Vaerlose vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2011

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 65-98

15-32 22-23 12-21 16-22

Position#8

Record4-9

FormWLWLL

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game79.9

Vaerlose

Svendborg 🏆

Position#2

Record13-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game70.3

Basketligaen

Other2011-12

Meetings · Vaerlose v Svendborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Svendborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

64-75

-11

H09/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

82-91

-9

H13/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

87-83

H19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

65-75

-10

A22/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-95

-7

A28/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

92-88

H02/11

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

72-74

-2

H09/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

74-62

+12

A12/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

52-83

-31

A20/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

73-80

-7

A27/11

Basketligaen

16-25

14-15

28-29

6-6

30-22

14-22

12-27

26-20

24-27

19-24

20-15

24-17

21-18

14-20

19-18

11-19

22-21

20-31

27-22

19-21

17-20

28-22

24-22

23-24

15-20

18-20

18-16

21-18

12-17

27-16

12-10

23-19

8-26

15-19

20-12

9-26

–

155.5Avg total

74.9Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	74.7	79.9	154.6	-5.2	31%
Season at home (6)	78.3	82.2	160.5	-3.8	33%
Season away (7)	71.6	78.0	149.6	-6.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	80.6	155.5	-5.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	77.4	150.0	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	70.7	82.0	152.7	-11.3	7%
vs Similar (13)	75.3	78.4	153.7	-3.1	38%
vs Weaker (2)	85.5	68.5	154.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aabyhoj

84-71

+13

A19/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

75-65

+10

H22/10

Basketligaen

Jonstrup

#16

116-74

116

+42

A26/10

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

70-64

A29/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

70-61

H02/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

75-74

H10/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

91-83

A12/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

83-82

H16/11

Denmark Cup

Aabyhoj

86-62

+24

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

86-68

+18

H24/11

Basketligaen

30-18

16-11

21-26

17-16

18-21

20-14

18-19

19-11

–

25-17

15-22

14-12

16-13

17-13

27-16

13-21

13-11

24-20

16-21

12-15

23-18

18-17

21-15

24-20

28-31

–

22-20

12-16

25-9

27-17

21-11

24-27

17-12

24-18

154.0Avg total

83.6Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	83.3	70.3	153.6	+13.0	100%
Season at home (6)	81.8	69.8	151.7	+12.0	100%
Season away (7)	84.6	70.7	155.3	+13.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	70.4	154.0	+13.2	100%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	73.8	158.0	+10.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	71.1	72.4	143.5	-1.2	50%
vs Similar (2)	78.0	64.5	142.5	+13.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	87.0	73.2	160.2	+13.8	89%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseSvendborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.8	35.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	15.0	48.0	+18.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	23.1	17.5	40.6	+5.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (7)	23.6	17.6	41.1	+6.0	86%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.9	17.1	39.0	+4.8	88%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	14.0	40.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.7	19.1	42.8	+4.6	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.5	21.8	38.3	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	4.0	14.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.7	58%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.1	15.6	31.7	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.9	17.8	36.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	7.0	15.0	22.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.5	21.5	47.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	67%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

30-40

-10

H09/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

44-44

H13/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

43-51

-8

H19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

35-38

-3

A22/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

42-52

-10

A28/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

45-42

H02/11

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

33-40

-7

H09/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

39-33

A12/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

23-45

-22

A20/11

Basketligaen

79.9Avg total

37.1Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	36.4	38.9	75.3	-2.5	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	36.7	37.9	74.6	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	36.1	40.0	76.1	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.1	42.8	79.9	-5.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	42.4	78.8	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.0	41.2	75.2	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.2	39.5	76.7	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	19.0	62.0	+24.0	100%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aabyhoj

46-29

+17

A19/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

38-35

H22/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

40-39

A29/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-29

+15

H02/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

40-41

-1

H10/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

39-32

A12/11

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

34-36

-2

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

45-38

H24/11

Basketligaen

75.6Avg total

40.8Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	42.2	34.9	77.1	+7.2	83%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	45.6	37.4	83.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (7)	39.7	33.1	72.9	+6.6	86%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.8	34.9	75.6	+5.9	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	35.2	75.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	29.0	62.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.5	33.5	78.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	42.7	35.9	78.6	+6.8	78%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.5	76%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.9	14.0	31.9	+3.9	88%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.7	20.2	40.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.6	15.1	32.7	+2.5	90%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	11.0	37.0	+15.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	42%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	16.5	31.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.8	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	16.1	20.5	36.6	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.8	18.5	33.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	24.0	39.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.3	83%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	19.2	15.2	34.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (7)	23.9	17.6	41.4	+6.3	86%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.0	88%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	10.0	35.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	14.5	33.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	37.4	37.8	75.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.3	40.8	81.1	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	34.0	34.5	68.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.0	37.9	75.9	+0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.5	38.7	74.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.1	37.6	75.7	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	35.0	76.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	40.9	35.8	76.7	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	35.4	33.2	68.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (7)	44.9	37.6	82.4	+7.3	86%	-
Last 10 (8)	38.9	33.6	72.5	+5.2	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	34.4	75.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	30.0	69.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	33.5	31.0	64.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	42.8	37.4	80.2	+5.3	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Svendborg wins

Date	Game	Score
22/10/11	Svendborg v Vaerlose	75-65
14/03/11	Vaerlose v Svendborg	58-91
10/03/11	Svendborg v Vaerlose	78-65
06/02/11	Vaerlose v Svendborg	86-90 OT
27/11/10	Svendborg v Vaerlose	89-79
26/10/10	Svendborg v Vaerlose	70-65
13/10/10	Vaerlose v Svendborg	56-64

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/11	A	Horsens	73-80
20/11/11	A	Sisu	52-83
12/11/11	A	Herlev Wolfpack	74-62
09/11/11	H	Aabyhoj	72-74
02/11/11	H	Horsens	92-88
28/10/11	A	Team FOG Naestved	88-95
22/10/11	A	Svendborg	65-75
19/10/11	H	Sisu	87-83
13/10/11	H	Horsholm	82-91
09/10/11	H	Bakken Bears	64-75

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/11	H	Team FOG Naestved	86-68
19/11/11	A	Aabyhoj	86-62
16/11/11	H	Team FOG Naestved	83-82
12/11/11	A	Aalborg	91-83
10/11/11	H	Horsens	75-74
02/11/11	H	Team FOG Naestved	70-61
29/10/11	A	Horsholm	70-64
26/10/11	A	Jonstrup	116-74
22/10/11	H	Vaerlose	75-65
19/10/11	A	Aabyhoj	84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	31%
Home	LLWWL	33%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	31%	33%	29%
Points / game	74.7	78.3	71.6
Allowed / game	79.9	82.2	78.0
Point differential	-5.2	-3.8	-6.4
Avg total	154.6	160.5	149.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Svendborg

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	83.3	81.8	84.6
Allowed / game	70.3	69.8	70.7
Point differential	+13.0	+12.0	+13.9
Avg total	153.6	151.7	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	67%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Svendborg	13	13	0	100%	83.3	70.3	+13.0
2	Bakken Bears	12	11	1	92%	76.8	61.6	+15.2
3	Team FOG Naestved	13	8	5	62%	81.2	74.6	+6.6
4	Sisu	13	6	7	46%	77.5	79.4	-1.9
5	Aabyhoj	13	6	7	46%	74.8	82.2	-7.3
6	Horsholm	13	5	8	38%	75.4	78.2	-2.8
7	Aalborg	12	4	8	33%	76.7	82.4	-5.8
8	Horsens	13	4	9	31%	81.5	85.4	-3.8
9	Vaerlose	13	4	9	31%	74.7	79.9	-5.2
10	Herlev Wolfpack	13	3	10	23%	75.9	83.2	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	15	22	12	16	65
Svendborg	32	23	21	22	98

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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