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Svendborg vs Team FOG Naestved Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game70.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Svendborg
Other2026-27
Meetings · Svendborg v Team FOG Naestved
28 Jan 2027
SVEN v TEAM
upcoming
07 May 2026
SVEN80
TEAM95
30 Apr 2026
SVEN63
TEAM75
12 Mar 2026
SVEN83
TEAM86
28 Dec 2025
SVEN97
TEAM96
24 Mar 2025
SVEN91
TEAM59
10 Jan 2025
SVEN106
TEAM98
31 Mar 2024
SVEN92
TEAM102
05 Nov 2023
SVEN91
TEAM89
20 Mar 2023
SVEN105
TEAM115
05 Oct 2022
SVEN85
TEAM97
11 Apr 2022
SVEN102
TEAM90
26 Jan 2022
SVEN93
TEAM97
12 Apr 2021
SVEN102
TEAM97
05 Apr 2021
SVEN80
TEAM79
07 Jan 2021
SVEN82
TEAM73
02 Dec 2020
SVEN83
TEAM86
12 Feb 2020
SVEN82
TEAM79
09 Oct 2019
SVEN77
TEAM72
26 Jan 2019
SVEN88
TEAM80
21 Nov 2018
SVEN84
TEAM75
22 Mar 2018
SVEN67
TEAM82
13 Dec 2017
SVEN83
TEAM81
23 Mar 2017
SVEN85
TEAM80
30 Dec 2016
SVEN73
TEAM77
09 Nov 2016
SVEN95
TEAM90
09 Feb 2016
SVEN88
TEAM80
27 Nov 2015
SVEN86
TEAM84
23 Nov 2015
SVEN62
TEAM77
27 Apr 2015
SVEN103
TEAM104
23 Feb 2015
SVEN79
TEAM74
08 Jan 2015
SVEN76
TEAM79
16 Oct 2013
SVEN90
TEAM77
06 Dec 2012
SVEN78
TEAM96
09 Apr 2012
SVEN90
TEAM75
02 Apr 2012
SVEN79
TEAM69
26 Mar 2012
SVEN74
TEAM70
24 Nov 2011
SVEN86
TEAM68
16 Nov 2011
SVEN83
TEAM82
02 Nov 2011
SVEN70
TEAM61
03 Mar 2011
SVEN67
TEAM69
15 Nov 2010
SVEN68
TEAM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
87-111
87
111
-24
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H07/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H14/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H23/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
27-19
10-29
18-32
18-19
17-28
20-22
25-26
23-22
27-22
28-14
25-20
13-24
25-16
13-23
19-29
10-22
33-15
29-25
24-21
20-29
22-20
22-16
22-10
28-17
27-18
25-15
22-24
27-23
22-12
20-22
23-13
18-28
16-22
21-15
28-21
16-12
32-23
25-22
24-25
174.2Avg total
89.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.480.3169.7+9.171%
Season at home (4)88.880.8169.5+8.075%
Season away (3)90.379.7170.0+10.767%
Last 10 (10)89.684.6174.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)92.077.4169.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.083.5171.5+4.550%
vs Similar (8)83.890.2174.0-6.525%
vs Weaker (18)92.573.9166.4+18.683%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A21/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H25/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
117-56
117
56
+61
H24/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
101-73
101
73
+28
A27/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
117-55
117
55
+62
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H15/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
107-82
107
82
+25
A19/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
99-67
99
67
+32
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
113-80
113
80
+33
H28/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
28-24
13-29
24-19
17-18
21-19
22-29
21-21
27-21
32-10
27-10
31-15
31-15
28-21
24-15
18-22
25-12
24-12
18-24
23-18
27-17
35-12
30-11
25-15
28-18
22-16
15-21
21-28
22-20
26-23
31-15
28-24
19-16
27-12
30-14
23-25
35-15
21-20
25-26
32-19
174.4Avg total
99.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)103.870.2174.0+33.5100%
Season at home (4)101.571.2172.8+30.2100%
Season away (4)106.069.2175.2+36.8100%
Last 10 (10)99.774.7174.4+25.080%
Last 5 (5)104.473.4177.8+31.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.997.3183.1-11.429%
vs Similar (9)95.892.0187.8+3.878%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)102.179.4181.5+22.693%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +7.4+7.4Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
SvendborgTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/10
Basketligaen
87.5Avg total
45.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.340.485.7+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.537.280.7+6.356%-
Last 30 away (14)47.344.191.4+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.287.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.886.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.543.584.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (8)43.444.187.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (18)47.238.185.2+9.167%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A21/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H24/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A27/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
62-29
62
29
+33
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A19/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H28/10
Basketligaen
86.3Avg total
51.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.044.092.0+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.443.992.3+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)47.644.091.6+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)51.634.786.3+16.990%-
Last 5 (5)52.433.886.2+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.151.492.6-10.314%-
vs Similar (9)46.349.095.3-2.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)52.637.089.6+15.686%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.5
56.2%
55.2%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
31.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.7%17.3
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Team FOG Naestvedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Team FOG Naestved: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.130.1
61.3%
55.2%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.1
28.1%
31.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws25.117.9
71.3%
67.7%17.9
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WLWWWWLWLL
Team FOG Naestved
WWWWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#1
+5.0
Net rating
+25.3
96.5
Offensive rating
100.9
91.6
Defensive rating
75.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.4%
3-point %
28.1%
60.7%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 100.9Defence91.6 · 75.6Shooting52.7% · 54.8%3-point %31.4% · 28.1%Ball care15.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Svendborg   ■ Team FOG Naestved
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Svendborg wins
7
Team FOG Naestved wins
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HBears Academy97-82
15/10/26ATeam FOG Naestved83-86
07/10/26AGladsaxe92-70
02/10/26HVejen102-74
26/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus86-75
23/09/26ARanders96-83
17/09/26HHorsens70-92
14/05/26HHorsens103-78
07/05/26HTeam FOG Naestved80-95
04/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved87-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HBears Academy113-80
24/10/26AGladsaxe99-67
19/10/26AVejen107-82
15/10/26HSvendborg86-83
10/10/26ABMS Herlev117-55
30/09/26HCopenhagen90-66
27/09/26AHorsens101-73
24/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus117-56
25/05/26HBakken Bears81-87
21/05/26ABakken Bears86-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game89.488.890.3
Allowed / game80.380.879.7
Point differential+9.1+8.0+10.7
Avg total169.7169.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.8101.5106.0
Allowed / game70.271.269.2
Point differential+33.5+30.2+36.8
Avg total174.0172.8175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved880100%103.870.2+33.5
2 Bakken Bears770100%105.676.1+29.4
3 Horsens86275%87.679.4+8.2
4 Svendborg75271%89.480.3+9.1
5 Copenhagen64267%79.278.0+1.2
6 Randers85362%95.285.8+9.5
7 Holbaek-Stenhus83538%76.189.1-13.0
8 Vaerlose82625%82.492.0-9.6
9 Gladsaxe82625%77.990.0-12.1
10 Vejen82625%81.095.5-14.5
11 Bears Academy81712%77.492.9-15.5
12 BMS Herlev81712%77.098.1-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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