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Tarsus W vs Izmit Bld. W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 65-49
14-12 14-13 20-18 17-6
Position#1
Record23-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game64.2
Tarsus W 🏆
Turkey
vs
Izmit Bld. W
Turkey
Position#3
Record19-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game68.4
TurkeyTKBL WomenRound 28
Women2022-23
Meetings · Tarsus W v Izmit Bld. W
16 Nov 2023
TARS83
IZMI87
29 Mar 2023
TARS65
IZMI49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarsus W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Izmit Bld. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tarsus WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urla Bld W
#14
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H07/01
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A13/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H21/01
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A25/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H29/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A03/02
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H04/03
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A10/03
TKBL Women
Ferhatoglu W
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H15/03
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H18/03
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-17
11-4
17-20
16-17
19-11
22-17
15-18
18-12
26-18
28-12
12-21
26-20
15-17
22-21
26-18
23-23
20-14
14-15
17-16
28-14
13-11
20-15
22-13
22-11
18-18
17-12
19-15
19-23
21-21
18-15
30-13
22-16
16-18
13-14
15-21
17-21
20-18
25-12
17-21
143.8Avg total
78.1Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.364.2143.5+15.288%
Season at home (13)81.064.2145.2+16.892%
Season away (13)77.764.2141.8+13.585%
Last 10 (10)78.165.7143.8+12.490%
Last 5 (5)78.464.4142.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)78.864.1142.9+14.790%
This opponent (Izmit Bld. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Izmit Bld. WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botas 2 W
#4
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A13/01
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H22/01
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
A24/01
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H28/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A04/02
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H04/03
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A12/03
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H15/03
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/03
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H25/03
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
16-18
21-15
17-19
20-21
14-18
27-14
25-25
20-22
16-16
16-15
24-23
11-15
16-12
22-14
29-18
24-20
12-15
18-11
17-15
26-19
21-13
11-25
9-25
18-23
5-15
10-21
19-15
24-13
27-17
21-13
25-25
25-20
14-13
13-17
15-20
26-26
17-21
12-19
16-19
146.8Avg total
74.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.968.4142.3+5.570%
Season at home (14)76.167.8143.9+8.379%
Season away (13)71.569.0140.5+2.562%
Last 10 (10)74.472.4146.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)70.875.8146.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.077.7148.7-6.733%
vs Similar (10)70.672.7143.3-2.150%
vs Weaker (17)74.563.8138.2+10.782%
This opponent (Tarsus W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
Tarsus WIzmit Bld. W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tarsus WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urla Bld W
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/01
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H21/01
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A03/02
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/03
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A10/03
TKBL Women
Ferhatoglu W
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H15/03
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/03
TKBL Women
74.5Avg total
40.1Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.932.973.8+8.077%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.133.375.4+8.886%-
Last 30 away (16)39.932.672.5+7.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.474.5+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.273.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.833.173.9+7.776%-
This opponent (Izmit Bld. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Izmit Bld. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botas 2 W
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A13/01
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/01
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H28/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A04/02
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/03
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A12/03
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H15/03
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/03
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H25/03
TKBL Women
71.2Avg total
36.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.834.871.6+2.052%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.374.7+4.053%-
Last 30 away (14)34.134.368.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.771.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.076.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.043.380.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (10)37.435.773.1+1.760%-
vs Weaker (16)36.432.769.1+3.756%-
This opponent (Tarsus W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tarsus Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tarsus W: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.2
48.3%
44.3%42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.7
44.6%
29.3%29.0
🏀 Free throws15.89.7
61.1%
70.3%9.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Izmit Bld. Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Izmit Bld. W: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀10%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.823.2
46.7%
44.3%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.82.2
13.4%
29.3%6.8
🏀 Free throws19.213.0
67.5%
70.3%13.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/4 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tarsus W
WLWWWWWWWW
Izmit Bld. W
LLWLLWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+24.1
Net rating
+2.5
106.6
Offensive rating
84.1
82.5
Defensive rating
81.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
40.0%
40.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.6%
3-point %
13.4%
81.6%
Assist %
62.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 84.1Defence82.5 · 81.5Shooting54.5% · 40.0%3-point %44.6% · 13.4%Ball care18.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 26.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Tarsus W   ■ Izmit Bld. W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarsus W wins
1
Izmit Bld. W wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Izmit Bld. W v Tarsus W86-82
15/09/22Izmit Bld. W v Tarsus W68-78
Tarsus Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HTurgutlu W79-72
15/03/23HFerhatoglu W66-69
10/03/23ABogazici W88-72
04/03/23HElazig Il Ozel Idare W76-56
03/02/23ADiba Ankara W83-53
29/01/23HFenerbahce 2 W74-68
25/01/23AKirklareli W89-76
21/01/23HYalova W84-63
13/01/23AAntalya Gunesi W72-63
07/01/23HUrla Bld W70-65
Izmit Bld. Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23HBogazici W71-85
18/03/23AElazig Il Ozel Idare W67-70
15/03/23HDiba Ankara W97-68
12/03/23AFenerbahce 2 W52-74
04/03/23HKirklareli W67-82
04/02/23AYalova W71-61
28/01/23HAntalya Gunesi W78-59
24/01/23AUrla Bld W88-85 OT
22/01/23HElazig W86-78
13/01/23ABotas 2 W67-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarsus W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %88%92%85%
Points / game79.381.077.7
Allowed / game64.264.264.2
Point differential+15.2+16.8+13.5
Avg total143.5145.2141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%69%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Izmit Bld. W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL70%
HomeWWLWL79%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%79%62%
Points / game73.976.171.5
Allowed / game68.467.869.0
Point differential+5.5+8.3+2.5
Avg total142.3143.9140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarsus W2623388%79.364.2+15.2
2 Fenerbahce 2 W2621581%72.162.1+10.0
3 Izmit Bld. W2719870%73.968.4+5.5
4 Botas 2 W2618869%67.261.5+5.8
5 Kirklareli W27171063%75.871.1+4.7
6 Ferhatoglu W27171063%70.967.9+3.0
7 Elazig Il Ozel Idare W26151158%72.769.3+3.3
8 Elazig W26111542%73.473.0+0.3
9 Bogazici W26111542%71.372.8-1.5
10 Antalya Gunesi W27111641%67.169.4-2.3
11 Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W2691735%63.865.1-1.3
12 Turgutlu W2791833%71.174.2-3.1
13 Yalova W2681831%67.770.8-3.1
14 Urla Bld W2681831%62.967.4-4.5
15 Diba Ankara W2681831%64.770.9-6.2
16 Karsiyaka W150150%44.790.1-45.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tarsus W1414201765
Izmit Bld. W121318649
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