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TCU vs Kansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 63-62
27-24 36-38
Position#210
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game66.0
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Kansas State
USA
Position#216
Record7-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TCU v Kansas State
07 Feb 2026
TCU84
KANS82
04 Jan 2025
TCU63
KANS62
14 Jan 2023
TCU82
KANS68
05 Feb 2022
TCU63
KANS75
10 Mar 2021
TCU50
KANS71
20 Feb 2021
TCU54
KANS62
11 Mar 2020
TCU49
KANS53
15 Feb 2020
TCU68
KANS57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#207
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
71-48
71
48
+23
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H28/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H08/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H17/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H22/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
41-34
31-34
33-42
39-22
32-26
27-34
25-35
31-32
35-34
37-29
39-43
38-41
36-42
30-28
28-21
42-25
40-23
37-41
44-49
138.8Avg total
70.6Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.266.0139.2+7.258%
Season at home (9)73.461.1134.6+12.378%
Season away (3)72.380.7153.0-8.30%
Last 10 (10)70.668.2138.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)74.268.4142.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.073.1140.1-6.125%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.771.8150.5+6.854%
vs Weaker (5)78.867.0145.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H15/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H20/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
120-73
120
73
+47
H01/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A07/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
70-73 OT
70
73
-3
H18/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A22/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-43
34-33
25-23
49-33
46-27
37-44
29-32
36-35
44-36
36-28
63-33
57-40
39-35
32-53
27-36
36-27
33-29
32-55
31-29
39-38
148.2Avg total
76.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.470.7148.1+6.858%
Season at home (10)79.367.6146.9+11.770%
Season away (2)68.086.0154.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)76.371.9148.2+4.450%
Last 5 (5)79.277.0156.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.472.5140.8-4.137%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.372.0142.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (4)94.271.0165.2+23.2100%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
TCUKansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#207
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H28/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/12
NCAA
67.0Avg total
34.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.468.7+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.832.369.1+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)33.534.868.3-1.423%-
Last 10 (10)34.732.367.0+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.869.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.234.265.4-2.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.633.270.8+4.454%-
vs Weaker (5)39.232.071.2+7.260%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H15/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H20/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H23/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H01/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A22/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H31/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.265.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.931.166.0+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)29.436.365.8-6.917%-
Last 10 (10)36.832.369.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.471.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.733.262.9-3.532%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.833.566.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker (4)45.028.573.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
TCU wins
5
Kansas State wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Kansas State v TCU72-75
10/03/23Kansas State v TCU67-80
08/02/23Kansas State v TCU82-61
14/01/23TCU v Kansas State82-68
06/02/22TCU v Kansas State63-75
13/01/22Kansas State v TCU57-60
10/03/21TCU v Kansas State50-71
20/02/21TCU v Kansas State54-62
02/01/21Kansas State v TCU60-67
12/03/20TCU v Kansas State49-53
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24AArizona81-90
22/12/24HMontana State82-48
17/12/24HSouth Alabama58-49
08/12/24HVanderbilt74-83
06/12/24HXavier76-72
29/11/24AColorado State72-76 OT
28/11/24HSanta Clara52-69
20/11/24HAlcorn State71-48
15/11/24AMichigan64-76
13/11/24HTexas State76-71
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HCincinnati70-67
22/12/24AWichita State65-84
18/12/24HDrake70-73 OT
07/12/24ASt. John's (N.Y.)71-88
01/12/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff120-73
25/11/24HLongwood80-64
25/11/24HLiberty65-67
23/11/24HGeorge Washington83-71
20/11/24HMiss. Valley St.74-56
15/11/24HLSU65-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %58%78%0%
Points / game73.273.472.3
Allowed / game66.061.180.7
Point differential+7.2+12.3-8.3
Avg total139.2134.6153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%33%
Kansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %58%70%0%
Points / game77.479.368.0
Allowed / game70.767.686.0
Point differential+6.8+11.7-18.0
Avg total148.1146.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State1312192%86.665.0+21.6
2 West Virginia1311285%75.662.5+13.1
3 UCF Knights1210283%81.374.8+6.6
4 Houston1310377%77.254.6+22.6
5 Cincinnati1310377%77.560.5+17.1
6 Brigham Young1310377%82.565.7+16.8
7 Texas Tech129375%86.065.2+20.8
8 Kansas129375%77.765.7+12.0
9 Colorado129375%76.169.2+6.8
10 Arizona State129375%76.771.8+4.9
11 Baylor139469%84.068.9+15.1
12 Utah Utes128467%84.268.0+16.2
13 Arizona138562%84.868.6+16.2
14 Oklahoma State138562%74.273.1+1.2
15 TCU127558%73.266.0+7.2
16 Kansas State127558%77.470.7+6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU273663
Kansas State243862
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