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Sweden W vs Great Britain W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 75-66
15-22 16-9 26-16 18-19
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#18
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game59.9
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Edel-optics.de Arena
Women2024
Meetings · Sweden W v Great Britain W
20 Jun 2025
SWED75
GREA66
10 Nov 2024
SWED63
GREA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Great Britain W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Israel W
#26
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
82-52
82
52
+30
78avg 70
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
63-60
63
60
+3
59avg 70
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
98-72
98
72
+26
99avg 70
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
70-51
70
51
+19
72avg 70
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
63avg 70
A19/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
16-13
15-28
23-20
10-19
22-12
8-23
17-17
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
22-17
14-13
26-7
20-15
11-12
12-16
20-17
20-15
26-21
22-15
23-17
27-19
21-8
11-22
16-8
22-13
16-27
11-17
22-14
27-31
139.1Avg total
71.9Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.665.0140.6+10.686%
Season at home (3)69.760.0129.7+9.7100%
Season away (4)80.068.8148.8+11.275%
Last 10 (10)71.967.2139.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)77.864.8142.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.272.5131.8-13.212%
vs Similar ◀ (6)58.767.3126.0-8.733%
vs Weaker (10)77.860.5138.3+17.380%
This opponent (Great Britain W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Great Britain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
57-63
57
63
-6
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
L
61-62
61
62
-1
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
60-66
60
66
-6
no box
A20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
83-45
83
45
+38
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
75-62
75
62
+13
73avg 60
H07/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
60-63
60
63
-3
48avg 60
A10/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
93-42
93
42
+51
97avg 60
H06/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 60
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
64avg 60
H19/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
13-10
11-15
22-19
19-15
19-14
6-18
17-15
10-13
18-16
14-16
18-21
18-18
13-17
17-15
14-14
17-12
23-11
16-13
27-9
19-15
12-12
25-19
19-16
12-11
16-12
17-20
15-20
23-10
23-14
23-12
24-6
22-7
22-17
25-21
6-13
13-18
12-30
24-20
21-17
130.6Avg total
69.6Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.059.9133.9+14.157%
Season at home (4)75.063.2138.2+11.850%
Season away (3)72.755.3128.0+17.367%
Last 10 (10)69.661.0130.6+8.640%
Last 5 (5)74.662.0136.6+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.475.1140.5-9.78%
vs Similar ◀ (4)62.266.8129.0-4.50%
vs Weaker (13)77.860.0137.8+17.869%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
Sweden WGreat Britain W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel W
#26
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/06
European Championship Women
65.7Avg total
33.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.031.763.7+0.254%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.431.264.6+2.258%-
Last 30 away (12)30.532.262.8-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.065.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.666.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.534.663.1-6.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)27.230.557.7-3.350%-
vs Weaker (10)37.630.167.7+7.570%-
This opponent (Great Britain W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Great Britain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A16/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A10/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H06/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H19/06
European Championship Women
62.6Avg total
33.5Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.832.366.1+1.645%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.934.268.1-0.333%-
Last 30 away (14)33.830.264.0+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)33.529.162.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.264.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.536.866.3-7.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.231.564.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (13)38.028.366.3+9.777%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.915.9
44.2%
45.4%31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.2%
30.0%27.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.3
75.9%
72.4%15.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Great Britain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Great Britain W: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.3
49.7%
45.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.0
30.6%
30.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws13.711.6
84.4%
72.4%11.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 20 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden W
LWWWWWWLLL
Great Britain W
LWWLWWLLLL
#4
League position
#18
+13.8
Net rating
+19.1
99.8
Offensive rating
96.8
86.0
Defensive rating
77.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
23.9%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.2%
3-point %
30.6%
80.0%
Assist %
72.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 96.8Defence86.0 · 77.7Shooting47.8% · 48.3%3-point %35.2% · 30.6%Ball care20.2% · 23.9%Off. rebounds29.8% · 33.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sweden W   ■ Great Britain W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sweden W wins
0
Great Britain W wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Sweden W v Great Britain W63-60
09/11/23Great Britain W v Sweden W62-64
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/25AGermany W76-89
09/02/25HEstonia W70-51
06/02/25ADenmark W98-72
10/11/24HGreat Britain W63-60
07/11/24AEstonia W82-52
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
09/02/23AIsrael W57-71
24/11/22HIsrael W68-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/25HSpain W70-85
09/02/25ADenmark W75-58
06/02/25HEstonia W93-42
10/11/24ASweden W60-63
07/11/24HDenmark W75-62
12/11/23AEstonia W83-45
09/11/23HSweden W62-64
20/06/23ASerbia W60-66
18/06/23AGermany W61-62
16/06/23AFrance W57-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game75.669.780.0
Allowed / game65.060.068.8
Point differential+10.6+9.7+11.2
Avg total140.6129.7148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Great Britain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game74.075.072.7
Allowed / game59.963.255.3
Point differential+14.1+11.8+17.3
Avg total133.9138.2128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W880100%91.948.5+43.4
2 Spain W770100%75.957.0+18.9
3 Turkey W87188%81.960.5+21.4
4 Belgium W76186%86.755.3+31.4
5 Sweden W76186%75.665.0+10.6
6 Lithuania W86275%80.567.0+13.5
7 Italy W86275%69.260.5+8.8
8 Germany W75271%72.467.6+4.9
9 Portugal W75271%60.758.1+2.6
10 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
11 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
12 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
13 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
14 Serbia W85362%75.556.4+19.1
15 Slovenia W85362%76.868.2+8.5
16 Great Britain W74357%74.059.9+14.1
17 Montenegro W74357%69.664.4+5.1
18 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
19 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
20 Switzerland W84450%65.463.9+1.5
21 Czech Republic W73443%66.468.7-2.3
22 Greece W83538%68.471.4-3.0
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden W1516261875
Great Britain W229161966
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