PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sweden W vs Estonia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 70-51
21-8 11-22 16-8 22-13
Position#4
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game63.0
Sweden W 🏆
vs
Estonia W
Position#31
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game51.6
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Lulea Energi Arena
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
70-89
70
89
-19
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
82-52
82
52
+30
78avg 79
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
63-60
63
60
+3
59avg 79
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
98-72
98
72
+26
99avg 79
A06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
21-30
19-11
13-16
21-22
18-25
21-23
10-19
14-14
16-13
15-28
23-20
10-19
22-12
8-23
17-17
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
22-17
14-13
26-7
20-15
11-12
12-16
20-17
20-15
26-21
22-15
23-17
27-19
140.9Avg total
70.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.663.0139.6+13.6100%
Season at home (2)69.564.5134.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)81.362.0143.3+19.3100%
Last 10 (10)70.670.3140.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.663.0139.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.272.5131.8-13.212%
vs Similar (6)58.767.3126.0-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.058.1137.1+20.988%
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estonia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
61-86
61
86
-25
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
52-76
52
76
-24
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
45-100
45
100
-55
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
53-81
53
81
-28
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
45-83
45
83
-38
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
52-82
52
82
-30
45avg 45
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
57avg 45
H10/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
42-93
42
93
-51
32avg 45
A06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-22
16-10
21-18
15-27
15-17
20-22
11-20
12-27
16-21
6-8
18-20
10-23
7-25
20-24
8-28
16-18
18-14
19-15
12-20
14-18
13-21
12-28
14-14
12-17
11-23
13-16
9-27
17-22
13-14
7-26
15-20
18-22
8-4
22-17
18-15
10-23
14-23
12-23
6-24
134.8Avg total
55.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)51.679.4131.0-27.820%
Season at home (3)54.374.3128.7-20.033%
Season away (2)47.587.0134.5-39.50%
Last 10 (10)55.379.5134.8-24.220%
Last 5 (5)51.679.4131.0-27.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)54.578.7133.2-24.212%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -7.4-7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -7.4-7.4
Sweden WEstonia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/02
European Championship Women
69.6Avg total
34.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)32.231.263.4+1.055%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.531.364.8+2.355%-
Last 30 away (11)30.831.262.0-0.455%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.869.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.668.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.534.663.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (6)27.230.557.7-3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.628.468.0+11.275%-
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estonia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A06/02
European Championship Women
67.4Avg total
27.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)27.240.267.5-13.012%-
Last 30 at home (9)29.136.865.9-7.722%-
Last 30 away (8)25.144.169.2-19.00%-
Last 10 (10)27.440.067.4-12.610%-
Last 5 (5)26.037.463.4-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)27.240.267.5-13.012%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.615.4
43.3%
45.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.1%
30.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.815.8
79.8%
72.4%15.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estonia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia W: 50.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.413.0
40.1%
45.4%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.85.4
24.8%
30.0%16.2
🏀 Free throws13.88.6
62.3%
72.4%8.6
They take 54.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden W
WWWWWLLLLL
Estonia W
LWLLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#31
+17.6
Net rating
-35.9
100.4
Offensive rating
66.5
82.8
Defensive rating
102.4
47.9%
Effective FG%
38.9%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
20.5%
Turnover %
31.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.1%
3-point %
24.8%
81.6%
Assist %
70.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 66.5Defence82.8 · 102.4Shooting47.9% · 38.9%3-point %36.1% · 24.8%Ball care20.5% · 31.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 21.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Sweden W   ■ Estonia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sweden W wins
0
Estonia W wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Estonia W v Sweden W52-82
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ADenmark W98-72
10/11/24HGreat Britain W63-60
07/11/24AEstonia W82-52
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
09/02/23AIsrael W57-71
24/11/22HIsrael W68-75
14/11/21ALatvia W70-89
26/06/21HBosnia & Herzegovina W63-82
Estonia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25AGreat Britain W42-93
10/11/24HDenmark W66-58
07/11/24HSweden W52-82
12/11/23HGreat Britain W45-83
09/11/23ADenmark W53-81
12/02/23HGreece W65-67
09/02/23AGreat Britain W45-100
27/11/22HPortugal W52-76
24/11/22AGreece W61-86
14/11/21HGreat Britain W72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.669.581.3
Allowed / game63.064.562.0
Point differential+13.6+5.0+19.3
Avg total139.6134.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estonia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game51.654.347.5
Allowed / game79.474.387.0
Point differential-27.8-20.0-39.5
Avg total131.0128.7134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%94.444.8+49.6
2 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
3 Turkey W550100%79.257.0+22.2
4 Spain W550100%73.053.0+20.0
5 Sweden W550100%76.663.0+13.6
6 Belgium W54180%91.253.2+38.0
7 Lithuania W54180%84.866.4+18.4
8 Luxembourg W54180%65.251.4+13.8
9 Italy W54180%67.656.6+11.0
10 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
11 Portugal W54180%63.257.2+6.0
12 Great Britain W53260%74.655.2+19.4
13 Montenegro W53260%71.461.8+9.6
14 Croatia W53260%78.270.0+8.2
15 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
16 Germany W53260%70.266.6+3.6
17 Slovakia W53260%70.267.8+2.4
18 Switzerland W53260%60.858.8+2.0
19 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
20 Poland W52340%78.268.0+10.2
21 Israel W52340%78.476.2+2.2
22 Greece W52340%68.069.4-1.4
23 Netherlands W52340%63.668.2-4.6
24 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
25 Denmark W51420%68.473.6-5.2
26 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
27 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
28 Ukraine W51420%62.269.6-7.4
29 Czech Republic W51420%60.473.6-13.2
30 Romania W51420%67.686.2-18.6
31 Estonia W51420%51.679.4-27.8
32 Austria W5050%52.275.8-23.6
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%57.082.4-25.4
34 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
35 Ireland W5050%48.697.4-48.8
36 Azerbaijan W5050%42.4109.0-66.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden W2111162270
Estonia W82281351
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.