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Incarnate Word vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-66
38-24 29-42
Position#343
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#256
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game63.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
56-88
56
88
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
100-81
100
81
+19
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
39-48
36-34
33-35
33-39
41-45
29-26
37-45
40-27
39-48
32-43
32-38
17-48
39-40
31-34
40-51
56-24
48-39
50-41
50-40
155.8Avg total
76.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.879.2162.0+3.550%
Season at home (1)104.063.0167.0+41.0100%
Season away (3)75.784.7160.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)76.879.0155.8-2.230%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)65.979.4145.2-13.521%
vs Similar (12)74.674.3148.9+0.250%
vs Weaker (4)88.865.0153.8+23.875%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#43
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
55-79
55
79
-24
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
101-71
101
71
+30
A23/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Brescia
#529
W
91-41
91
41
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-20
26-34
36-30
35-44
35-31
41-38
25-45
30-34
50-33
51-38
42-39
50-44
48-21
43-20
33-31
38-40
27-40
30-30
22-20
37-41
141.6Avg total
73.3Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.563.2134.8+8.225%
Season at home (2)85.061.0146.0+24.050%
Season away (2)58.065.5123.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)73.368.3141.6+5.040%
Last 5 (5)75.667.2142.8+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.273.5133.8-13.212%
vs Similar (15)68.369.3137.7-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.663.2142.8+16.460%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.8+1.8
Incarnate WordJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A19/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.469.5-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.533.871.2+3.754%-
Last 30 away (17)31.536.668.2-5.135%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.271.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.075.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.736.466.1-6.629%-
vs Similar (12)35.835.671.3+0.258%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.576.0+13.050%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#43
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A23/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Brescia
#529
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A19/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.4Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.031.664.6+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.128.663.8+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)31.134.265.2-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.431.065.4+3.480%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.264.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.634.163.8-4.550%-
vs Similar (15)31.131.262.3-0.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.430.268.6+8.280%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Incarnate Word wins
0
Jacksonville State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AArkansas-Pine Bluff100-81
14/11/23HSchreiner Mountaineers104-63
11/11/23ATulsa71-85
07/11/23ATexas56-88
02/03/23ANorthwestern St.64-81
25/02/23HTX A&M Commerce79-75
24/02/23HNorthwestern St.66-71
18/02/23ANicholls State74-84
17/02/23AMcNeese State76-78 OT
11/02/23HHouston Christian78-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ANorth Alabama59-61
15/11/23AWest Virginia57-70
11/11/23HUtah Tech79-81 OT
07/11/23HBrescia91-41
25/02/23ANorth Alabama92-83
23/02/23ACentral Arkansas101-71
18/02/23HLiberty55-79
17/02/23HQueens Royals76-69
11/02/23AKennesaw State71-74
10/02/23HKennesaw State52-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game82.8104.075.7
Allowed / game79.263.084.7
Point differential+3.5+41.0-9.0
Avg total162.0167.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game71.585.058.0
Allowed / game63.261.065.5
Point differential+8.2+24.0-7.5
Avg total134.8146.0123.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State75271%79.758.6+21.1
2 Stephen F. Austin64267%80.271.3+8.8
3 Lamar42250%86.875.8+11.0
4 New Orleans42250%86.077.0+9.0
5 Incarnate Word42250%82.879.2+3.5
6 Nicholls State63350%78.876.8+2.0
7 TX A&M Commerce73443%69.174.4-5.3
8 Texas A&M-CC52340%80.466.8+13.6
9 UTRGV52340%80.482.0-1.6
10 SE Louisiana41325%68.081.8-13.8
11 Northwestern St.61517%76.079.0-3.0
12 Houston Christian3030%74.794.0-19.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTEP550100%95.670.8+24.8
2 Liberty550100%83.260.6+22.6
3 Delaware440100%80.562.2+18.2
4 Louisiana Tech54180%76.860.4+16.4
5 Missouri State54180%71.263.6+7.6
6 Western Kentucky43175%83.072.8+10.2
7 Kennesaw State64267%86.774.8+11.8
8 Middle Tenn. St.53260%70.061.0+9.0
9 Sam Houston St.63350%74.774.2+0.5
10 New Mexico State73443%69.771.7-2.0
11 Jacksonville State41325%71.563.2+8.2
12 Florida International71614%70.077.9-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word382967
Jacksonville State244266
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