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TCU vs Kansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-82
42-46 42-36
Position#77
Record13-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game71.5
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#292
Record10-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · TCU v Kansas State
07 Feb 2026
TCU84
KANS82
04 Jan 2025
TCU63
KANS62
14 Jan 2023
TCU82
KANS68
05 Feb 2022
TCU63
KANS75
10 Mar 2021
TCU50
KANS71
20 Feb 2021
TCU54
KANS62
11 Mar 2020
TCU49
KANS53
15 Feb 2020
TCU68
KANS57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H30/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
55-32
60-32
29-23
40-40
36-41
51-46
27-43
46-43
36-30
34-46
30-38
49-44
37-41
31-24
38-38
59-52
30-43
40-36
25-38
36-49
159.8Avg total
80.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.771.5150.2+7.259%
Season at home (15)78.366.6144.9+11.767%
Season away (7)79.482.0161.4-2.643%
Last 10 (10)80.279.6159.8+0.640%
Last 5 (5)75.080.6155.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.973.4140.2-6.525%
vs Similar (11)75.473.5148.9+1.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.667.7149.4+13.964%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H28/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
61-95
61
95
-34
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-36
48-49
35-45
38-38
36-51
40-50
38-36
46-51
28-42
45-40
43-48
40-36
46-43
35-35
35-37
27-49
22-28
32-31
21-50
40-45
158.1Avg total
74.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.780.2161.9+1.545%
Season at home (15)84.279.0163.2+5.260%
Season away (7)76.382.7159.0-6.414%
Last 10 (10)74.184.0158.1-9.920%
Last 5 (5)68.280.4148.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.182.9153.0-12.714%
vs Similar (14)79.671.7151.4+7.964%
vs Weaker (2)101.067.0168.0+34.0100%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -6.6-6.62nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -6.6-6.62nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
TCUKansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.870.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.433.570.8+3.963%-
Last 30 away (11)32.337.069.3-4.718%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.771.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.671.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.637.469.0-5.825%-
vs Similar (11)35.733.769.5+2.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.133.972.0+4.255%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H28/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A10/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
21-50
21
50
-29
H01/02
NCAA
76.6Avg total
35.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.773.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.435.874.2+2.553%-
Last 30 away (11)33.138.171.2-5.018%-
Last 10 (10)35.041.676.6-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.441.274.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.940.372.2-8.414%-
vs Similar (14)38.934.273.1+4.757%-
vs Weaker (2)50.528.579.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
TCU wins
4
Kansas State wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25TCU v Kansas State63-62
17/02/24Kansas State v TCU72-75
10/03/23Kansas State v TCU67-80
08/02/23Kansas State v TCU82-61
14/01/23TCU v Kansas State82-68
06/02/22TCU v Kansas State63-75
13/01/22Kansas State v TCU57-60
10/03/21TCU v Kansas State50-71
20/02/21TCU v Kansas State54-62
02/01/21Kansas State v TCU60-67
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AColorado61-87
29/01/26HHouston70-79
24/01/26ABaylor97-90
21/01/26HOklahoma State68-65
17/01/26AUtah Utes79-82
15/01/26ABrigham Young70-76
10/01/26HArizona73-86
07/01/26AKansas100-104 OT
03/01/26HBaylor69-63
30/12/25HJackson State115-64
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HIowa State61-95
28/01/26AWest Virginia54-59
25/01/26HKansas62-86
21/01/26HUtah Utes81-78
18/01/26AOklahoma State83-84
15/01/26HUCF Knights73-82
10/01/26AArizona State84-87
08/01/26AArizona76-101
03/01/26HBrigham Young73-83
28/12/25HLouisiana Monroe94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL59%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %59%67%43%
Points / game78.778.379.4
Allowed / game71.566.682.0
Point differential+7.2+11.7-2.6
Avg total150.2144.9161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %9%7%14%
Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLWLL60%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %45%60%14%
Points / game81.784.276.3
Allowed / game80.279.082.7
Point differential+1.5+5.2-6.4
Avg total161.9163.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona22220100%89.568.5+21.0
2 Houston2220291%78.961.4+17.5
3 Iowa State2219386%85.865.5+20.3
4 Brigham Young2217577%86.773.0+13.7
5 Kansas2217577%78.167.7+10.5
6 UCF Knights2217577%82.977.2+5.7
7 Texas Tech2216673%82.974.0+9.0
8 Oklahoma State2216673%86.580.4+6.1
9 West Virginia2315865%70.363.3+6.9
10 Baylor2213959%84.175.0+9.1
11 TCU2213959%78.771.5+7.2
12 Colorado23131057%81.478.4+3.0
13 Arizona State23121152%78.879.3-0.5
14 Cincinnati23111248%70.767.0+3.7
15 Kansas State22101245%81.780.2+1.5
16 Utah Utes2291341%78.881.0-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU424284
Kansas State463682
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