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Tarleton vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-65
40-31 22-34
Position#42
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game62.6
vs
Position#256
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
19-43
31-37
44-38
38-27
49-32
44-20
33-46
30-40
37-35
29-24
29-24
30-16
34-34
34-32
37-40
40-35
48-33
44-23
45-26
40-21
136.1Avg total
73.5Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.562.6136.1+10.980%
Season at home (5)81.254.0135.2+27.2100%
Season away (5)65.871.2137.0-5.460%
Last 10 (10)73.562.6136.1+10.980%
Last 5 (5)76.256.8133.0+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.567.2132.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)66.771.8138.5-5.147%
vs Weaker (8)72.950.5123.4+22.4100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#309
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H01/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
38-40
27-40
30-30
22-20
37-41
24-38
42-29
31-26
46-36
38-29
29-36
37-23
33-29
29-21
30-40
19-25
30-30
30-38
30-37
129.2Avg total
64.3Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.762.7129.5+4.036%
Season at home (6)69.259.2128.3+10.050%
Season away (5)63.867.0130.8-3.220%
Last 10 (10)64.364.9129.2-0.630%
Last 5 (5)61.061.6122.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.769.7129.3-10.017%
vs Similar ◀ (13)65.168.9134.0-3.823%
vs Weaker (10)72.761.7134.4+11.060%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
TarletonJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H13/12
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.431.565.9+3.059%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.928.466.3+9.580%-
Last 30 away (14)30.834.865.6-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.172.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.631.470.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.233.061.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.732.164.8+0.553%-
vs Weaker (7)38.029.667.6+8.471%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#309
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A24/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H01/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
19-25
19
25
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/12
NCAA
58.1Avg total
29.0Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.731.162.9+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.828.561.2+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)30.634.164.7-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)29.029.158.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)30.627.257.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.232.762.8-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.631.562.2-0.962%-
vs Weaker (10)34.129.263.3+4.970%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
0
Jacksonville State wins
No previous meetings.
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HSterling College85-47
06/12/23HHardin Simmons92-56
02/12/23HUTRGV77-75
30/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-66
22/11/23HCSU Bakersfield59-40
20/11/23AAustin Peay66-59
15/11/23ABradley63-86
12/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas93-52
10/11/23AFlorida International82-65
07/11/23AVirginia50-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23AWisconsin60-75
09/12/23HIllinois (Chi.)49-55
03/12/23HEast Tennessee St59-61
01/12/23HSouth Alabama70-52
26/11/23HIncarnate Word67-65
24/11/23AUTSA Roadrunners77-62
23/11/23AIncarnate Word66-67
19/11/23ANorth Alabama59-61
15/11/23AWest Virginia57-70
11/11/23HUtah Tech79-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game73.581.265.8
Allowed / game62.654.071.2
Point differential+10.9+27.2-5.4
Avg total136.1135.2137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game66.769.263.8
Allowed / game62.759.267.0
Point differential+4.0+10.0-3.2
Avg total129.5128.3130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton108280%73.562.6+10.9
2 California Baptist107370%70.465.1+5.3
3 UT Arlington106460%75.971.7+4.2
4 Utah Valley State116555%68.567.3+1.3
5 Abilene Christian115645%76.074.5+1.5
6 Utah Tech115645%69.273.0-3.8
7 Southern Utah103730%76.277.5-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty129375%79.259.2+20.1
2 Louisiana Tech129375%76.162.2+13.8
3 Western Kentucky129375%80.573.1+7.4
4 Kennesaw State118373%86.377.6+8.6
5 Delaware118373%76.168.7+7.4
6 Missouri State117464%73.568.5+5.0
7 UTEP116555%78.970.2+8.7
8 Sam Houston St.126650%71.771.5+0.2
9 Middle Tenn. St.115645%66.166.9-0.8
10 New Mexico State125742%72.274.2-2.1
11 Jacksonville State114736%66.762.7+4.0
12 Florida International124833%77.275.4+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton402262
Jacksonville State313465
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