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Tarleton vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 20-0
Position#183
Record16-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game67.5
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
New Mexico State
USA
Position#333
Record9-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tarleton v New Mexico State
03 Mar 2023
TARL20
NEW 0
27 Feb 2021
TARL64
NEW 55
26 Feb 2021
TARL51
NEW 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#77
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-21
36-41
24-36
41-32
24-29
45-35
31-25
31-47
45-32
30-39
32-32
28-33
27-34
32-30
35-20
42-38
40-38
43-45
46-20
64-25
142.1Avg total
75.3Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.467.5139.9+4.852%
Season at home (15)79.761.3140.9+18.480%
Season away (16)65.673.4139.0-7.925%
Last 10 (10)75.366.8142.1+8.550%
Last 5 (5)80.266.2146.4+14.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.067.0134.0+0.025%
vs Similar (16)67.273.1140.3-5.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.660.0142.6+22.689%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A09/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A12/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H16/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H19/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H23/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-46
40-43
36-39
36-38
40-38
33-29
42-33
40-42
25-41
42-37
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
85.6Avg total
37.0Scored
48.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)61.062.8123.8-1.831%
Season at home (16)62.358.6120.9+3.844%
Season away (13)59.467.9127.3-8.515%
Last 10 (10)37.048.685.6-11.620%
Last 5 (5)0.020.020.0-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)53.364.4117.7-11.211%
vs Similar (9)65.063.7128.7+1.344%
vs Weaker (1)95.053.0148.0+42.0100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
TarletonNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#77
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H01/03
NCAA
63.6Avg total
34.9Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.329.663.9+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.326.764.0+10.580%-
Last 30 away (15)31.432.463.8-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)34.928.763.6+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.028.864.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.261.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (16)33.331.564.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.425.262.7+12.289%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A09/02
NCAA
75.2Avg total
35.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)33.633.467.0+0.344%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.930.766.6+5.262%-
Last 30 away (12)31.236.267.4-5.125%-
Last 10 (5)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.938.269.1-7.421%-
vs Similar (8)34.830.064.8+4.862%-
vs Weaker (1)48.020.068.0+28.0100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
2
New Mexico State wins
DateGameScore
14/01/22New Mexico State v Tarleton73-57
28/02/21Tarleton v New Mexico State64-55
27/02/21Tarleton v New Mexico State51-78
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23HDallas Christian110-45
26/02/23AUTRGV95-99 OT
24/02/23HUtah Valley State77-58
19/02/23HSam Houston St.59-64
16/02/23AStephen F. Austin60-65
12/02/23AUtah Tech75-71
10/02/23ASouthern Utah62-72
06/02/23AUT Arlington69-64
04/02/23HUTRGV65-68
29/01/23HGrand Canyon81-62
New Mexico Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23AAbilene Christian0-20
23/02/23HGrand Canyon0-20
19/02/23HUTRGV0-20
16/02/23HAbilene Christian0-20
12/02/23ACalifornia Baptist0-20
09/02/23AGrand Canyon67-78
05/02/23HSeattle82-75
02/02/23HStephen F. Austin73-67
28/01/23AUtah Valley State72-77
22/01/23AUtah Tech76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%80%25%
Points / game72.479.765.6
Allowed / game67.561.373.4
Point differential+4.8+18.4-7.9
Avg total139.9140.9139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%53%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %31%44%15%
Points / game61.062.359.4
Allowed / game62.858.667.9
Point differential-1.8+3.8-8.5
Avg total123.8120.9127.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State3023777%75.567.6+7.9
2 Southern Utah29181162%81.874.5+7.3
3 California Baptist31171455%68.462.9+5.5
4 Tarleton31161552%72.467.5+4.8
5 Abilene Christian31151648%71.966.6+5.3
6 Utah Tech30131743%76.073.2+2.7
7 UT Arlington30111937%66.467.6-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.3024680%73.458.5+14.9
2 Liberty3326779%75.560.5+15.0
3 Kennesaw State3325876%75.569.0+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.30181260%70.667.5+3.0
5 Missouri State31171455%66.063.5+2.6
6 Western Kentucky30161453%73.370.7+2.6
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech30141647%72.869.8+3.0
9 UTEP30131743%68.368.5-0.2
10 Florida International30131743%72.474.7-2.2
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State2992031%61.062.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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