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Tarleton vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 56-69
35-35 21-34
Position#235
Record11-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#112
Record16-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Tarleton v Utah Valley State
29 Jan 2026
TARL55
UTAH83
01 Jan 2026
TARL85
UTAH91
08 Mar 2025
TARL66
UTAH71
07 Mar 2024
TARL60
UTAH63
23 Feb 2023
TARL77
UTAH58
16 Feb 2022
TARL56
UTAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A14/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A16/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/01
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A30/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-31
33-33
28-32
34-30
29-35
28-38
22-44
37-36
28-40
56-48
32-35
36-41
34-28
28-29
42-26
37-38
27-27
30-27
37-37
26-40
138.5Avg total
68.1Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.266.2131.4-1.044%
Season at home (12)70.664.0134.6+6.667%
Season away (13)60.268.2128.4-8.123%
Last 10 (10)68.170.4138.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)65.865.6131.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.271.8136.0-7.523%
vs Similar (8)60.962.4123.2-1.550%
vs Weaker (9)67.158.3125.4+8.878%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#258
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H08/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A13/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A16/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H22/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
101-87
101
87
+14
A28/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A04/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H11/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-32
33-39
32-23
33-48
35-35
38-40
29-30
37-26
32-16
26-25
52-37
49-50
31-38
28-40
22-30
35-24
30-28
39-51
32-23
40-45
137.9Avg total
69.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.366.0139.2+7.367%
Season at home (12)75.863.2139.0+12.583%
Season away (12)70.868.7139.5+2.250%
Last 10 (10)69.968.0137.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)71.673.2144.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.068.7134.7-2.750%
vs Similar (12)65.970.2136.2-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.562.9143.5+17.6100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.0-3.0
TarletonUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A16/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/01
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A27/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
32.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.130.361.5+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.130.163.2+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)29.430.559.9-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.565.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.665.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.433.062.4-3.631%-
vs Similar (8)29.429.659.0-0.250%-
vs Weaker (9)35.227.162.3+8.167%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#258
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A13/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
32-16
32
16
+16
H22/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A28/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H11/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H12/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
34.1Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.562.7+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.727.261.9+7.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.731.863.5-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)34.129.263.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.264.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.529.058.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (12)30.430.961.3-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.028.965.9+8.173%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
2
Utah Valley State wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/22HAbilene Christian63-77
06/02/22HChicago State57-54
30/01/22AUTRGV79-64
27/01/22ALamar62-57
23/01/22HSeattle68-76
21/01/22HCalifornia Baptist84-88
16/01/22AGrand Canyon59-80
14/01/22ANew Mexico State57-73
09/01/22HStephen F. Austin77-71 OT
07/01/22HSam Houston St.75-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22HNew Mexico State72-68
11/02/22HGrand Canyon69-79
05/02/22ASam Houston St.57-54
04/02/22AStephen F. Austin59-78
28/01/22AChicago State101-87
22/01/22HLamar58-41
21/01/22HUTRGV66-56
16/01/22ACalifornia Baptist73-75
13/01/22ASeattle65-71
08/01/22HUtah Tech79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%67%23%
Points / game65.270.660.2
Allowed / game66.264.068.2
Point differential-1.0+6.6-8.1
Avg total131.4134.6128.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game73.375.870.8
Allowed / game66.063.268.7
Point differential+7.3+12.5+2.2
Avg total139.2139.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian2417771%78.066.8+11.2
2 Utah Valley State2416867%73.366.0+7.3
3 Southern Utah2416867%80.073.8+6.2
4 California Baptist25141156%73.668.0+5.6
5 Utah Tech25121348%74.474.1+0.3
6 Tarleton25111444%65.266.2-1.0
7 UT Arlington24101442%68.569.9-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton352156
Utah Valley State353469
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