PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Syntainics MBC vs BK Liepaja Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 96-76
Projected total 171.9
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game79.2
Syntainics MBC
Vs
96%
■ SMB 96%■ BK L 4%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
BK Liepaja
Position#15
Record1-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game89.8
EuropeENBL· Stadthalle Weissenfels
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 18 November 2026 the ENBL will feature Syntainics MBC against BK Liepaja, with the model rating Syntainics MBC as the clear favourite because of their perfect 4-0 season record, 100.5 points per game and only 79.2 allowed, placing them first in the league; BK Liepaja sit fifteenth with a 1-3 record, 76.2 points per game and 89.8 allowed. Syntainics MBC have won all four of their games, including a 103.5 points per game average at home and a 2-0 home record, while BK Liepaja have won three of five away games, scoring 83.0 points per game on the road and allowing 108.0. The last five games for Syntainics MBC were all victories, highlighted by a 109-89 win over Hamburg, whereas BK Liepaja's recent results include a 99-69 win over Rigas Juniori. The model assigns a 96% probability to a Syntainics MBC win and a 4% chance for BK Liepaja, projecting a 96-76 score for a total of 171.9 points. The home team's line is 96-76, and the model estimates a 1% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Syntainics MBC's dominant offence and defence.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syntainics MBC win
96.1%fair 1.04
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja win
3.9%fair 25.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Syntainics MBCLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMBC
Date
Competition
Bonn
#6
L
72-77
72
77
-5
55avg 81
A27/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
93avg 81
H03/10
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 81
A10/10
BBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
106-84
106
84
+22
100avg 81
H13/10
ENBL
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 81
A21/10
ENBL
Rostock
#5
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
92avg 81
H24/10
BBL
Dubrava
#14
W
101-79
101
79
+22
100avg 81
H28/10
ENBL
Hamburg
#17
W
109-89
109
89
+20
109avg 81
A01/11
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
107-87
107
87
+20
no box
A04/11
ENBL
Frankfurt
#4
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
H08/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-19
16-16
19-21
20-24
18-17
23-16
28-15
19-22
26-10
21-9
19-33
24-26
21-13
34-22
27-23
23-9
24-22
19-18
22-18
21-23
27-20
17-29
23-16
23-15
29-11
21-28
28-25
25-24
29-25
27-14
28-26
26-26
26-30
27-20
28-11
20-21
16-24
20-19
21-9
173.7Avg total
93.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)100.579.2179.8+21.2100%
Season at home (2)103.581.5185.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)97.577.0174.5+20.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.780.0173.7+13.790%
Last 5 (5)99.485.2184.6+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.481.7167.1+3.757%
vs Similar (6)85.387.2172.5-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.681.6174.3+11.076%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
45avg 73
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 73
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 73
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 73
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 73
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 73
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 73
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 73
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
20-28
11-27
12-10
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
162.0Avg total
83.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.289.8166.0-13.525%
Season at home (3)74.083.7157.7-9.733%
Season away (1)83.0108.0191.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)83.278.8162.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)91.676.2167.8+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.390.6165.9-15.30%
vs Similar (2)82.080.5162.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (13)87.579.3166.8+8.254%
This opponent (Syntainics MBC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
69.7%
Under 163.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
58.1%
Under 168.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173.5
Over 173.5
45.8%
Under 173.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Syntainics MBC total 81.5
Over 81.5
93.3%
Under 81.5
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syntainics MBC total 85.5
Over 85.5
86.3%
Under 85.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syntainics MBC total 89.5
Over 89.5
75.5%
Under 89.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Liepaja total 79.5
Over 79.5
34.3%
Under 79.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Liepaja total 83.5
Over 83.5
21.1%
Under 83.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Liepaja total 87.5
Over 87.5
11.7%
Under 87.5
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Syntainics MBC -3
SMB -3
94.4%
BK L +3
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
SMB
No market prices yet.
BK L
No market prices yet.
Spread Syntainics MBC 0
SMB 0
96.1%
BK L 0
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
SMB
No market prices yet.
BK L
No market prices yet.
Spread Syntainics MBC +3
SMB +3
97.5%
BK L -3
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
SMB
No market prices yet.
BK L
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Syntainics MBCBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Syntainics MBCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A10/10
BBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H13/10
ENBL
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A21/10
ENBL
Rostock
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H24/10
BBL
Dubrava
#14
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H28/10
ENBL
Hamburg
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A01/11
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A04/11
ENBL
Frankfurt
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H08/11
BBL
85.6Avg total
45.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.886.9+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.639.485.1+6.271%-
Last 30 away (13)44.344.989.2-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.285.6+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.892.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.141.685.7+2.643%-
vs Similar (6)42.042.884.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.541.588.1+5.071%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.2Avg total
42.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.684.6-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.543.183.6-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.781.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.882.0+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.444.881.2-8.47%-
vs Similar (2)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (13)46.940.887.7+6.269%-
This opponent (Syntainics MBC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Syntainics MBCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Syntainics MBC: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.4
58.6%
53.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.7
36.6%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.2
72.3%
70.7%16.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
70.7%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Syntainics MBC
WWWWWWWWWL
BK Liepaja
WWWLLLLWWL
#1
League position
#15
+13.8
Net rating
-2.0
106.6
Offensive rating
91.6
92.8
Defensive rating
93.5
57.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
12.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.6%
3-point %
33.1%
52.6%
Assist %
63.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 91.6Defence92.8 · 93.5Shooting57.0% · 49.4%3-point %36.6% · 33.1%Ball care12.2% · 16.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Syntainics MBC   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Syntainics MBC wins
0
BK Liepaja wins
No previous meetings.
Syntainics MBClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HFrankfurt77-73
04/11/26AKapfenberg Bulls107-87
01/11/26AHamburg109-89
28/10/26HDubrava101-79
24/10/26HRostock103-98 OT
21/10/26ALausanne Basket88-67
13/10/26HBristol Flyers106-84
10/10/26ABamberg85-74
03/10/26HUlm89-72
27/09/26ABonn72-77
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
03/10/26AVEF Riga55-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Syntainics MBC
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.5103.597.5
Allowed / game79.281.577.0
Point differential+21.2+22.0+20.5
Avg total179.8185.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game76.274.083.0
Allowed / game89.883.7108.0
Point differential-13.5-9.7-25.0
Avg total166.0157.7191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Syntainics MBC440100%100.579.2+21.2
2 Tindastoll440100%83.269.2+14.0
3 Spartak Pleven54180%77.272.2+5.0
4 AEL43175%77.567.2+10.2
5 Voluntari43175%86.085.8+0.2
6 Kapfenberg Bulls32167%96.387.0+9.3
7 Anwil Wloclawek32167%89.082.0+7.0
8 Donar Groningen53260%83.282.4+0.8
9 Jonava21150%75.572.0+3.5
10 Bristol Flyers42250%79.582.2-2.8
11 Tal Tech52340%78.278.8-0.6
12 CIU31233%82.085.0-3.0
13 Alkar31233%84.790.7-6.0
14 Dubrava31233%77.388.0-10.7
15 BK Liepaja41325%76.289.8-13.5
16 Fyllingen51420%74.885.4-10.6
17 Zrinjski Mostar4040%77.582.0-4.5
18 Lausanne Basket5050%73.887.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.