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Syracuse vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-78
35-39 44-39
Position#236
Record14-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.9
Syracuse 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#129
Record17-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syracuse winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
73-81 OT
73
81
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-37
35-35
43-40
51-46
33-28
31-36
37-30
37-46
36-41
40-44
37-41
31-47
40-31
46-41
32-46
45-41
35-38
24-34
35-35
43-43
161.6Avg total
79.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.471.9148.3+4.556%
Season at home (15)79.368.8148.1+10.573%
Season away (10)72.076.6148.6-4.630%
Last 10 (10)79.781.9161.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)79.483.8163.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.575.5142.0-9.115%
vs Similar (12)83.872.8156.5+11.083%
vs Weaker (5)82.865.2148.0+17.680%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A07/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
45-40
35-41
40-41
39-38
38-38
37-40
31-32
45-36
46-43
46-34
37-46
47-44
27-44
42-34
41-50
34-32
52-35
43-37
46-44
157.9Avg total
79.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.577.5164.0+9.071%
Season at home (16)90.575.8166.2+14.888%
Season away (8)78.681.0159.6-2.438%
Last 10 (10)79.678.3157.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.080.0163.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.786.0158.7-13.30%
vs Similar (15)82.976.8159.7+6.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.372.4160.6+15.991%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -1.0-1.0
SyracuseSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/02
NCAA
74.3Avg total
37.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.732.168.7+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.029.666.6+7.481%-
Last 30 away (14)36.334.971.2+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.774.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.274.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.235.468.6-2.231%-
vs Similar (12)39.831.871.7+8.092%-
vs Weaker (5)38.024.062.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A08/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H17/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/02
NCAA
76.3Avg total
39.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.376.5+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.935.277.1+6.780%-
Last 30 away (10)36.638.675.2-2.030%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.076.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.278.6+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.044.384.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (15)40.636.477.0+4.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.234.574.6+5.764%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Syracuse wins
2
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25SMU Mustangs v Syracuse73-53
05/03/25SMU Mustangs v Syracuse77-75
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HCalifornia107-100 OT
07/02/26AVirginia59-72
03/02/26ANorth Carolina77-87
31/01/26HNotre Dame86-72
28/01/26ANC State68-88
24/01/26HMiami (FL)76-85
22/01/26HVirginia Tech74-76
17/01/26ABoston College73-81 OT
14/01/26HFlorida State94-86
10/01/26APittsburgh83-72
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HNotre Dame89-81
07/02/26APittsburgh86-67
04/02/26HNC State83-84
31/01/26ALouisville74-88
24/01/26HFlorida State83-80
21/01/26AWake Forest91-79
17/01/26HVirginia68-72
15/01/26HVirginia Tech77-76
10/01/26ADuke75-82
08/01/26AClemson70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Syracuse
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %56%73%30%
Points / game76.479.372.0
Allowed / game71.968.876.6
Point differential+4.5+10.5-4.6
Avg total148.3148.1148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%7%20%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWLWLW88%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %71%88%38%
Points / game86.590.578.6
Allowed / game77.575.881.0
Point differential+9.0+14.8-2.4
Avg total164.0166.2159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %8%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2523292%82.263.1+19.1
2 Virginia2521484%80.869.0+11.8
3 Miami (FL)2419579%83.869.8+14.0
4 North Carolina2419579%81.970.7+11.2
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2418675%87.170.9+16.2
7 NC State2518772%85.374.3+11.0
8 SMU Mustangs2417771%86.577.5+9.0
9 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
10 Virginia Tech2517868%79.674.0+5.5
11 Stanford2516964%75.972.7+3.2
12 Syracuse25141156%76.471.9+4.5
13 Wake Forest24121250%80.277.6+2.6
14 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
15 Florida State24111346%79.978.8+1.1
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Pittsburgh2591636%70.171.5-1.4
18 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Syracuse354479
SMU Mustangs393978
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