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Tartu Ulikool vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-72
16-13 21-15 24-21 18-23
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#10
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeENBL· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 73
H07/11
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
90-61
90
61
+29
91avg 73
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
73-80
73
80
-7
59avg 73
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 73
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
102avg 73
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 73
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
71-61
71
61
+10
71avg 73
H09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 73
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 73
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
23-15
29-26
21-16
14-17
24-22
24-14
21-18
15-17
23-12
24-14
28-18
17-27
19-12
17-23
20-18
23-14
14-15
14-22
14-22
21-19
27-18
22-21
27-20
23-25
17-23
11-19
20-26
22-15
17-11
12-13
20-22
18-14
18-17
22-17
19-25
29-15
24-20
18-33
17-10
154.7Avg total
80.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.074.5164.5+15.5100%
Season at home (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)97.078.0175.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.873.9154.7+6.970%
Last 5 (5)80.876.6157.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.879.8150.5-9.025%
vs Similar (8)75.873.1148.9+2.662%
vs Weaker (14)81.969.6151.6+12.386%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 71
A11/11
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
68-74
68
74
-6
61avg 71
H17/11
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 71
A18/11
SLB
Lublin
#11
W
107-85
107
85
+22
108avg 71
A21/11
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 71
A26/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
83avg 71
A30/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
no box
H02/12
SLB
Zwolle
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 71
H05/12
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 71
A08/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
80-103
80
103
-23
68avg 71
A14/12
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
16-16
19-15
18-26
21-17
22-11
18-29
7-17
13-26
17-24
25-16
18-16
31-20
19-19
27-27
30-19
27-17
13-27
15-25
23-19
22-27
24-14
17-21
19-23
10-19
16-15
15-16
25-16
10-16
19-13
21-16
18-11
20-22
26-24
17-15
26-10
19-35
18-27
16-16
27-25
159.8Avg total
79.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.072.5157.5+12.575%
Season at home (2)71.566.0137.5+5.550%
Season away (2)98.579.0177.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.880.0159.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)79.478.2157.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.084.8159.8-9.825%
vs Similar (11)80.879.7160.5+1.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.874.9158.7+8.973%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
Tartu UlikoolBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/11
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
75.0Avg total
40.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.274.8+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.033.872.8+5.276%-
Last 30 away (13)38.239.377.5-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.834.275.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.478.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.138.472.5-4.238%-
vs Similar (8)37.937.575.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)41.734.175.9+7.679%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H17/11
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A18/11
SLB
Lublin
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A21/11
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H02/12
SLB
Zwolle
#6
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/12
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A08/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A14/12
SLB
79.7Avg total
38.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.478.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.935.774.6+3.250%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.881.8+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.279.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.540.275.8-4.80%-
vs Similar (11)40.439.880.2+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.136.977.9+4.267%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.4
49.3%
53.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.817.6
71.0%
72.2%17.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.8
49.9%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.6
29.9%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.213.8
80.2%
72.2%13.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WWWLWLLWWW
Bristol Flyers
LWWWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#10
+9.9
Net rating
+0.5
108.9
Offensive rating
104.7
99.0
Defensive rating
104.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.8%
3-point %
29.9%
62.6%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 104.7Defence99.0 · 104.2Shooting51.6% · 48.0%3-point %36.8% · 29.9%Ball care18.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds32.1% · 34.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tartu Ulikool wins
0
Bristol Flyers wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HParnu88-78
12/12/23HKeila KK77-73
09/12/23HRapla71-61
02/12/23APrometey71-93
28/11/23AZwolle97-78
24/11/23HTal Tech65-73
15/11/23AKeila KK73-80
12/11/23AViimsi90-61
07/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-71
03/11/23HValmiera Glass Via93-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23AManchester Giants80-103
08/12/23ANewcastle Eagles89-71
05/12/23HZwolle68-56
02/12/23HSheffield Sharks78-76 OT
30/11/23ACaledonia Gladiators82-85
26/11/23ASheffield Sharks78-88
21/11/23ALublin107-85
18/11/23ASurrey Scorchers73-82
17/11/23HManchester Giants68-74
11/11/23ASurrey Scorchers75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.083.097.0
Allowed / game74.571.078.0
Point differential+15.5+12.0+19.0
Avg total164.5154.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bristol Flyers
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game85.071.598.5
Allowed / game72.566.079.0
Point differential+12.5+5.5+19.5
Avg total157.5137.5177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears220100%95.074.5+20.5
2 Tartu Ulikool220100%90.074.5+15.5
3 Juventus330100%90.376.7+13.7
4 Voluntari54180%81.470.8+10.6
5 Bristol Flyers43175%85.072.5+12.5
6 Liege43175%90.882.0+8.8
7 Zielona Gora43175%95.089.8+5.2
8 Siauliai32167%87.392.7-5.3
9 Newcastle Eagles42250%86.283.2+3.0
10 Keila KK42250%83.885.5-1.8
11 Lublin31233%86.790.7-4.0
12 Zwolle31233%70.375.7-5.3
13 Brno4040%75.085.2-10.2
14 Spartak Pleven4040%74.088.0-14.0
15 Valmiera Glass Via4040%83.297.5-14.2
16 Svendborg3030%67.794.0-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool1621241879
Bristol Flyers1315212372
← all games of the day
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