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Sam Houston St. vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 69-50
29-24 40-26
Position#146
Record17-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game64.2
Sam Houston St. 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#235
Record14-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Tarleton
07 Jan 2023
SAM 75
TARL68
03 Mar 2022
SAM 69
TARL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#42
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H04/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
H18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A20/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
41-67
41
67
-26
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-32
32-24
31-34
42-34
39-30
24-48
38-28
39-25
30-22
24-35
39-26
33-33
38-28
25-35
32-27
35-34
28-41
39-28
22-35
19-32
128.6Avg total
64.7Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.164.2133.3+4.957%
Season at home (14)74.361.5135.8+12.871%
Season away (16)64.566.6131.1-2.144%
Last 10 (10)64.763.9128.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)64.465.4129.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.864.4123.2-5.660%
vs Similar (12)61.966.2128.1-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.763.1140.8+14.675%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#173
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/01
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A30/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H17/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A19/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
56-48
32-35
36-41
34-28
28-29
42-26
37-38
27-27
30-27
37-37
26-40
35-35
21-34
42-23
37-37
42-22
33-40
31-20
26-29
133.6Avg total
68.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)65.465.3130.7+0.048%
Season at home (15)69.063.2132.2+5.867%
Season away (14)61.567.6129.1-6.129%
Last 10 (10)68.065.6133.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)66.063.4129.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.671.6135.2-7.921%
vs Similar (5)61.463.8125.2-2.440%
vs Weaker (11)69.757.5127.2+12.391%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
Sam Houston St.Tarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#42
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H04/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A27/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.330.263.4+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.728.464.1+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)31.131.862.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.330.362.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.463.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.632.061.6-2.440%-
vs Similar (12)29.330.359.7-1.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.329.566.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#173
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/01
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A27/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A19/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
35.0Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.929.461.3+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.128.963.0+5.353%-
Last 30 away (15)29.729.959.7-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)35.029.364.3+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.427.464.8+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.833.162.9-3.429%-
vs Similar (5)28.028.656.6-0.640%-
vs Weaker (11)36.525.061.5+11.582%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sam Houston St. wins
1
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
07/01/22Tarleton v Sam Houston St.75-64
Sam Houston St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22AGrand Canyon41-67
25/02/22AStephen F. Austin67-69
20/02/22AUTRGV67-61
18/02/22HAbilene Christian75-71 OT
12/02/22AChicago State72-59
05/02/22HUtah Valley State54-57
04/02/22HUtah Tech77-53
29/01/22ASeattle63-78
27/01/22ACalifornia Baptist73-68
22/01/22HGrand Canyon58-56
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22HLamar57-49
25/02/22HUTRGV75-62
19/02/22AChicago State79-60
17/02/22HUtah Valley State56-69
13/02/22HAbilene Christian63-77
06/02/22HChicago State57-54
30/01/22AUTRGV79-64
27/01/22ALamar62-57
23/01/22HSeattle68-76
21/01/22HCalifornia Baptist84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %57%71%44%
Points / game69.174.364.5
Allowed / game64.261.566.6
Point differential+4.9+12.8-2.1
Avg total133.3135.8131.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLWWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%67%29%
Points / game65.469.061.5
Allowed / game65.363.267.6
Point differential+0.0+5.8-6.1
Avg total130.7132.2129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State2923679%73.966.0+8.0
2 Middle Tenn. St.3022873%74.366.3+8.0
3 Louisiana Tech2820871%77.468.9+8.5
4 Missouri State3122971%77.868.3+9.5
5 Jacksonville State3021970%74.767.2+7.5
6 Liberty32221069%74.163.8+10.3
7 Delaware30191163%75.271.3+3.9
8 Western Kentucky30181260%76.069.5+6.4
9 UTEP28161257%68.966.6+2.4
10 Sam Houston St.30171357%69.164.2+4.9
11 Kennesaw State31131842%74.871.2+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2819968%72.665.2+7.4
2 Abilene Christian2718967%77.466.4+11.0
3 Southern Utah28181064%78.872.8+6.0
4 California Baptist30161453%71.767.0+4.7
5 Tarleton29141548%65.465.3+0.0
6 Utah Tech29131645%73.474.0-0.6
7 UT Arlington29111838%67.268.7-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.294069
Tarleton242650
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