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Svendborg vs Aabyhoj Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-82
19-20 16-23 32-13 19-26
Position#2
Record17-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#7
Record7-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game79.8
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2011-12
Meetings · Svendborg v Aabyhoj
21 Jan 2012
SVEN86
AABY82
10 Dec 2011
SVEN75
AABY56
02 Feb 2011
SVEN93
AABY69
03 Nov 2010
SVEN92
AABY62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aabyhoj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H24/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
98-65
98
65
+33
A30/11
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A05/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
60-100
60
100
-40
H08/12
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#8
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H10/12
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H14/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H04/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H08/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A19/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
24-27
17-12
24-18
32-15
23-22
21-12
22-16
–
–
–
–
16-24
13-27
16-29
15-20
–
–
–
–
24-19
24-22
17-7
24-12
21-17
18-23
27-17
28-9
17-15
12-20
24-18
22-20
22-13
19-22
17-31
19-17
19-17
25-27
27-21
24-17
156.6Avg total
83.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.072.1156.1+11.989%
Season at home (9)81.671.7153.2+9.989%
Season away (10)86.272.5158.7+13.790%
Last 10 (10)83.673.0156.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)86.072.8158.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.676.4143.0-9.929%
vs Similar (4)77.071.2148.2+5.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.770.7159.4+18.1100%
This opponent (Aabyhoj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AabyhojDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#6
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A22/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H24/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A01/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H05/12
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A10/12
Denmark Cup
Aalborg
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H18/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
12-24
18-14
14-16
13-26
22-15
20-21
17-23
14-16
–
–
–
–
14-25
22-17
17-16
26-22
–
–
–
–
19-23
12-12
17-23
21-20
13-24
17-13
19-24
14-19
18-17
9-16
13-11
16-24
20-23
20-13
20-14
19-18
142.0Avg total
67.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.379.8153.1-6.637%
Season at home (10)72.080.6152.6-8.640%
Season away (9)74.779.0153.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)67.374.7142.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)64.673.8138.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.578.2140.7-15.68%
vs Similar (16)76.977.0153.9-0.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
SvendborgAabyhoj
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A30/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H08/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H08/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A19/01
Basketligaen
81.4Avg total
41.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)41.636.978.6+4.768%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.439.380.8+2.156%-
Last 30 away (10)41.834.876.6+7.080%-
Last 10 (8)41.240.181.4+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.040.071.0-9.050%-
vs Similar (4)39.834.274.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.837.381.2+6.569%-
This opponent (Aabyhoj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AabyhojLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H24/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/12
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
Basketligaen
70.4Avg total
33.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)35.940.476.3-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.941.076.9-5.140%-
Last 30 away (8)35.939.675.5-3.825%-
Last 10 (7)33.736.770.4-3.029%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.669.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.040.971.9-9.914%-
vs Similar (11)39.040.179.1-1.145%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Svendborg wins
0
Aabyhoj wins
DateGameScore
10/12/11Svendborg v Aabyhoj75-56
05/12/11Aabyhoj v Svendborg77-87
19/11/11Aabyhoj v Svendborg62-86
19/10/11Aabyhoj v Svendborg71-84
02/02/11Svendborg v Aabyhoj93-69
05/01/11Aabyhoj v Svendborg63-75
03/11/10Svendborg v Aabyhoj92-62
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/12AHerlev Wolfpack95-82
12/01/12ATeam FOG Naestved77-83
08/01/12HBakken Bears75-73
04/01/12HSisu94-66
14/12/11HHorsholm89-60
10/12/11HAabyhoj75-56
08/12/11HBakken Bears60-100
05/12/11AAabyhoj87-77
30/11/11AVaerlose98-65
24/11/11HTeam FOG Naestved86-68
Aabyhojlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/12HSisu79-68
16/01/12ABakken Bears56-68
05/01/12AHerlev Wolfpack63-80
14/12/11HAalborg69-78
10/12/11ASvendborg56-75
07/12/11ATeam FOG Naestved79-80
05/12/11HSvendborg77-87
01/12/11AHorsens73-75
24/11/11HBakken Bears57-80
22/11/11ASisu64-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW89%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWWLW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %89%89%90%
Points / game84.081.686.2
Allowed / game72.171.772.5
Point differential+11.9+9.9+13.7
Avg total156.1153.2158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aabyhoj
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW37%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game73.372.074.7
Allowed / game79.880.679.0
Point differential-6.6-8.6-4.3
Avg total153.1152.6153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1817194%78.562.0+16.5
2 Svendborg1917289%84.072.1+11.9
3 Team FOG Naestved1912763%80.777.1+3.6
4 Horsholm1981142%75.077.3-2.3
5 Sisu1981142%76.980.1-3.2
6 Aalborg1871139%77.381.4-4.1
7 Vaerlose1971237%74.179.7-5.6
8 Aabyhoj1971237%73.379.8-6.6
9 Horsens1961332%81.285.0-3.8
10 Herlev Wolfpack1951426%76.081.7-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg1916321986
Aabyhoj2023132682
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