185.1164.2-6.027%
Season away (12)74.384.8159.1-10.433%
Last 10 (10)71.980.8152.7-8.920%
Last 5 (5)75.483.2158.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.189.0162.1-15.97%
vs Similar (10)79.975.7155.6+4.270%
vs Weaker (3)87.787.0174.7+0.767%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 75
A31/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
84-62
84
62
+22
84avg 75
H05/02
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#6
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 75
H07/02
Eurocup
Split
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 75
A10/02
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Podgorica
#4
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#1
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
no box
H15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Igokea
#7
W
79-76
79
76
+3
73avg 75
H04/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 75
A09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
100-79
100
79
+21
100avg 75
H16/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
23-25
34-17
18-22
22-18
24-18
13-15
25-11
22-16
25-22
23-17
20-22
17-19
21-20
19-24
24-12
18-12
18-11
18-19
16-15
23-20
28-19
29-16
14-20
15-12
19-24
17-15
19-19
14-26
25-9
15-18
25-23
18-14
23-23
15-17
24-18
23-20
21-17
32-17
24-25
158.7Avg total
85.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.076.0161.0+8.978%
Season at home (12)86.277.1163.2+9.183%
Season away (11)83.674.9158.5+8.773%
Last 10 (10)85.573.2158.7+12.390%
Last 5 (5)86.676.6163.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.380.9161.1-0.643%
vs Similar (6)84.385.2169.5-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.377.1162.4+8.281%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
FMP BeogradBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/03
ABA League
76.9Avg total
36.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.242.179.3-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.642.281.9-2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.142.077.1-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.876.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.078.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.744.580.1-8.820%-
vs Similar (10)38.339.377.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker (3)41.042.783.7-1.733%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A31/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H05/02
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/02
Eurocup
Split
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/02
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Podgorica
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Igokea
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/03
ABA League
78.0Avg total
42.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.979.4+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.880.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.136.978.0+4.173%-
Last 10 (10)42.135.978.0+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.878.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.039.980.9+1.143%-
vs Similar (6)39.038.777.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.137.680.8+5.588%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.1
47.9%
54.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.6
28.3%
34.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
73.8%15.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.9
61.4%
54.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.2
36.9%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
73.8%14.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWLLWLLLL
Buducnost
WWWLWWWWWW
#11
League position
#2
-12.6
Net rating
+18.7
96.3
Offensive rating
117.1
108.9
Defensive rating
98.4
45.8%
Effective FG%
59.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.3%
3-point %
36.9%
60.3%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 117.1Defence108.9 · 98.4Shooting45.8% · 59.2%3-point %28.3% · 36.9%Ball care16.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FMP Beograd wins
9
Buducnost wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24APartizan57-88
11/03/24AStudentski Centar85-94
02/03/24HBorac Mozzart86-72
14/02/24ACrvena zvezda75-80
10/02/24ACedevita Olimpija74-82
04/02/24HIgokea78-64
29/01/24ASplit66-78
21/01/24ACrvena zvezda54-87
14/01/24AMega Basket72-86
05/01/24HCibona72-77
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HBorac Mozzart100-79
09/03/24ACedevita Olimpija80-72
04/03/24HIgokea79-76
15/02/24HStudentski Centar80-81 OT
14/02/24HPodgorica94-75
13/02/24ASutjeska70-57
10/02/24ASplit81-75
07/02/24HGran Canaria90-77
05/02/24HCrvena zvezda84-62
31/01/24ATrento97-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLLLWW27%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %30%27%33%
Points / game76.679.174.3
Allowed / game84.985.184.8
Point differential-8.3-6.0-10.4
Avg total161.5164.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Buducnost
ABA League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%83%73%
Points / game85.086.283.6
Allowed / game76.077.174.9
Point differential+8.9+9.1+8.7
Avg total161.0163.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%42%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2320387%88.771.3+17.5
2 Buducnost2318578%85.076.0+8.9
3 Partizan2317674%92.975.3+17.7
4 Zadar2314961%79.375.3+4.0
5 Cedevita Olimpija2314961%85.084.0+1.0
6 Mega Basket23131057%85.882.7+3.1
7 Studentski Centar23111248%85.785.7+0.1
8 Split23111248%76.579.3-2.8
9 Igokea23111248%78.081.3-3.3
10 Cibona2381535%78.684.3-5.7
11 Borac Mozzart2381535%78.184.2-6.1
12 FMP Beograd2371630%76.684.9-8.3
13 Mornar Bar2351822%76.589.3-12.8
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2341917%74.087.2-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2117262084
Buducnost1424142476
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