PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tarbes vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-91
22-19 21-26 17-25 15-21
Position#52
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tarbes
France
vs
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
Position#8
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FranceFrench Cup· Tarbes Palais des Sports
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarbes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarbesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTarbes
Date
Competition
Elan Bearnais
#10
L
50-70
50
70
-20
no box
H14/09
French Cup
Poitiers
#33
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
H11/09
French Cup
Orleans
#5
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
H22/09
French Cup
Aubenas
#41
W
77-58
77
58
+19
no box
A07/11
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#4
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
H23/01
French Cup
Orleans
#9
L
48-90
48
90
-42
no box
H15/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#12
L
47-82
47
82
-35
no box
H23/09
French Cup
Ada Blois
#13
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H22/09
French Cup
Poitiers
#24
L
56-75
56
75
-19
no box
H20/09
French Cup
La Rochelle
#18
L
68-100
68
100
-32
no box
A17/09
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
10-15
17-18
13-18
–
–
–
–
15-16
16-18
15-20
17-17
27-18
11-20
17-4
22-16
21-17
13-21
19-18
18-17
20-29
12-24
6-22
10-15
8-26
13-18
18-16
8-22
15-18
20-13
12-19
18-27
15-19
8-16
11-20
22-20
15-31
22-20
20-30
11-19
137.1Avg total
61.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)61.176.0137.1-14.920%
Last 5 (5)56.884.8141.6-28.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.377.0139.3-14.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)71.073.0144.0-2.00%
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
98avg 85
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
79-76
79
76
+3
93avg 85
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
105avg 85
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
67-85
67
85
-18
80avg 85
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
90avg 85
A03/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
65-52
65
52
+13
72avg 85
H10/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
80avg 85
A16/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
82avg 85
H19/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
88avg 85
H13/09
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
78-64
78
64
+14
90avg 85
A20/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
28-18
18-16
20-25
21-18
16-18
22-18
20-22
18-18
28-16
23-17
18-20
21-33
22-20
13-18
11-14
18-16
19-16
23-18
20-28
9-12
18-11
11-16
27-13
21-14
16-27
19-24
15-20
28-15
14-31
19-13
11-14
19-21
25-13
18-21
13-16
22-8
23-11
11-22
22-23
149.3Avg total
75.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.873.5149.3+2.370%
Last 5 (5)72.269.0141.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.678.6148.2-9.020%
vs Similar (18)77.377.3154.6+0.156%
vs Weaker (7)84.179.9164.0+4.357%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
TarbesPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TarbesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elan Bearnais
#10
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H14/09
French Cup
Orleans
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/09
French Cup
Aubenas
#41
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/11
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/01
French Cup
Orleans
#9
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H15/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#12
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H23/09
French Cup
Ada Blois
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H22/09
French Cup
Poitiers
#24
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H20/09
French Cup
La Rochelle
#18
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A17/09
French Cup
69.9Avg total
30.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)29.738.668.4-8.99%-
Last 30 at home (9)28.037.365.3-9.311%-
Last 30 away (2)37.544.582.0-7.00%-
Last 10 (9)30.139.869.9-9.711%-
Last 5 (5)29.642.872.4-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.067.5-4.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)34.038.072.0-4.00%-
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H10/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H19/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H13/09
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A20/09
Pro B
76.1Avg total
40.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.877.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.238.278.5+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)38.139.277.4-1.141%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.776.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.671.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.240.074.2-5.820%-
vs Similar (18)39.238.777.9+0.556%-
vs Weaker (7)42.038.180.1+3.943%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tarbestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tarbes: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
46%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.0
50.0%
53.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.0
31.0%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.09.0
56.2%
74.1%9.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
46%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.4
48.6%
53.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
74.1%13.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tarbes
LLLLLLWLWL
Pau-Orthez
WWLLWWLWWW
#52
League position
#8
-42.2
Net rating
+3.3
89.8
Offensive rating
104.4
132.0
Defensive rating
101.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
65.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
26.0%
Turnover %
21.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.0%
3-point %
35.2%
48.0%
Assist %
59.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 104.4Defence132.0 · 101.1Shooting48.4% · 50.3%3-point %31.0% · 35.2%Ball care26.0% · 21.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 35.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Tarbes   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarbes wins
0
Pau-Orthez wins
No previous meetings.
Tarbeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/23ALa Rochelle68-100
20/09/22HPoitiers56-75
22/09/21HAda Blois65-77
23/09/20HBoulazac47-82
15/10/19HOrleans48-90
23/01/18HDenain-Voltaire71-73
07/11/17AAubenas77-58
22/09/15HOrleans63-71
11/09/15HPoitiers66-64
14/09/14HElan Bearnais50-70
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/24AFos-sur-Mer78-64
13/09/24HVichy75-71
19/05/24HVichy72-73
16/05/24AVichy71-85
10/05/24HLa Rochelle65-52
03/05/24APoitiers80-78
28/04/24AASA67-85
19/04/24HFos-sur-Mer87-71
12/04/24ALille79-76
09/04/24HBoulazac84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarbes
French Cup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pau-Orthez
French Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mulhouse110100%82.078.0+4.0
2 Metz1010%78.082.0-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tarbes2221171575
Pau-Orthez1926252191
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.