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Tarleton vs UTRGV Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-75
37-40 40-35
Position#42
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game64.0
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
UTRGV
USA
Position#359
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tarleton v UTRGV
02 Dec 2023
TARL77
UTRG75
07 Mar 2023
TARL74
UTRG70
04 Feb 2023
TARL65
UTRG68
24 Feb 2022
TARL75
UTRG62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#217
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-28
0-0
43-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
31-38
0-0
37-33
0-0
27-31
0-0
19-43
0-0
31-37
0-0
44-38
0-0
38-27
0-0
49-32
0-0
44-20
0-0
33-46
0-0
30-40
0-0
37-35
0-0
29-24
0-0
29-24
0-0
30-16
0-0
34-34
0-0
34-32
134.5Avg total
68.3Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.764.0132.7+4.771%
Season at home (2)76.046.0122.0+30.0100%
Season away (5)65.871.2137.0-5.460%
Last 10 (10)68.366.2134.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)69.860.6130.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.567.2132.8-1.825%
vs Similar (17)66.571.2137.8-4.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.049.0121.0+23.0100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#652
W
110-59
110
59
+51
H07/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A11/11
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
55-88
55
88
-33
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-50
34-38
28-31
42-43
59-25
51-34
27-61
52-39
22-33
33-55
33-47
33-43
43-39
49-34
23-43
34-33
17-51
41-24
30-35
39-44
152.8Avg total
72.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.280.0153.2-6.825%
Season at home (5)77.272.4149.6+4.840%
Season away (3)66.792.7159.3-26.00%
Last 10 (10)72.680.2152.8-7.620%
Last 5 (5)68.478.6147.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.782.7149.3-16.00%
vs Similar (14)71.372.0143.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (4)103.871.8175.5+32.0100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +2.1+2.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +2.1+2.1
TarletonUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#217
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
34.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.230.864.1+2.459%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.063.1+9.186%-
Last 30 away (15)30.634.465.0-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.768.7-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.270.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.233.061.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (17)32.632.164.7+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.126.163.3+11.086%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#652
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H07/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
27-61
27
61
-34
A11/11
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
17-51
17
51
-34
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
31.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.537.470.9-3.931%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.636.171.8-0.541%-
Last 30 away (12)30.439.269.7-8.817%-
Last 10 (10)31.841.573.3-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)29.243.072.2-13.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)28.039.867.8-11.88%-
vs Similar (13)33.436.870.2-3.431%-
vs Weaker (4)50.232.582.8+17.8100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tarleton wins
2
UTRGV wins
DateGameScore
08/03/23Tarleton v UTRGV74-70
26/02/23UTRGV v Tarleton99-95 OT
04/02/23Tarleton v UTRGV65-68
25/02/22Tarleton v UTRGV75-62
30/01/22UTRGV v Tarleton64-79
07/03/21UTRGV v Tarleton58-69
06/03/21UTRGV v Tarleton47-65
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-66
22/11/23HCSU Bakersfield59-40
20/11/23AAustin Peay66-59
15/11/23ABradley63-86
12/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas93-52
10/11/23AFlorida International82-65
07/11/23AVirginia50-80
19/03/23HRadford70-72 OT
10/03/23AUtah Valley State58-72
08/03/23HUTRGV74-70
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HGrand Canyon69-79
26/11/23HArkansas State58-75
25/11/23HHawaii57-76
21/11/23HNorth American Stallions92-73
18/11/23AOklahoma66-90
15/11/23ATCU55-88
11/11/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes79-100
07/11/23HSouthwest Adventist110-59
08/03/23ATarleton70-74
02/03/23ACalifornia Baptist70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%100%60%
Points / game68.776.065.8
Allowed / game64.046.071.2
Point differential+4.7+30.0-5.4
Avg total132.7122.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTRGV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game73.277.266.7
Allowed / game80.072.492.7
Point differential-6.8+4.8-26.0
Avg total153.2149.6159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist76186%72.962.0+10.9
2 Tarleton75271%68.764.0+4.7
3 Utah Valley State75271%71.167.3+3.9
4 UT Arlington74357%77.175.9+1.3
5 Utah Tech63350%70.876.5-5.7
6 Abilene Christian73443%68.373.0-4.7
7 Southern Utah62433%76.277.3-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State97278%81.161.1+20.0
2 Stephen F. Austin74357%78.170.9+7.3
3 Lamar84450%83.677.2+6.4
4 TX A&M Commerce94544%71.771.1+0.6
5 Texas A&M-CC73443%76.768.6+8.1
6 New Orleans73443%79.478.6+0.9
7 Incarnate Word83538%78.179.5-1.4
8 Nicholls State93633%73.279.0-5.8
9 SE Louisiana82625%72.976.8-3.9
10 UTRGV82625%73.280.0-6.8
11 Northwestern St.71614%75.178.3-3.1
12 Houston Christian5050%70.695.0-24.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton374077
UTRGV403575
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