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TCU vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-79
36-36 41-43
Position#111
Record20-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game71.4
TCU
USA
vs
UCF Knights 🏆
USA
Position#180
Record15-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · TCU v UCF Knights
01 Mar 2025
TCU89
UCF 78
09 Mar 2024
TCU77
UCF 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#64
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A10/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H24/02
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A03/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
45-42
32-43
34-34
22-30
37-41
47-35
34-30
24-28
51-44
38-38
43-44
39-32
36-25
23-25
31-37
46-29
29-58
53-38
40-43
147.6Avg total
74.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.571.4151.9+9.167%
Season at home (18)79.866.3146.1+13.572%
Season away (12)81.779.1160.8+2.658%
Last 10 (10)74.473.2147.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)75.673.8149.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.574.5143.0-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.877.7154.5-0.936%
vs Weaker (15)86.565.9152.4+20.5100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A10/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H17/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H24/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H02/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
31-45
34-27
40-36
25-31
34-35
26-39
62-51
30-37
44-39
30-37
37-40
36-32
39-29
38-42
39-29
29-36
23-24
31-28
28-39
140.2Avg total
69.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.066.7137.7+4.452%
Season at home (19)72.962.5135.5+10.463%
Season away (10)67.474.5141.9-7.130%
Last 10 (10)69.470.8140.2-1.430%
Last 5 (5)66.067.2133.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.368.9129.1-8.60%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.169.8141.9+2.353%
vs Weaker (8)76.259.0135.2+17.288%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +1.0+1.0
TCUUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#64
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A10/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A03/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A07/03
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.4Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.833.671.4+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.932.970.8+5.161%-
Last 30 away (12)37.634.872.3+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.469.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.472.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.833.564.2-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.536.872.4-1.336%-
vs Weaker (15)41.331.372.7+10.080%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H17/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H02/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
31.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.830.161.9+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.127.161.2+7.068%-
Last 30 away (11)27.835.263.0-7.418%-
Last 10 (10)31.734.165.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.067.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.631.758.3-5.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.631.963.5-0.347%-
vs Weaker (8)36.825.262.0+11.575%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TCU wins
0
UCF Knights wins
DateGameScore
29/03/17UCF Knights v TCU53-68
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AWest Virginia93-81
03/03/24ABrigham Young75-87
27/02/24HBaylor54-62
24/02/24HCincinnati75-57
21/02/24ATexas Tech81-82
17/02/24AKansas State75-72
13/02/24HWest Virginia81-65
10/02/24AIowa State59-71
03/02/24HTexas66-77
31/01/24HTexas Tech85-78
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HHouston59-67
02/03/24HIowa State52-60
29/02/24AOklahoma State77-71
24/02/24HTexas Tech75-61
21/02/24AWest Virginia67-77
17/02/24HCincinnati74-76
14/02/24ABrigham Young88-90
10/02/24ATexas Tech59-66
03/02/24HOklahoma74-63
01/02/24HBaylor69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWLWWL72%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %67%72%58%
Points / game80.579.881.7
Allowed / game71.466.379.1
Point differential+9.1+13.5+2.6
Avg total151.9146.1160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %7%0%17%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWLWLL63%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %52%63%30%
Points / game71.072.967.4
Allowed / game66.762.574.5
Point differential+4.4+10.4-7.1
Avg total137.7135.5141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3128390%74.256.9+17.3
2 Arizona3024680%90.373.0+17.3
3 Iowa State3124777%75.762.1+13.7
4 Baylor3022873%82.071.3+10.7
5 Kansas3122971%76.068.6+7.4
6 Brigham Young3021970%82.169.4+12.7
7 Colorado3021970%80.872.6+8.2
8 Texas Tech3021970%75.969.0+6.8
9 TCU30201067%80.571.4+9.1
10 Utah Utes30181260%78.873.4+5.4
11 Cincinnati31181358%74.867.8+7.0
12 Kansas State31181358%72.270.2+2.0
13 UCF Knights29151452%71.066.7+4.4
14 Arizona State30141647%70.274.0-3.8
15 Oklahoma State30121840%71.372.2-0.9
16 West Virginia3192229%69.376.4-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU364177
UCF Knights364379
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