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Syracuse vs New Haven Chargers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-58
39-17 35-41
Position#145
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Syracuse 🏆
USA
Vs
78%
22%
■ SYRA 78%■ NEW 22%
Pythia win probability
Projected 75-66
Projected total 140.7
New Haven Chargers
USA
Position#298
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Syracuse hosts the New Haven Chargers on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates Syracuse as the clear favourite with a 78% chance of victory, a projection that reflects their 75-point average and the Chargers' 66-point average. Syracuse's season record at home stands at 0-5, with points scored and allowed per game not provided, while the Chargers are 3-2 on the road, showing a recent 66-59 win over Le Moyne and a 62-65 loss to Wagner. In their last five outings, Syracuse has suffered five defeats, including a 69-86 loss to SMU Mustangs on 10 March 2026, a 69-71 defeat by Pittsburgh on 7 March 2026, and a 62-77 loss to Louisville on 3 March 2026, whereas the Chargers have secured three wins and two losses, with a 67-73 defeat to St. Francis (PA) on 24 February 2026. The model gives Syracuse a 78% win probability and the Chargers a 22% chance, projecting a 75-66 scoreline and a total of 140.7 points; the 138.5 over/under line carries a 55% over probability, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. Syracuse's recent struggles contrast with the Chargers' mixed road form, making this a compelling matchup to watch.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syracuse winWon
78.3%fair 1.28
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Haven Chargers winLost
21.7%fair 4.60
Best odds41.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
69-71 OT
69
71
-2
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-46
45-41
35-38
24-34
35-35
43-43
35-39
44-39
24-40
40-61
28-33
36-44
46-42
37-46
21-39
41-38
31-28
34-37
38-39
31-47
157.0Avg total
73.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.383.7157.0-10.420%
Last 5 (5)69.479.8149.2-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.279.3146.5-12.113%
vs Similar (12)81.571.8153.2+9.875%
vs Weaker (3)82.078.7160.7+3.367%
New Haven ChargersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A01/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H13/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A22/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-37
40-32
16-29
39-31
22-32
35-31
33-41
43-40
31-15
24-37
32-30
32-21
55-39
29-38
32-41
35-32
22-20
40-45
31-31
35-28
131.7Avg total
66.7Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.765.0131.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)68.665.0133.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.875.5131.3-19.70%
vs Similar (14)63.763.3127.0+0.457%
vs Weaker (7)62.767.1129.9-4.443%
Over/Under 133.5Actual: Under 133.5
Over 133.5
66.7%
@ 1.85+12.4pp
Under 133.5
33.3%
@ 2.05-12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.71
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Under
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Marathon Be
1.88
Over/Under 138.5 · main lineActual: Under 138.5
Over 138.5
55.0%
@ 2.35+9.5pp
Under 138.5
45.0%
@ 1.85-9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.03
Marathon Be
2.00
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.70
Marathon Be
1.66
Betano
1.62
Over/Under 143.5Actual: Under 143.5
Over 143.5
42.8%
@ 3.60+11.4pp
Under 143.5
57.2%
@ 1.47-11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.60
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.26

📊 3. Team Totals

Syracuse total 76.5Actual: Syracuse under 76.5
Over 76.5
43.3%
@ 1.35-24.6pp
Under 76.5
56.7%
@ 2.85+24.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.85
Syracuse total 80.5 · main lineActual: Syracuse under 80.5
Over 80.5
28.4%
@ 1.85-23.2pp
Under 80.5
71.6%
@ 1.93+23.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.85
Syracuse total 84.5Actual: Syracuse under 84.5
Over 84.5
16.6%
@ 2.35-32.0pp
Under 84.5
83.4%
@ 1.84+32.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.47
New Haven Chargers total 49.5Actual: New Haven Chargers over 49.5
Over 49.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Under 49.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.80
New Haven Chargers total 53.5 · main lineActual: New Haven Chargers over 53.5
Over 53.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 53.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.78
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.85
New Haven Chargers total 57.5Actual: New Haven Chargers over 57.5
Over 57.5
79.4%
@ 2.57+44.2pp
Under 57.5
20.6%
@ 1.40-44.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Syracuse -30.5Actual: New Haven Chargers +30.5
SYRA -30.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
NEW +30.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
NEW
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Spread Syracuse -27.5 · main lineActual: New Haven Chargers +27.5
SYRA -27.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
NEW +27.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
NEW
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Syracuse -24.5Actual: New Haven Chargers +24.5
SYRA -24.5
8.8%
@ 1.67-50.1pp
NEW +24.5
91.2%
@ 2.27+50.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
NEW
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.07

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
SyracuseNew Haven Chargers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/03
NCAA
70.4Avg total
32.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)35.334.569.8+0.853%67%
Last 30 at home (16)35.732.267.9+3.469%62%
Last 30 away (14)34.937.071.9-2.136%71%
Last 10 (10)32.537.970.4-5.420%60%
Last 5 (5)32.836.269.0-3.440%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.737.168.9-5.413%60%
vs Similar (12)38.832.371.1+6.492%75%
vs Weaker (3)39.329.769.0+9.7100%67%
New Haven ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A01/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
16-29
16
29
-13
A06/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
31-15
31
15
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A22/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H28/02
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)31.632.464.0-0.847%47%
Last 30 at home (15)33.330.363.6+2.960%40%
Last 30 away (15)29.934.564.5-4.633%53%
Last 10 (10)31.531.563.0+0.050%40%
Last 5 (5)34.432.266.6+2.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.339.365.7-13.00%50%
vs Similar (14)30.829.260.0+1.664%36%
vs Weaker (7)29.934.664.4-4.729%43%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Syracuse win
SYRA win
no forecast
@ 1.03
NEW win
no forecast
@ 14.00
1st half Spread Syracuse -15.5 · main lineActual: Syracuse -15.5
SYRA -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
NEW +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 65.5 · main lineActual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.32
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Syracuse 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Syracuse under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
New Haven Chargers 1st half total 25 · main lineActual: New Haven Chargers under 25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Syracuse -16.5Actual: Syracuse -16.5
SYRA -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
NEW +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Syracuse -14.5Actual: Syracuse -14.5
SYRA -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
NEW +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 63.5Actual: Under 63.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Syracuse -17.5Actual: Syracuse -17.5
SYRA -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
NEW +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Syracuse -13.5Actual: Syracuse -13.5
SYRA -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
NEW +13.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 61.5Actual: Under 61.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.67
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Syracuse -18.5Actual: Syracuse -18.5
SYRA -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
NEW +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Syracuse -12.5Actual: Syracuse -12.5
SYRA -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
NEW +12.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Syracuse (regulation)
SYRA
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
NEW
no forecast
@ 13.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SYRA win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
NEW win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SYRA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
New Haven Chargers +2084.4%3.50
Bet365
3.50		----+57.8ppWon
New Haven Chargers +2186.3%3.15
Bet365
3.15		----+56.8ppWon
New Haven Chargers +1982.2%3.50
Bet365
3.50		----+55.6ppWon
New Haven Chargers +20.584.7%3.17
Bet365
3.20
Betano
3.15		---+55.6ppWon
New Haven Chargers +19.582.7%3.40
Bet365
3.65
Betano
3.15		---+55.3ppWon
New Haven Chargers +2288.1%2.80
Bet365
2.80		----+55.1ppWon
New Haven Chargers +18.580.4%3.65
Bet365
3.65		----+54.9ppWon
New Haven Chargers +21.586.6%2.90
Betano
2.90
Bet365
2.90		---+54.8ppWon
New Haven Chargers +2389.7%2.60
Bet365
2.60		----+53.9ppWon
New Haven Chargers +22.588.3%2.66
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.65		---+53.6ppWon
New Haven Chargers +23.589.8%2.48
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45		---+52.3ppWon
New Haven Chargers +2491.1%2.35
Bet365
2.35		----+51.5ppWon
New Haven Chargers +2592.3%2.20
Bet365
2.20		----+50.2ppWon
New Haven Chargers +24.591.2%2.20
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.07		--+50.1ppWon
New Haven Chargers over 58.576.5%2.85
Betano
2.85		----+44.7ppLost
New Haven Chargers over 57.579.4%2.57
Betano
2.57		----+44.2ppWon
New Haven Chargers over 59.573.4%2.67
Betano
2.67		----+39.4ppLost
New Haven Chargers over 5586.6%1.82
Marathon Bet
1.82		----+35.8ppWon
New Haven Chargers over 55.584.6%1.93
Betano
2.18
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85		+35.2ppWon
New Haven Chargers over 5684.2%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+34.2ppWon
New Haven Chargers over 56.582.2%2.02
Betano
2.40
1xBet
1.94
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85		-+34.0ppWon
Syracuse under 8483.0%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+33.0ppWon
Syracuse under 84.583.4%1.70
1xBet
1.84
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.47		--+32.0ppWon
Syracuse under 8380.3%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+30.3ppWon
Syracuse under 83.580.8%1.76
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.60		-+29.4ppWon
Syracuse under 82.578.0%1.83
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.72		-+27.8ppWon
Syracuse under 8277.3%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83		----+26.7ppWon
Syracuse under 81.574.9%1.88
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.85		---+25.4ppWon
Syracuse under 8174.0%1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87		----+24.6ppWon
Syracuse under 87.589.8%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+23.7ppWon
Syracuse under 88.591.5%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+23.5ppWon
Syracuse under 89.592.9%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+23.5ppWon
Syracuse under 80.571.6%1.89
Betano
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.85		---+23.2ppWon
Syracuse under 85.585.8%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+21.3ppWon
Syracuse under 86.587.9%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+20.0ppWon
Over 13270.5%1.64
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.58		---+12.0ppPush
Over 13172.6%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+11.4ppWon
Over 131.571.1%1.58
Marathon Bet
1.66
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54		--+11.2ppWon
Over 130.573.2%1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47		---+10.3ppWon
Over 13074.7%1.44
Bet365
1.44		----+10.1ppWon
Over 129.575.2%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40		---+9.8ppWon
Over 12976.6%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+9.6ppWon
Over 128.577.1%1.37
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.35		---+9.1ppWon
Over 12878.5%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+8.5ppWon
Over 127.578.9%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+8.0ppWon
Syracuse (regulation)76.0%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----15.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Syracuse wins
0
New Haven Chargers wins
No previous meetings.
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26ASMU Mustangs69-86
07/03/26HPittsburgh69-71 OT
04/03/26ALouisville62-77
28/02/26AWake Forest83-88
21/02/26HNorth Carolina64-77
17/02/26ADuke64-101
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78
12/02/26HCalifornia107-100 OT
07/02/26AVirginia59-72
03/02/26ANorth Carolina77-87
New Haven Chargerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HLe Moyne66-59
27/02/26AWagner62-65
24/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)67-73
22/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson84-77
20/02/26HStonehill64-51
14/02/26HLIU Sharks55-52
13/02/26HCentral Connecticut State76-81
07/02/26HChicago State57-63
06/02/26ALIU Sharks55-60
01/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Syracuse
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 138.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
New Haven Chargers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 138.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
2 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
3 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
2 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Syracuse393574
New Haven Chargers174158
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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