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Tabiat vs Mahgol Alborz Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 104-112 (OT)
28-27 27-27 21-25 20-17 8-16
Position#3
Record14-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#5
Record9-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.9
IranSuper LeagueRound 17
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tabiat v Mahgol Alborz
06 Nov 2025
TABI86
MAHG75
13 Jan 2025
TABI104
MAHG112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tabiat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mahgol Alborz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TabiatIranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTabiat
Date
Competition
Mahgol Alborz
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 85
A31/10
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#10
W
82-50
82
50
+32
74avg 85
H04/11
Super League
Ayandeh Sazan Tehran
#11
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
73avg 85
A28/11
Super League
Kalleh
#1
W
107-89
107
89
+18
106avg 85
H02/12
Super League
Aseman Velayat
#12
W
122-85
122
85
+37
126avg 85
A07/12
Super League
Golnoor Ishafan
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
83avg 85
H19/12
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
W
92-80
92
80
+12
80avg 85
H26/12
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 85
A30/12
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#7
W
102-61
102
61
+41
103avg 85
H02/01
Super League
Zob Ahan
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 85
A06/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
15-17
25-21
21-21
23-5
22-13
10-19
27-13
19-19
18-13
17-26
17-13
17-20
35-23
21-22
34-24
28-24
32-25
34-20
28-16
25-21
20-18
22-22
25-23
21-32
27-17
24-20
20-11
20-22
28-23
16-18
25-14
21-15
32-9
27-20
22-17
15-20
20-25
25-22
15-17
169.7Avg total
93.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.173.5162.7+15.693%
Season at home (8)89.671.5161.1+18.1100%
Season away (7)88.675.9164.4+12.786%
Last 10 (10)93.076.7169.7+16.390%
Last 5 (5)90.077.2167.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.789.2172.8-5.550%
vs Similar (9)83.075.6158.6+7.489%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.776.0165.7+13.780%
This opponent (Mahgol Alborz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mahgol AlborzIranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlborz
Date
Competition
Sanaye Hormozgan
#9
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
106avg 79
A04/11
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 79
H28/11
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 79
A02/12
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
75avg 79
H07/12
Super League
Zob Ahan
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
78avg 79
A11/12
Super League
Golnoor Ishafan
#6
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
62avg 79
H23/12
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#10
W
86-82
86
82
+4
85avg 79
A26/12
Super League
Ayandeh Sazan Tehran
#11
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
94avg 79
H30/12
Super League
Kalleh
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
72avg 79
A02/01
Super League
Aseman Velayat
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
93avg 79
H06/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
30-22
34-31
21-23
30-8
16-25
12-19
27-25
16-23
23-21
21-17
18-19
25-17
20-12
15-16
21-22
24-22
20-20
21-23
23-18
20-14
15-14
15-26
18-14
25-19
27-21
19-20
15-22
26-30
21-21
23-19
24-24
17-26
28-25
20-18
22-23
33-13
13-14
30-23
23-19
174.9Avg total
90.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.580.9166.4+4.656%
Season at home (8)87.579.5167.0+8.062%
Season away (8)83.582.4165.9+1.150%
Last 10 (10)90.184.8174.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)90.885.6176.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.085.2168.2-2.220%
vs Similar (3)86.089.0175.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (8)86.975.2162.1+11.688%
This opponent (Tabiat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
TabiatMahgol Alborz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TabiatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mahgol Alborz
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/10
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#10
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H04/11
Super League
Ayandeh Sazan Tehran
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A28/11
Super League
Kalleh
#1
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H02/12
Super League
Aseman Velayat
#12
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A07/12
Super League
Golnoor Ishafan
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/12
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H26/12
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/12
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H02/01
Super League
Zob Ahan
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/01
Super League
84.7Avg total
46.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.183.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.438.983.3+5.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.441.382.7+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)46.538.284.7+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.486.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.844.888.7-1.033%-
vs Similar (9)39.740.980.6-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.537.782.1+6.873%-
This opponent (Mahgol Alborz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mahgol AlborzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sanaye Hormozgan
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/11
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H28/11
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A02/12
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#7
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/12
Super League
Zob Ahan
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/12
Super League
Golnoor Ishafan
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H23/12
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A26/12
Super League
Ayandeh Sazan Tehran
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H30/12
Super League
Kalleh
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A02/01
Super League
Aseman Velayat
#12
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H06/01
Super League
83.5Avg total
44.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)43.737.981.6+5.869%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.836.179.9+7.675%-
Last 30 away (8)43.639.883.4+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.183.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.484.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.843.888.6+1.040%-
vs Similar (3)39.335.074.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker (8)44.635.480.0+9.288%-
This opponent (Tabiat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tabiattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tabiat: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.023.0
59.0%
51.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.819.3
77.8%
68.1%19.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mahgol Alborztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mahgol Alborz: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.1
52.1%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.216.6
68.6%
68.1%16.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tabiat
LWWWWWWWWW
Mahgol Alborz
WLWWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#5
+20.3
Net rating
+6.1
115.8
Offensive rating
109.5
95.5
Defensive rating
103.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
36.1%
62.1%
Assist %
55.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 109.5Defence95.5 · 103.3Shooting54.7% · 52.9%3-point %32.4% · 36.1%Ball care17.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.3% · 28.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Tabiat   ■ Mahgol Alborz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tabiat wins
0
Mahgol Alborz wins
DateGameScore
31/10/24Mahgol Alborz v Tabiat80-88
Tabiatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25AZob Ahan75-84
02/01/25HPayesh Part Shahrod102-61
30/12/24APalayesh Naft Abadan89-77
26/12/24HShahrdari Gorgan92-80
19/12/24HGolnoor Ishafan92-84
07/12/24AAseman Velayat122-85
02/12/24HKalleh107-89
28/11/24AAyandeh Sazan Tehran81-77 OT
04/11/24HPetro Novin Mahshahr82-50
31/10/24AMahgol Alborz88-80
Mahgol Alborzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25HAseman Velayat99-69
02/01/25AKalleh87-92
30/12/24HAyandeh Sazan Tehran107-104 OT
26/12/24APetro Novin Mahshahr86-82
23/12/24HGolnoor Ishafan75-81 OT
11/12/24AZob Ahan88-83
07/12/24HPayesh Part Shahrod81-67
02/12/24APalayesh Naft Abadan78-80
28/11/24HShahrdari Gorgan85-77
04/11/24ASanaye Hormozgan115-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tabiat
Super League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game89.189.688.6
Allowed / game73.571.575.9
Point differential+15.6+18.1+12.7
Avg total162.7161.1164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Mahgol Alborz
Super League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game85.587.583.5
Allowed / game80.979.582.4
Point differential+4.6+8.0+1.1
Avg total166.4167.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %19%25%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tabiat1514193%89.173.5+15.6
2 Kalleh1613381%87.277.6+9.6
3 Palayesh Naft Abadan1511473%79.872.6+7.2
4 Shahrdari Gorgan1510567%84.373.6+10.7
5 Golnoor Ishafan159660%77.974.6+3.3
6 Mahgol Alborz169756%85.580.9+4.6
7 Zob Ahan167944%72.177.1-4.9
8 Payesh Part Shahrod156940%72.181.3-9.2
9 Sanaye Hormozgan113827%90.890.2+0.6
10 Petro Novin Mahshahr1741324%76.185.8-9.8
11 Ayandeh Sazan Tehran1631319%70.879.1-8.4
12 Aseman Velayat1731418%73.689.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tabiat282721208104
Mahgol Alborz2727251716112
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