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Louisville vs Syracuse Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-62
39-21 38-41
Position#53
Record20-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game72.2
Louisville 🏆
USA
vs
Syracuse
USA
Position#236
Record15-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Louisville v Syracuse
03 Mar 2026
LOUI77
SYRA62
02 Mar 2024
LOUI76
SYRA82
03 Jan 2023
LOUI69
SYRA70
17 Feb 2021
LOUI v SYRA
upcoming
12 Mar 2020
LOUI v SYRA
upcoming
19 Feb 2020
LOUI90
SYRA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Syracuse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
118-77
118
77
+41
H10/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A14/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A24/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-38
24-45
44-47
44-27
38-32
38-33
43-34
45-46
56-36
62-41
34-34
48-37
49-52
36-43
42-31
45-39
38-39
36-38
35-38
40-42
159.7Avg total
82.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.072.2158.2+13.769%
Season at home (17)91.568.5159.9+23.088%
Season away (12)78.277.6155.8+0.642%
Last 10 (10)82.577.2159.7+5.360%
Last 5 (5)80.678.6159.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.583.5146.0-21.00%
vs Similar (5)72.283.4155.6-11.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.569.6160.1+21.087%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
40-44
37-41
31-47
40-31
46-41
32-46
45-41
35-38
24-34
35-35
43-43
35-39
44-39
24-40
40-61
28-33
36-44
46-42
37-46
161.1Avg total
76.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.973.9149.7+2.052%
Season at home (17)78.469.8148.2+8.671%
Season away (12)72.279.6151.8-7.325%
Last 10 (10)76.384.8161.1-8.530%
Last 5 (5)79.488.8168.2-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.478.5144.9-12.114%
vs Similar (11)82.671.8154.5+10.882%
vs Weaker (5)82.865.2148.0+17.680%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -5.4-5.4
LouisvilleSyracuse
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H10/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/02
NCAA
78.8Avg total
40.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.834.175.8+7.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.832.477.2+12.478%-
Last 30 away (12)37.236.673.8+0.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.178.8+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.538.075.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (5)31.240.471.6-9.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.432.376.8+12.170%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/02
NCAA
73.4Avg total
34.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.068.6+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.030.566.5+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)35.236.271.4-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.673.4-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.871.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.836.468.2-4.614%-
vs Similar (11)39.532.772.2+6.791%-
vs Weaker (5)38.024.062.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisville wins
4
Syracuse wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Syracuse v Louisville61-85
03/03/24Louisville v Syracuse76-82
08/02/24Syracuse v Louisville94-92
04/01/23Louisville v Syracuse69-70
05/02/22Syracuse v Louisville92-69
20/02/20Louisville v Syracuse90-66
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AClemson75-80
24/02/26ANorth Carolina74-77
21/02/26HGeorgia Tech87-70
18/02/26ASMU Mustangs85-95
14/02/26ABaylor82-71
10/02/26HNC State118-77
07/02/26AWake Forest88-80
05/02/26HNotre Dame76-65
31/01/26HSMU Mustangs88-74
27/01/26ADuke52-83
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AWake Forest83-88
21/02/26HNorth Carolina64-77
17/02/26ADuke64-101
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78
12/02/26HCalifornia107-100 OT
07/02/26AVirginia59-72
03/02/26ANorth Carolina77-87
31/01/26HNotre Dame86-72
28/01/26ANC State68-88
24/01/26HMiami (FL)76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %69%88%42%
Points / game86.091.578.2
Allowed / game72.268.577.6
Point differential+13.7+23.0+0.6
Avg total158.2159.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%76%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Syracuse
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %52%71%25%
Points / game75.978.472.2
Allowed / game73.969.879.6
Point differential+2.0+8.6-7.3
Avg total149.7148.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %10%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3028293%83.262.5+20.6
2 Virginia3126584%80.269.4+10.8
3 North Carolina3024680%80.470.9+9.6
4 Miami (FL)2923679%82.770.0+12.7
5 Clemson3021970%74.366.0+8.4
6 Louisville2920969%86.072.2+13.7
7 California2920969%77.772.6+5.2
8 SMU Mustangs29191066%85.878.0+7.8
9 NC State30191163%83.575.7+7.8
10 Virginia Tech29181162%78.974.6+4.3
11 Stanford29181162%75.872.4+3.3
12 Florida State29151452%79.777.6+2.1
13 Syracuse29151452%75.973.9+2.0
14 Wake Forest30151550%78.877.0+1.8
15 Notre Dame29131645%74.574.9-0.4
16 Pittsburgh29111838%70.071.2-1.2
17 Georgia Tech29111838%74.077.4-3.4
18 Boston College29101934%67.270.7-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville393877
Syracuse214162
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