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Tarleton vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-71
25-35 39-36
Position#183
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game61.5
vs
Drake 🏆
USA
Position#24
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#112
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H17/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A19/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
21-34
42-23
37-37
42-22
33-40
31-20
26-29
24-29
26-40
23-26
33-35
29-32
30-30
39-30
56-19
44-31
45-50
35-19
35-35
130.2Avg total
68.6Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.261.5139.8+16.875%
Season at home (1)95.049.0144.0+46.0100%
Season away (3)72.765.7138.3+7.067%
Last 10 (10)68.661.6130.2+7.060%
Last 5 (5)73.861.4135.2+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.070.7133.7-7.721%
vs Similar (4)71.269.2140.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (12)71.957.8129.7+14.292%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#242
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H06/03
NCAA
IPFW
#16
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H19/03
CBI
NC Wilmington
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H21/03
CBI
IUPUI
#364
W
80-48
80
48
+32
H10/11
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-29
0-0
40-36
0-0
34-20
0-0
28-40
0-0
28-26
0-0
37-26
0-0
25-27
0-0
33-37
0-0
41-28
0-0
46-37
0-0
41-24
0-0
34-52
0-0
40-17
0-0
40-31
0-0
36-33
0-0
44-39
0-0
33-40
0-0
47-32
0-0
34-18
0-0
27-38
134.9Avg total
71.9Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.262.0137.2+13.2100%
Season at home (3)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)61.056.0117.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.963.0134.9+8.980%
Last 5 (5)75.264.8140.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)69.271.0140.2-1.830%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)74.663.4138.0+11.294%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.8+0.8
TarletonDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#112
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A19/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A21/11
NCAA
61.1Avg total
34.4Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.629.562.1+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.929.563.4+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.229.560.7+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)34.426.761.1+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.027.661.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.132.661.7-3.621%-
vs Similar (4)34.231.265.5+3.050%-
vs Weaker (12)36.125.261.3+10.883%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#242
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H06/03
NCAA
IPFW
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H19/03
CBI
NC Wilmington
#1
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H21/03
CBI
IUPUI
#364
W
40-17
40
17
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H18/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A20/11
NCAA
60.5Avg total
34.3Scored
26.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.329.264.5+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.328.064.3+8.374%-
Last 30 away (11)33.731.365.0+2.555%-
Last 10 (10)34.326.260.5+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.826.463.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.230.864.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)35.829.365.1+6.667%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
0
Drake wins
No previous meetings.
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22ABoston College70-54
18/11/22ABelmont89-81
11/11/22HKansas Christian95-49
08/11/22AArizona State59-62
06/03/22AAbilene Christian56-61
04/03/22ASam Houston St.50-69
27/02/22HLamar57-49
25/02/22HUTRGV75-62
19/02/22AChicago State79-60
17/02/22HUtah Valley State56-69
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22AWyoming61-56
18/11/22HBuffalo80-72
15/11/22HWofford80-72
10/11/22HIUPUI80-48
21/03/22HNC Wilmington75-76
19/03/22HIPFW87-65
06/03/22HLoyola Chicago58-64
05/03/22HSouthern Illinois65-52
26/02/22HSouthern Illinois62-60
24/02/22AValparaiso71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game78.295.072.7
Allowed / game61.549.065.7
Point differential+16.8+46.0+7.0
Avg total139.8144.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.280.061.0
Allowed / game62.064.056.0
Point differential+13.2+16.0+5.0
Avg total137.2144.0117.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton43175%78.261.5+16.8
2 California Baptist43175%64.560.2+4.2
3 Southern Utah53260%98.268.2+30.0
4 Abilene Christian42250%72.064.0+8.0
5 Utah Valley State63350%73.067.5+5.5
6 UT Arlington52340%70.063.6+6.4
7 Utah Tech52340%73.080.0-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State440100%85.868.5+17.2
2 Drake440100%75.262.0+13.2
3 Bradley43175%79.266.0+13.2
4 Southern Illinois43175%66.259.5+6.8
5 Murray State53260%78.470.8+7.6
6 Illinois (Chi.)53260%70.865.6+5.2
7 Belmont63350%77.076.5+0.5
8 Valparaiso42250%73.275.2-2.0
9 Illinois State52340%63.866.8-3.0
10 Northern Iowa31233%76.364.0+12.3
11 Evansville41325%62.869.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton253964
Drake353671
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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