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TCU vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-42
47-20 30-22
Position#111
Record10-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game68.5
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#290
Record6-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#359
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H15/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
101-64
101
64
+37
H28/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H17/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A21/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H22/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A24/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-22
55-33
41-26
45-26
41-33
52-41
51-29
50-35
44-36
40-47
35-36
31-38
26-30
53-29
47-41
64-46
36-48
39-40
36-27
29-24
153.5Avg total
84.8Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.568.5155.0+18.083%
Season at home (9)86.466.8153.2+19.778%
Season away (3)86.773.7160.3+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.868.7153.5+16.180%
Last 5 (5)79.271.8151.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.084.0165.0-3.00%
vs Similar (15)70.372.9143.3-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.467.1153.5+19.286%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A11/11
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
113-63
113
63
+50
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H26/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
100-48
100
48
+52
H30/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
47-90
47
90
-43
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
130-53
130
53
+77
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
31-43
30-46
34-40
60-30
53-33
35-28
22-26
44-45
53-41
33-42
28-29
48-30
52-18
16-46
31-44
27-38
49-38
63-25
67-28
156.2Avg total
83.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.973.5150.4+3.450%
Season at home (6)100.370.0170.3+30.383%
Season away (6)53.577.0130.5-23.517%
Last 10 (10)83.173.1156.2+10.060%
Last 5 (5)87.872.2160.0+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.379.3146.6-12.031%
vs Similar (6)70.275.2145.3-5.017%
vs Weaker (10)81.467.9149.3+13.580%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +8.0+8.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +8.0+8.0
TCUTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#359
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H18/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H28/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A21/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A24/12
NCAA
71.8Avg total
39.0Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.970.7+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.432.471.8+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)33.835.669.4-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.871.8+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.472.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.033.071.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (15)33.935.769.7-1.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.831.971.7+7.979%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A11/11
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H26/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H30/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
16-46
16
46
-30
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
63-25
63
25
+38
H18/12
NCAA
75.4Avg total
38.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.370.5-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.775.0+3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)29.136.966.1-7.827%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.875.4+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.138.469.5-7.323%-
vs Similar (6)29.235.564.7-6.317%-
vs Weaker (10)38.535.273.7+3.340%-
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TCU wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AHawaii65-51
22/12/23HNevada75-88
21/12/23AOld Dominion111-87
17/12/23HArizona State79-59
09/12/23HClemson66-74
02/12/23AGeorgetown84-83
28/11/23HHouston Christian101-64
22/11/23HAlcorn State93-74
18/11/23HMiss. Valley St.86-52
15/11/23HUTRGV88-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23HArlington Baptist Patriots130-53
11/12/23HNorthern Colorado101-99 OT
03/12/23ASMU Mustangs47-90
30/11/23HDallas Christian100-48
26/11/23HDenver61-71
21/11/23HStonehill97-86
18/11/23ASaint Josephs Hawks57-54
16/11/23HUniversity of Sciences113-63
12/11/23AIPFW64-86
11/11/23AKentucky61-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW83%
HomeWWLWL78%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %83%78%100%
Points / game86.586.486.7
Allowed / game68.566.873.7
Point differential+18.0+19.7+13.0
Avg total155.0153.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%78%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game76.9100.353.5
Allowed / game73.570.077.0
Point differential+3.4+30.3-23.5
Avg total150.4170.3130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston13130100%75.949.4+26.5
2 Brigham Young1312192%90.461.5+28.8
3 Kansas1312192%79.665.3+14.3
4 Iowa State1311285%86.259.1+27.2
5 Cincinnati1311285%82.165.8+16.2
6 Colorado1311285%84.268.8+15.4
7 Texas Tech1311285%78.064.5+13.5
8 Utah Utes1311285%81.769.3+12.4
9 Baylor1210283%88.468.5+19.9
10 TCU1210283%86.568.5+18.0
11 Arizona1310377%92.373.4+18.9
12 UCF Knights129375%78.664.2+14.4
13 Kansas State129375%77.070.6+6.4
14 Arizona State138562%67.969.8-1.8
15 Oklahoma State127558%75.767.1+8.6
16 West Virginia135838%68.369.5-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1311285%80.859.2+21.6
2 Stephen F. Austin138562%78.168.1+10.0
3 Texas A&M-CC137654%76.967.1+9.8
4 TX A&M Commerce126650%76.973.5+3.4
5 Lamar136746%82.578.0+4.5
6 New Orleans135838%74.476.6-2.2
7 Nicholls State135838%72.275.7-3.5
8 SE Louisiana135838%67.972.2-4.2
9 Incarnate Word124833%74.877.9-3.1
10 UTRGV134931%73.779.2-5.5
11 Houston Christian112918%69.683.2-13.5
12 Northwestern St.1321115%69.281.8-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU473077
TX A&M Commerce202242
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