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Sutjeska vs Sloboda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-82
20-24 15-16 25-17 18-25
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Sloboda 🏆
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeABA League 2Round 8· Sports center Niksic
Other2025
Meetings · Sutjeska v Sloboda
18 Mar 2026
SUT96
SLOB94
04 Mar 2026
SUT78
SLOB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SutjeskaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSutjeska
Date
Competition
Kotor
#8
W
105-75
105
75
+30
108avg 85
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
113-76
113
76
+37
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
67avg 85
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Student Igokea
#12
W
103-61
103
61
+42
101avg 85
A26/01
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#5
W
85-59
85
59
+26
88avg 85
A28/01
ABA League 2
Ulcinj
#15
W
128-75
128
75
+53
134avg 85
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
115-76
115
76
+39
121avg 85
A03/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 85
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
110-62
110
62
+48
114avg 85
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 85
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
21-15
25-23
26-17
25-13
38-19
29-17
21-27
12-20
18-22
21-12
18-15
28-19
27-12
18-20
30-10
28-12
13-17
24-8
20-22
30-16
34-20
33-19
31-20
23-22
30-26
38-6
24-22
25-26
29-21
26-11
28-16
24-12
19-20
32-16
35-14
18-20
29-17
26-24
20-22
175.7Avg total
103.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.776.3167.0+14.486%
Season at home (3)90.786.3177.0+4.367%
Season away (4)90.868.8159.5+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)103.971.8175.7+32.1100%
Last 5 (5)110.874.0184.8+36.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.090.3161.3-19.30%
vs Weaker (26)96.277.4173.7+18.885%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
92-63
92
63
+29
89avg 79
H25/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloga
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H31/01
First League
Vrsac
#13
W
88-70
88
70
+18
91avg 79
H04/02
ABA League 2
Jahorina
#7
L
71-77
71
77
-6
62avg 79
H07/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Cacak 94
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
82avg 79
A08/02
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 79
H11/02
First League
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
66-79
66
79
-13
58avg 79
A11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Hercegovac
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
58avg 79
A14/02
First League
Student Igokea
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 79
H15/02
Prvenstvo BiH
OKK Beograd
#7
W
89-67
89
67
+22
80avg 79
H28/02
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
24-18
27-16
23-10
19-16
23-24
24-16
17-21
21-15
25-20
24-17
18-18
17-33
24-16
21-14
9-14
24-20
23-18
25-21
21-27
15-13
24-21
21-25
25-23
15-19
17-18
17-21
17-21
23-15
24-24
18-12
11-24
19-26
23-8
20-20
27-23
21-18
18-15
31-15
19-19
158.5Avg total
83.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.675.4162.0+11.157%
Season at home (4)87.865.8153.5+22.0100%
Season away (3)85.088.3173.3-3.30%
Last 10 (10)83.275.3158.5+7.980%
Last 5 (5)81.076.0157.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.092.0181.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.775.5149.2-1.867%
vs Weaker (23)87.075.3162.3+11.778%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +11.6+11.6Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +11.6+11.6Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
SutjeskaSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotor
#8
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Student Igokea
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A26/01
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/01
ABA League 2
Ulcinj
#15
W
64-36
64
36
+28
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/02
Prva A Liga
87.3Avg total
50.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.985.2+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.141.289.3+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.438.781.1+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)50.436.987.3+13.590%-
Last 5 (5)52.240.092.2+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.038.072.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.048.082.0-14.00%-
vs Weaker (26)47.039.186.0+7.973%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloga
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H31/01
First League
Vrsac
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/02
ABA League 2
Jahorina
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H07/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Cacak 94
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A08/02
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/02
First League
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Hercegovac
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/02
First League
Student Igokea
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/02
Prvenstvo BiH
OKK Beograd
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/02
First League
79.3Avg total
41.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.979.5+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.136.577.6+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)42.439.782.1+2.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.679.3+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.475.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.040.087.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.241.781.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker (23)41.836.878.6+5.070%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.724.8
59.5%
55.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.1
36.5%
33.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
72.6%14.3
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.5
56.5%
55.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.6
31.2%
33.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
72.6%13.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sutjeska
WWWWWWWWWW
Sloboda
WWWLWWLWWW
#2
League position
#8
+21.6
Net rating
+5.5
117.4
Offensive rating
95.7
95.8
Defensive rating
90.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
10.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
31.2%
61.6%
Assist %
61.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 95.7Defence95.8 · 90.1Shooting57.6% · 51.9%3-point %36.5% · 31.2%Ball care10.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · -Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Sutjeska   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sutjeska wins
1
Sloboda wins
DateGameScore
24/01/21Sloboda v Sutjeska81-78
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ATivat93-83
11/02/26HVukovi Zeta110-62
07/02/26HIbar Rozaje108-74
03/02/26ADecic115-76
31/01/26HUlcinj128-75
28/01/26ABorac Banja Luka85-59
26/01/26AStudent Igokea103-61
22/01/26APodgorica79-77 OT
17/01/26HDanilovgrad113-76
10/01/26HKotor105-75
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HOKK Beograd89-67
15/02/26HStudent Igokea89-77
14/02/26AHercegovac76-75
11/02/26AMrkonjic Grad66-79
11/02/26HBorac Zemun85-82
08/02/26ACacak 9493-86
07/02/26HJahorina71-77
04/02/26HVrsac88-70
31/01/26HSloga83-77
25/01/26HLeotar Trebinje92-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game90.790.790.8
Allowed / game76.386.368.8
Point differential+14.4+4.3+22.0
Avg total167.0177.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloboda
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game86.687.885.0
Allowed / game75.465.888.3
Point differential+11.1+22.0-3.3
Avg total162.0153.5173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg76186%92.677.1+15.4
2 Sutjeska76186%90.776.3+14.4
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad86275%84.178.1+6.0
4 Helios Domzale86275%83.579.9+3.6
5 Zlatibor75271%91.483.6+7.9
6 TFT Skopje75271%85.378.6+6.7
7 Borac Banja Luka85362%78.176.8+1.4
8 Sloboda74357%86.675.4+11.1
9 Jahorina74357%89.687.6+2.0
10 MZT Skopje74357%78.177.0+1.1
11 Mornar Bar72529%73.683.1-9.6
12 Primorje82625%76.986.0-9.1
13 Student Igokea82625%79.689.4-9.8
14 Vrsac82625%79.991.9-12.0
15 Podgorica81712%72.882.9-10.1
16 Radnicki8080%82.195.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutjeska2015251878
Sloboda2416172582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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