Tajfun Sentjur vs KK Triglav Kranj Result & Analysis

Tajfun Sentjur host KK Triglav Kranj on 14 November 2026 in the Liga Nova KBM, with the model favouring Triglav and predicting a 64% chance of victory for the visitors and a 36% chance for the hosts, a projected score of 77-81 and a total of 158.0 points. Tajfun, 0-7 all games, average 68.4 points scored and 86.9 allowed, sits 10th in the league, and has gone 0-3 at home with 70.7 points scored and 86.0 allowed, losing their last five games, including a 77-99 loss to Helios Domzale, a 71-75 loss to Gorica and a 62-78 loss to Perspektiva Ilirija. Triglav, 1-5 overall, averages 76.8 points and 82.5 allowed, positioned 8th, and has gone 0-2 on the road with 74.5 points scored and 87.0 allowed, winning one of their last five games, a 78-76 home win over Sloboda Uzice, while losing to Gorica 80-102 and Polzela 82-98. In their 10 meetings Triglav has won three, most recently defeating Tajfun 82-58 on 3 May 2026. The spread is 2.0 in favour of the hosts with a 41% chance of covering, the over line is 153.0 with a 61% chance of hitting, and there is a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tajfun Sentjur winWon

36.4%fair 2.75

Best odds2.00

Implied48.5%

Edge-12.1pp

KK Triglav Kranj winLost

63.6%fair 1.57

Best odds1.82

Implied51.5%

Edge+12.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSentjur

Date

Competition

Helios Domzale

85-80

72avg 66

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

68-74

-6

60avg 66

H28/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

58-82

-24

48avg 66

A03/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

55-87

-32

40avg 66

A22/09

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

74-99

-25

65avg 66

H03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

73-86

-13

70avg 66

A11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

67-84

-17

52avg 66

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

62-78

-16

60avg 66

A21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

71-75

-4

64avg 66

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

77-99

-22

no box

A07/11

Liga Nova KBM

23-18

16-23

23-11

23-28

27-23

11-15

19-18

11-18

17-20

13-22

13-20

15-20

9-22

25-21

14-23

7-21

15-25

19-21

24-30

16-23

13-13

14-26

22-21

24-26

21-21

16-13

16-24

14-26

27-21

7-21

13-25

15-11

22-24

20-17

8-15

21-19

19-32

18-21

24-29

16-17

153.4Avg total

69.0Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	68.4	86.9	155.3	-18.4	0%
Season at home (3)	70.7	86.0	156.7	-15.3	0%
Season away (4)	66.8	87.5	154.2	-20.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.0	84.4	153.4	-15.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	84.4	154.4	-14.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	71.0	87.6	158.6	-16.6	13%
vs Similar (5)	81.6	79.0	160.6	+2.6	40%
vs Weaker (2)	88.5	66.5	155.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KK Triglav Kranj Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKranj

Date

Competition

Perspektiva Ilirija

70-86

-16

67avg 73

H11/05

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

65-72

-7

56avg 73

A13/05

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

69-72

-3

59avg 73

A26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

79-89

-10

75avg 73

H30/09

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

79-60

+19

80avg 73

H09/10

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

72-74

-2

69avg 73

H16/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sutjeska

80-87

-7

80avg 73

A21/10

ABA League 2

Polzela

82-98

-16

no box

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sloboda Uzice

#11

78-76

no box

H03/11

ABA League 2

Gorica

80-102

102

-22

no box

A07/11

Liga Nova KBM

19-20

11-29

25-22

15-15

9-20

21-24

18-14

17-14

17-18

17-27

18-10

17-17

8-23

31-22

11-23

29-21

16-15

25-21

22-7

16-17

13-19

21-22

18-17

20-16

32-18

14-32

22-18

12-19

17-39

24-24

18-17

23-18

20-20

27-15

16-17

15-24

24-30

23-21

20-22

13-29

157.0Avg total

75.4Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	76.8	82.5	159.3	-5.7	17%
Season at home (4)	78.0	80.2	158.2	-2.2	25%
Season away (2)	74.5	87.0	161.5	-12.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	81.6	157.0	-6.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	87.4	165.8	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	77.9	84.9	162.8	-7.0	25%
vs Similar (7)	78.7	81.7	160.4	-3.0	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	79.7	72.4	152.1	+7.3	60%

This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 149.5Actual: Over 149.5

Over 149.5

69.1%

@ 1.70+11.7pp

Under 149.5

30.9%

@ 2.50-11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.70

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.53

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.15

1xBet

1.88

Over/Under 154.75 · main lineActual: Over 154.75

Over 154.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under 154.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.78

Under

1xBet

1.78

Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5

Over 159.5

45.6%

@ 2.60+9.2pp

Under 159.5

54.4%

@ 1.50-9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

Bet365

2.50

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.42

📊 3. Team Totals

Tajfun Sentjur total 72.5Actual: Tajfun Sentjur over 72.5

Over 72.5

66.6%

@ 1.44+3.0pp

Under 72.5

33.4%

@ 2.52-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.40

Tajfun Sentjur total 76.5 · main lineActual: Tajfun Sentjur over 76.5

Over 76.5

51.6%

@ 1.88+1.7pp

Under 76.5

48.4%

@ 1.83-1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.72

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.72

Tajfun Sentjur total 80.5Actual: Tajfun Sentjur over 80.5

Over 80.5

36.5%

@ 2.65+0.8pp

Under 80.5

63.5%

@ 1.40-0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.37

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

KK Triglav Kranj total 73.5Actual: KK Triglav Kranj over 73.5

Over 73.5

76.7%

@ 1.47+13.5pp

Under 73.5

23.3%

@ 2.44-13.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.37

Under

1xBet

2.44

Betano

2.42

KK Triglav Kranj total 77.5 · main lineActual: KK Triglav Kranj under 77.5

Over 77.5

63.2%

@ 1.93+12.9pp

Under 77.5

36.8%

@ 1.86-12.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.93

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.70

Under

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.75

Betano

1.75

KK Triglav Kranj total 81.5Actual: KK Triglav Kranj under 81.5

Over 81.5

47.8%

@ 2.65+11.8pp

Under 81.5

52.2%

@ 1.40-11.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.34

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Tajfun Sentjur -2Actual: Tajfun Sentjur -2

TSE -2

31.2%

@ 2.27-12.6pp

KK T +2

68.8%

@ 1.65+12.6pp

Best 5 market prices

TSE

Bet365

2.27

Pinnacle

2.12

KK T

Pinnacle

1.65

Bet365

1.58

Marathon Be

1.58

Spread Tajfun Sentjur +1 · main lineActual: Tajfun Sentjur +1

TSE +1

37.4%

@ 1.93-12.2pp

KK T -1

62.6%

@ 1.85+12.2pp

Best 5 market prices

TSE

SBO

1.93

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.86

KK T

Pinnacle

1.85

Bet365

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

SBO

1.73

Spread Tajfun Sentjur +4Actual: Tajfun Sentjur +4

TSE +4

48.8%

@ 1.58-9.0pp

KK T -4

51.2%

@ 2.22+9.0pp

Best 5 market prices

TSE

Bet365

1.58

Pinnacle

1.57

Marathon Be

1.54

KK T

Bet365

2.22

Pinnacle

2.15

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tajfun SentjurKK Triglav Kranj

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.4	40%	80%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.8	29%	93%
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.2	50%	69%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.0	22.7	42.7	-2.7	30%	78%
vs Similar (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	18.5	46.5	+9.5	100%	100%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.4	40.6	-2.3	33%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	47%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	22.4	41.5	-3.2	15%	54%
Last 10 (10)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.2	46.4	-4.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.3	22.9	40.2	-5.6	17%	50%
vs Similar (7)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	43%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	50%	40%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.5	27%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	29%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	25%	62%
Last 10 (10)	15.9	20.0	35.9	-4.1	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.6	34.6	-4.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.1	22.5	38.6	-6.4	17%	57%
vs Similar (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	40%
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	100%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.2	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	53%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.3	46%	69%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.7	45.1	-2.3	40%	100%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.6	22.8	43.3	-2.2	33%	75%
vs Similar (7)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.4	43%	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.3	70%	40%

Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helios Domzale

39-41

-2

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

38-38

H28/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

30-42

-12

A03/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

34-43

-9

A22/09

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

34-46

-12

H03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

27-39

-12

A11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

37-34

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

34-42

-8

A21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

42-41

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

37-53

-16

A07/11

Liga Nova KBM

77.1Avg total

35.2Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	37.9	43.9	81.8	-6.0	27%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	44.2	81.6	-6.8	29%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	43.6	81.9	-5.2	25%	81%
Last 10 (10)	35.2	41.9	77.1	-6.7	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	35.4	41.8	77.2	-6.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	36.1	45.2	81.3	-9.0	17%	70%
vs Similar (5)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	40%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	51.0	36.0	87.0	+15.0	100%	100%

This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KK Triglav KranjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perspektiva Ilirija

30-49

-19

H11/05

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

30-44

-14

A13/05

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

34-45

-11

A26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

39-45

-6

H30/09

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

41-36

H09/10

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

34-41

-7

H16/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sutjeska

46-50

-4

A21/10

ABA League 2

Polzela

41-63

-22

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sloboda Uzice

#11

47-35

+12

H03/11

ABA League 2

Gorica

47-51

-4

A07/11

Liga Nova KBM

84.8Avg total

38.9Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.4	82.3	-2.5	37%	70%
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	41.3	81.7	-0.9	47%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	39.2	43.8	83.0	-4.5	23%	69%
Last 10 (10)	38.9	45.9	84.8	-7.0	20%	80%
Last 5 (5)	43.0	48.0	91.0	-5.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.9	45.7	83.6	-7.8	17%	67%
vs Similar (7)	39.6	44.3	83.9	-4.7	29%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.8	37.8	79.6	+4.0	60%	50%

This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Tajfun Sentjur win

TSE win

no forecast

@ 1.93

KK T win

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half Spread Tajfun Sentjur +0.5 · main lineActual: Tajfun Sentjur +0.5

TSE +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

KK T -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Under 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.95

Tajfun Sentjur 1st half total 38 · main linePush

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

KK Triglav Kranj 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: KK Triglav Kranj under 38.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half: TSE + total 76.5

TSE & over

no forecast

@ 3.90

TSE & under

no forecast

@ 3.90

1st half: Draw + total 76.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: KK T + total 76.5

KK T & over

no forecast

@ 3.55

KK T & under

no forecast

@ 3.55

1st half Spread Tajfun Sentjur +1.5Actual: Tajfun Sentjur +1.5

TSE +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.72

KK T -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread Tajfun Sentjur -1.5Actual: Tajfun Sentjur -1.5

TSE -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

KK T +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Tajfun Sentjur +2.5Actual: Tajfun Sentjur +2.5

TSE +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

KK T -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.45

Under

no forecast

@ 2.60

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.62

Under

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Tajfun Sentjur (regulation)

TSE

no forecast

@ 2.02

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

KK T

no forecast

@ 1.87

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	43%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	21.7	38.6	-4.8	31%	44%
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.8	39.4	-6.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.3	21.0	38.4	-3.7	35%	52%
vs Similar (5)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.4	40%	20%
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.5	37.9	+0.8	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	17.5	37.5	+2.6	71%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.1	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	58%	58%
vs Similar (7)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.6	57%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	60%	30%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-1.9	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	29%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.2	37.9	-0.4	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.9	37.1	-4.7	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.5	21.4	38.9	-3.9	26%	57%
vs Similar (5)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	60%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	9.5	28.5	+9.5	100%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.7	50%	37%
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	17.4	36.4	+1.7	53%	29%
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	46%	46%
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	58%	58%
vs Similar (7)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	29%	14%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.7	16.3	35.0	+2.4	60%	20%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	36.0	40.9	76.9	-4.9	23%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	40.9	77.4	-4.4	21%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	40.9	76.5	-5.2	25%	56%
Last 10 (10)	33.8	42.5	76.3	-8.7	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	34.6	42.6	77.2	-8.0	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	34.9	42.4	77.3	-7.6	13%	61%
vs Similar (5)	40.8	38.0	78.8	+2.8	60%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	30.5	68.0	+7.0	50%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.9	75.3	+1.5	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (17)	39.1	34.8	73.9	+4.3	71%	29%
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	39.5	77.0	-2.1	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	36.5	35.7	72.2	+0.8	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	35.4	39.4	74.8	-4.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	50%	58%
vs Similar (7)	37.4	35.4	72.9	+2.0	71%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	37.9	34.6	72.5	+3.3	70%	30%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

TSE win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

KK T win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TSE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KK T leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (TSE:KK T): TSE wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
KK Triglav Kranj over 75.5	70.3%	1.59	Betano 1.67	1xBet 1.51	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 73.5	76.7%	1.42	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 71.5	82.2%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 74.5	73.6%	1.50	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.43	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +3	72.0%	1.53	Pinnacle 1.56	Marathon Bet 1.50	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Lost
KK Triglav Kranj +2.5	70.0%	1.55	Pinnacle 1.61	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.55	1xBet 1.45	+12.4pp	Lost
KK Triglav Kranj over 72.5	79.5%	1.36	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +6.5	81.1%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Over 148.5	71.2%	1.53	Betano 1.53	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Over 147.5	73.2%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +7.5	83.5%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Over 146.5	75.2%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Over 145.5	77.1%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +8.5	85.5%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 70.5	84.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 67.5	90.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 68.5	88.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +4.5	75.8%	1.36	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +5.5	78.6%	1.30	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +3.5	72.8%	1.45	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
KK Triglav Kranj over 66.5	92.1%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +13.5	93.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 64.5	94.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +18.5	96.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj over 62.5	96.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Over 144.5	78.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj +23.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Over 139.5	86.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Over 129.5	95.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Over 134.5	92.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 96.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 95.5	95.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 66.5	84.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.9%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 93.5	94.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur +21.5	93.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 70.5	73.4%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 91.5	91.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 67.5	82.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 71.5	70.1%	1.36	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 87.5	84.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 86.5	81.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 69.5	76.5%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 89.5	88.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 85.5	79.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 83.5	73.6%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 82.5	70.4%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Under 179.5	90.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur +16.5	86.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj under 92.5	87.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Under 174.5	84.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur +11.5	74.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj under 90.5	82.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj under 88.5	77.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
Under 169.5	76.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj under 87.5	74.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-5.5pp	Won
KK Triglav Kranj under 86.5	70.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-7.0pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 66.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	17.8	49.7%	53.4%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	6.4	27.2%	30.3%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.0	68.2%	70.0%	12.0

They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

KK Triglav Kranjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Triglav Kranj: 75.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.8	56.7%	53.4%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	7.2	27.1%	30.3%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.3	70.7%	70.0%	12.3

They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	23.5	59.5%	53.4%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	7.1	34.3%	30.3%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	23.0	16.3	70.9%	70.0%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.1	52.8%	53.4%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	8.0	34.6%	30.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.3	68.6%	70.0%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	17.1	48.7%	53.4%	34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.5	32.9%	30.3%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.7	71.4%	70.0%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	20.8	55.7%	53.4%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.4	31.0%	30.3%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.0	70.8%	70.0%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	21.2	56.2%	53.4%	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.5	32.9%	30.3%	22.4
🏀 Free throws	24.8	17.4	70.2%	70.0%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	19.3	52.4%	53.4%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	8.3	35.0%	30.3%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.1	71.2%	70.0%	15.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Tajfun Sentjur

LLLLLLLLLW

KK Triglav Kranj

LWLLLWLLLL

#10

League position

-21.6

Net rating

+0.0

81.1

Offensive rating

91.4

102.8

Defensive rating

91.4

46.2%

Effective FG%

49.9%

56.7%

Opp. effective FG%

52.4%

19.0%

Turnover %

17.4%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.27

27.2%

3-point %

27.1%

61.6%

Assist %

75.0%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Tajfun Sentjur ■ KK Triglav Kranj

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tajfun Sentjur wins

KK Triglav Kranj wins

Date	Game	Score
03/05/26	KK Triglav Kranj v Tajfun Sentjur	82-58
10/01/26	Tajfun Sentjur v KK Triglav Kranj	74-70
17/10/25	KK Triglav Kranj v Tajfun Sentjur	74-83 OT
07/12/24	Tajfun Sentjur v KK Triglav Kranj	81-88
28/09/24	KK Triglav Kranj v Tajfun Sentjur	67-70
16/03/24	Tajfun Sentjur v KK Triglav Kranj	96-68
08/01/24	Tajfun Sentjur v KK Triglav Kranj	63-81
28/10/23	KK Triglav Kranj v Tajfun Sentjur	59-64
23/04/22	Tajfun Sentjur v KK Triglav Kranj	20-0
19/03/22	KK Triglav Kranj v Tajfun Sentjur	67-94

Tajfun Sentjurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Helios Domzale	77-99
31/10/26	H	Gorica	71-75
21/10/26	A	Perspektiva Ilirija	62-78
17/10/26	H	Polzela	67-84
11/10/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	73-86
03/10/26	H	Sencur	74-99
22/09/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	55-87
03/05/26	A	KK Triglav Kranj	58-82
28/04/26	H	Sencur	68-74
23/04/26	A	Helios Domzale	85-80

KK Triglav Kranjlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Gorica	80-102
03/11/26	H	Sloboda Uzice	78-76
31/10/26	H	Polzela	82-98
21/10/26	A	Sutjeska	80-87
16/10/26	H	Rogaska	72-74
09/10/26	H	Helios Domzale	79-60
30/09/26	H	Perspektiva Ilirija	79-89
26/09/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	69-72
13/05/26	A	Perspektiva Ilirija	65-72
11/05/26	H	Perspektiva Ilirija	70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tajfun Sentjur

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	68.4	70.7	66.8
Allowed / game	86.9	86.0	87.5
Point differential	-18.4	-15.3	-20.8
Avg total	155.3	156.7	154.2
Over 154.75	43%	33%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

KK Triglav Kranj

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	17%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	17%	25%	0%
Points / game	76.8	78.0	74.5
Allowed / game	82.5	80.2	87.0
Point differential	-5.7	-2.2	-12.5
Avg total	159.3	158.2	161.5
Over 154.75	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	17%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Krka Novo mesto	8	8	0	100%	90.4	68.8	+21.6
2	Polzela	8	6	2	75%	83.8	72.2	+11.5
3	Perspektiva Ilirija	8	6	2	75%	84.0	73.6	+10.4
4	Sencur	7	5	2	71%	85.9	79.6	+6.3
5	Gorica	8	4	4	50%	75.8	77.4	-1.6
6	Rogaska	8	4	4	50%	68.4	78.4	-10.0
7	Zlatorog Lasko	8	3	5	38%	68.5	77.5	-9.0
8	KK Triglav Kranj	6	1	5	17%	76.8	82.5	-5.7
9	Helios Domzale	8	1	7	12%	71.8	79.8	-8.0
10	Tajfun Sentjur	7	0	7	0%	68.4	86.9	-18.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tajfun Sentjur	23	15	24	19	81
KK Triglav Kranj	18	10	21	28	77

← all games of the day

Tajfun Sentjur vs KK Triglav Kranj Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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