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Tarleton vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-55
36-25 28-30
Position#218
Record5-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#132
Record6-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Tarleton v New Mexico State
03 Mar 2023
TARL20
NEW 0
27 Feb 2021
TARL64
NEW 55
26 Feb 2021
TARL51
NEW 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#49
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A16/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A30/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A31/01
NCAA
McMurry
#442
W
112-54
112
54
+58
H10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
L
48-64
48
64
-16
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
L
51-78
51
78
-27
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
19-30
34-37
40-46
32-39
35-34
44-35
35-59
28-38
32-35
31-24
39-38
53-23
59-31
36-23
41-36
31-34
17-30
23-41
28-37
138.5Avg total
68.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.667.1137.7+3.533%
Season at home (6)78.359.5137.8+18.850%
Season away (9)65.472.2137.7-6.822%
Last 10 (10)68.669.9138.5-1.330%
Last 5 (5)71.663.4135.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.874.2136.0-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)64.078.0142.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (8)77.559.5137.0+18.062%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western N. M.
#420
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#49
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A30/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#49
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H07/02
NCAA
Seattle
#166
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A13/02
NCAA
Seattle
#166
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#218
W
78-51
78
51
+27
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-23
39-18
30-37
32-33
28-36
25-29
38-41
37-44
50-34
47-36
44-48
28-35
32-23
33-35
29-33
37-36
30-24
37-36
41-23
37-28
135.7Avg total
70.5Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.966.2137.2+4.750%
Season at home (5)75.065.0140.0+10.060%
Season away (7)68.067.1135.1+0.943%
Last 10 (10)70.565.2135.7+5.350%
Last 5 (5)69.664.2133.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.567.5125.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.466.9146.3+12.671%
vs Weaker (19)72.258.6130.7+13.689%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.2+2.2
TarletonNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#49
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A16/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A31/01
NCAA
McMurry
#442
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H27/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)34.930.565.4+4.547%-
Last 30 at home (6)39.528.067.5+11.550%-
Last 30 away (9)31.932.164.0-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.366.4+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.063.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.232.564.8-0.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)29.739.068.7-9.30%-
vs Weaker (8)38.226.264.5+12.075%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western N. M.
#420
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#49
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#49
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Seattle
#166
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Seattle
#166
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#218
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A27/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
35.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.428.464.8+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.827.767.5+12.186%-
Last 30 away (16)33.529.062.5+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)35.332.267.5+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.265.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.036.565.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.032.373.3+8.757%-
vs Weaker (19)35.926.362.2+9.684%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21Tarleton v New Mexico State51-78
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HNew Mexico State51-78
21/02/21AUtah Tech48-64
20/02/21AUtah Tech77-59
10/02/21HMcMurry112-54
31/01/21AUtah Valley State70-62
30/01/21AUtah Valley State60-73
18/01/21AWeber State79-94
17/01/21ACalifornia Baptist67-73
16/01/21ACalifornia Baptist74-83
10/01/21HGrand Canyon48-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21ATarleton78-51
21/02/21HUtah Valley State67-60
20/02/21HUtah Valley State66-69
14/02/21ASeattle65-58
13/02/21ASeattle72-83
07/02/21HCalifornia Baptist97-70
06/02/21HCalifornia Baptist75-85
31/01/21AGrand Canyon53-65
30/01/21AGrand Canyon62-70
25/01/21HWestern N. M.70-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL33%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %33%50%22%
Points / game70.678.365.4
Allowed / game67.159.572.2
Point differential+3.5+18.8-6.8
Avg total137.7137.8137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game70.975.068.0
Allowed / game66.265.067.1
Point differential+4.7+10.0+0.9
Avg total137.2140.0135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah2017385%85.669.7+15.9
2 Abilene Christian2319483%77.260.7+16.5
3 California Baptist1911858%79.173.1+6.1
4 UT Arlington24121250%71.670.0+1.6
5 Utah Valley State178947%74.975.8-0.9
6 Utah Tech1981142%70.576.8-6.3
7 Tarleton1551033%70.667.1+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2520580%74.958.9+16.0
2 Louisiana Tech2519676%73.564.8+8.6
3 Western Kentucky2015575%74.170.0+4.1
4 Missouri State2216673%74.066.7+7.2
5 Sam Houston St.2417771%80.671.0+9.6
6 Jacksonville State2517868%74.768.6+6.2
7 UTEP21111052%70.968.5+2.4
8 New Mexico State126650%70.966.2+4.7
9 Delaware147750%67.066.4+0.6
10 Middle Tenn. St.2051525%63.370.4-7.1
11 Kennesaw State2351822%65.769.7-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton362864
New Mexico State253055
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