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Tartu Ulikool vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 88-78
29-15 24-20 18-33 17-10
Position#5
Record9-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game75.9
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)
Other2023
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Parnu
30 Jan 2027
TUL v PAR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
TUL80
PAR71
01 Nov 2025
TUL83
PAR71
30 Nov 2024
TUL94
PAR91
11 May 2024
TUL75
PAR78
07 May 2024
TUL80
PAR77
16 Dec 2023
TUL88
PAR78
12 May 2023
TUL78
PAR68
08 May 2023
TUL72
PAR71
02 May 2023
TUL56
PAR71
14 Feb 2023
TUL79
PAR68
23 May 2022
TUL68
PAR69
16 Apr 2022
TUL89
PAR91
17 Nov 2021
TUL82
PAR77
27 Mar 2021
TUL77
PAR89
23 Jan 2021
TUL67
PAR91
08 Nov 2020
TUL88
PAR80
09 Mar 2019
TUL52
PAR68
12 Jan 2018
TUL84
PAR67
27 Oct 2017
TUL78
PAR62
15 May 2017
TUL66
PAR57
11 May 2017
TUL72
PAR54
20 Jan 2017
TUL88
PAR69
05 Dec 2015
TUL93
PAR63
16 Oct 2015
TUL71
PAR50
21 Oct 2014
TUL90
PAR63
31 Mar 2014
TUL78
PAR50
06 Mar 2012
TUL122
PAR72
14 Dec 2011
TUL111
PAR68
01 Mar 2011
TUL99
PAR66
08 Nov 2010
TUL118
PAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
77-63
77
63
+14
68avg 73
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 73
H07/11
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
90-61
90
61
+29
91avg 73
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
73-80
73
80
-7
59avg 73
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 73
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
102avg 73
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 73
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
71-61
71
61
+10
71avg 73
H09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 73
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
17-19
20-19
19-13
20-14
23-15
29-26
21-16
14-17
24-22
24-14
21-18
15-17
23-12
24-14
28-18
17-27
19-12
17-23
20-18
23-14
14-15
14-22
14-22
21-19
27-18
22-21
27-20
23-25
17-23
11-19
20-26
22-15
17-11
12-13
20-22
18-14
18-17
22-17
19-25
152.1Avg total
79.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.071.5148.5+5.564%
Season at home (8)77.070.6147.6+6.475%
Season away (6)77.072.7149.7+4.350%
Last 10 (10)79.772.4152.1+7.370%
Last 5 (5)76.275.6151.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.879.8150.5-9.025%
vs Similar (9)77.672.7150.2+4.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.569.0150.5+12.585%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 66
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 66
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
79avg 66
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 66
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 66
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 66
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
35avg 66
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 66
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 66
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 66
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
16-11
15-33
20-19
16-15
8-19
26-20
18-16
24-15
19-16
21-12
13-13
22-24
18-13
20-15
19-11
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
16-17
8-20
8-20
17-23
29-19
16-20
15-25
21-21
19-29
19-16
26-18
13-17
17-20
15-16
7-17
26-22
148.9Avg total
71.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.275.9149.2-2.742%
Season at home (6)71.076.5147.5-5.533%
Season away (6)75.575.3150.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)71.977.0148.9-5.130%
Last 5 (5)72.280.2152.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.782.4151.1-13.70%
vs Similar (19)77.677.3154.9+0.353%
vs Weaker (4)76.863.8140.5+13.075%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Tartu UlikoolParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/11
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
73.1Avg total
39.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.274.5+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.533.872.2+4.776%-
Last 30 away (13)38.239.377.5-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.333.873.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.274.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.138.472.5-4.238%-
vs Similar (9)38.637.275.8+1.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.834.174.9+6.877%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
72.8Avg total
35.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.574.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.540.876.3-5.336%-
Last 30 away (16)38.834.673.4+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.772.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.475.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.739.072.7-5.343%-
vs Similar (19)38.537.676.1+0.847%-
vs Weaker (4)37.534.271.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.9
47.1%
50.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.7
36.4%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.117.0
70.5%
70.5%17.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
50.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.2
27.1%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.312.5
64.8%
70.5%12.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WWLWLLWWWW
Parnu
LLLLWLWWLL
#5
League position
#8
+10.0
Net rating
-6.3
108.5
Offensive rating
94.9
98.5
Defensive rating
101.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.9%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
27.1%
61.3%
Assist %
63.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 94.9Defence98.5 · 101.2Shooting50.0% · 47.9%3-point %36.4% · 27.1%Ball care18.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds34.0% · 24.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tartu Ulikool wins
5
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
12/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu78-68
10/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool85-79
08/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu72-71
05/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool81-95
02/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu56-71
14/02/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu79-68
07/12/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool86-91 OT
26/05/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool73-60
23/05/22Tartu Ulikool v Parnu68-69
20/05/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool93-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HKeila KK77-73
09/12/23HRapla71-61
02/12/23APrometey71-93
28/11/23AZwolle97-78
24/11/23HTal Tech65-73
15/11/23AKeila KK73-80
12/11/23AViimsi90-61
07/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-71
03/11/23HValmiera Glass Via93-71
01/11/23ATallinna Kalev77-63
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23ABK Liepaja65-75
02/12/23HVentspils77-80
25/11/23ARigas Zelli81-85
18/11/23HPrometey49-80
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
28/10/23HViimsi79-63
21/10/23ALatvijas Universitate77-56
14/10/23HValmiera Glass Via68-70
11/10/23AVEF Riga64-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game77.077.077.0
Allowed / game71.570.672.7
Point differential+5.5+6.4+4.3
Avg total148.5147.6149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game73.271.075.5
Allowed / game75.976.575.3
Point differential-2.7-5.5+0.2
Avg total149.2147.5150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1312192%89.968.5+21.5
2 Prometey1211192%92.967.9+25.0
3 VEF Riga1511473%85.969.2+16.7
4 Ventspils139469%90.584.1+6.5
5 Rigas Zelli1510567%79.670.2+9.4
6 Tartu Ulikool149564%77.071.5+5.5
7 BK Ogre148657%80.777.8+2.9
8 BK Liepaja148657%81.480.5+0.9
9 Tal Tech148657%79.179.0+0.1
10 Parnu125742%73.275.9-2.7
11 Keila KK1661038%79.684.7-5.1
12 Rapla1651131%74.278.2-4.1
13 Viimsi1651131%68.885.4-16.6
14 Valmiera Glass Via1531220%75.587.7-12.1
15 Latvijas Universitate1631319%68.686.5-17.9
16 Tallinna Kalev1521313%68.586.9-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool2924181788
Parnu1520331078
← all games of the day
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