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Tartu Ulikool vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-61
22-15 17-11 12-13 20-22
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#10
Record4-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)
Other2023
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Rapla
13 Nov 2024
TUL90
RAPL84
09 Dec 2023
TUL71
RAPL61
13 Dec 2022
TUL73
RAPL51
08 Dec 2021
TUL94
RAPL98
23 Apr 2021
TUL54
RAPL74
13 Mar 2021
TUL67
RAPL77
09 Feb 2021
TUL70
RAPL76
28 Oct 2020
TUL74
RAPL76
27 Feb 2019
TUL85
RAPL76
08 May 2018
TUL75
RAPL64
02 May 2018
TUL75
RAPL63
17 Mar 2018
TUL77
RAPL65
01 Dec 2017
TUL75
RAPL64
04 May 2017
TUL85
RAPL61
28 Apr 2017
TUL60
RAPL70
18 Nov 2016
TUL96
RAPL66
12 Dec 2015
TUL74
RAPL52
10 Oct 2014
TUL68
RAPL74
26 Nov 2013
TUL77
RAPL62
12 Mar 2013
TUL92
RAPL68
29 Apr 2012
TUL95
RAPL56
20 Apr 2012
TUL108
RAPL70
17 Feb 2012
TUL69
RAPL62
05 Oct 2011
TUL79
RAPL72
23 Feb 2011
TUL96
RAPL67
11 Dec 2010
TUL84
RAPL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
72avg 73
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 73
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
77-63
77
63
+14
68avg 73
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 73
H07/11
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
90-61
90
61
+29
91avg 73
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
73-80
73
80
-7
59avg 73
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 73
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
102avg 73
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 73
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
20-16
21-6
23-14
18-23
29-17
19-17
24-14
21-12
17-19
20-19
19-13
20-14
23-15
29-26
21-16
14-17
24-22
24-14
21-18
15-17
23-12
24-14
28-18
17-27
19-12
17-23
20-18
23-14
14-15
14-22
14-22
21-19
27-18
22-21
27-20
23-25
17-23
11-19
20-26
154.5Avg total
81.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.572.2149.8+5.258%
Season at home (6)78.071.8149.8+6.267%
Season away (6)77.072.7149.7+4.350%
Last 10 (10)81.972.6154.5+9.370%
Last 5 (5)79.277.0156.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.879.8150.5-9.025%
vs Similar (11)78.774.8153.5+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.869.4152.2+13.582%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 65
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
92avg 65
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 65
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 65
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 65
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 65
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
77avg 65
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 65
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 65
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 65
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
22-18
23-17
6-12
26-13
16-27
23-12
23-15
32-16
15-28
21-21
11-21
16-16
18-19
13-15
20-21
21-21
22-19
12-16
10-16
19-19
14-24
21-17
24-28
16-26
24-15
16-19
17-13
15-22
13-22
17-16
26-25
20-15
24-18
13-23
25-20
18-27
12-28
16-14
22-20
153.6Avg total
75.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.379.0153.3-4.729%
Season at home (6)71.779.2150.8-7.517%
Season away (8)76.278.9155.1-2.638%
Last 10 (10)75.078.6153.6-3.630%
Last 5 (5)76.085.4161.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.483.5156.9-10.120%
vs Similar (10)74.779.3154.0-4.620%
vs Weaker (10)83.869.9153.7+13.980%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Tartu UlikoolRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/11
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
76.7Avg total
40.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.376.1+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.273.9+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)39.139.678.6-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.676.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.476.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.138.472.5-4.238%-
vs Similar (11)39.638.678.3+1.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.535.176.5+6.473%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
79.2Avg total
38.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.877.4-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.342.677.9-7.320%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.976.9-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.979.2-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.278.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.043.775.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (10)36.341.477.7-5.130%-
vs Weaker (10)41.637.278.8+4.480%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.2
50.7%
50.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.915.5
70.8%
70.5%15.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.7
51.2%
50.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.3
28.8%
32.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.111.7
64.6%
70.5%11.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
LWLLWWWWWW
Rapla
LWLLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#10
+12.4
Net rating
-5.5
112.4
Offensive rating
99.0
100.0
Defensive rating
104.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.3%
3-point %
28.8%
57.8%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 99.0Defence100.0 · 104.5Shooting52.7% · 48.4%3-point %37.3% · 28.8%Ball care17.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds33.7% · 33.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tartu Ulikool wins
6
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Rapla v Tartu Ulikool71-78
13/12/22Tartu Ulikool v Rapla73-51
21/04/22Rapla v Tartu Ulikool77-76
01/02/22Rapla v Tartu Ulikool78-83
08/12/21Tartu Ulikool v Rapla94-98 OT
24/04/21Rapla v Tartu Ulikool83-55
23/04/21Tartu Ulikool v Rapla54-74
20/04/21Rapla v Tartu Ulikool67-77
20/03/21Rapla v Tartu Ulikool81-65
13/03/21Tartu Ulikool v Rapla67-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23APrometey71-93
28/11/23AZwolle97-78
24/11/23HTal Tech65-73
15/11/23AKeila KK73-80
12/11/23AViimsi90-61
07/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-71
03/11/23HValmiera Glass Via93-71
01/11/23ATallinna Kalev77-63
28/10/23HLatvijas Universitate90-71
21/10/23ABK Ogre80-65
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23HRigas Zelli68-89
28/11/23ATallinna Kalev82-76
17/11/23HVEF Riga71-85
11/11/23HParnu81-89 OT
03/11/23AVentspils78-88
02/11/23ABK Liepaja65-72
28/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-71
25/10/23ATal Tech79-86
22/10/23AViimsi88-67
17/10/23HLatvijas Universitate71-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL58%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game77.578.077.0
Allowed / game72.271.872.7
Point differential+5.2+6.2+4.3
Avg total149.8149.8149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%17%38%
Points / game74.371.776.2
Allowed / game79.079.278.9
Point differential-4.7-7.5-2.6
Avg total153.3150.8155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %21%17%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1211192%90.669.1+21.5
2 Prometey109190%90.269.3+20.9
3 Rigas Zelli1410471%79.569.2+10.3
4 VEF Riga139469%84.670.4+14.2
5 Ventspils139469%90.584.1+6.5
6 Tal Tech138562%80.677.8+2.8
7 Tartu Ulikool127558%77.572.2+5.2
8 BK Ogre148657%80.777.8+2.9
9 BK Liepaja137654%81.280.5+0.8
10 Keila KK146843%80.485.1-4.8
11 Parnu125742%73.275.9-2.7
12 Rapla1441029%74.379.0-4.7
13 Viimsi1441029%67.485.9-18.4
14 Valmiera Glass Via1431121%75.187.1-12.0
15 Latvijas Universitate1531220%69.285.2-16.0
16 Tallinna Kalev1321115%69.484.8-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool2217122071
Rapla1511132261
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