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TCU vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 54-62
23-25 31-37
Position#111
Record19-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Baylor 🏆
USA
Position#58
Record19-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · TCU v Baylor
19 Jan 2027
TCU v BAYL
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TCU69
BAYL63
04 Mar 2025
TCU58
BAYL61
26 Feb 2024
TCU54
BAYL62
11 Feb 2023
TCU68
BAYL72
08 Jan 2022
TCU64
BAYL76
09 Jan 2021
TCU49
BAYL67
29 Feb 2020
TCU75
BAYL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#18
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A10/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-44
46-29
33-37
41-32
35-40
41-36
40-36
45-42
32-43
34-34
22-30
37-41
47-35
34-30
24-28
51-44
38-38
43-44
39-32
36-25
151.9Avg total
77.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.370.8152.1+10.470%
Season at home (17)81.366.5147.8+14.876%
Season away (10)81.278.1159.3+3.160%
Last 10 (10)77.374.6151.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)74.269.4143.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.073.8143.8-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.977.4154.3-0.542%
vs Weaker (14)86.064.9150.9+21.1100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A20/01
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
H27/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H14/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-42
32-33
40-35
36-41
32-38
45-31
40-28
30-40
36-35
43-38
28-34
33-30
40-27
39-35
42-34
52-47
37-42
34-36
25-41
44-28
153.9Avg total
78.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.371.4153.7+11.070%
Season at home (16)86.968.3155.2+18.688%
Season away (11)75.675.8151.5-0.245%
Last 10 (10)78.275.7153.9+2.550%
Last 5 (5)76.273.4149.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.077.3155.3+0.767%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.176.2153.3+0.947%
vs Weaker (12)87.864.2152.1+23.692%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
TCUBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#18
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H20/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A10/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H24/02
NCAA
69.9Avg total
33.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.371.4+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.733.972.7+4.861%-
Last 30 away (12)34.734.869.4-0.142%-
Last 10 (10)33.636.369.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.666.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.834.563.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.938.274.1-2.233%-
vs Weaker (14)40.530.971.4+9.679%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/01
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H27/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H24/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.871.5+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.932.772.6+7.268%-
Last 30 away (11)33.835.769.5-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.135.671.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.670.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.037.370.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.737.172.7-1.433%-
vs Weaker (12)41.328.970.2+12.483%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
TCU wins
5
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Baylor v TCU102-105 OT
11/02/23TCU v Baylor68-72
05/01/23Baylor v TCU87-88
19/02/22Baylor v TCU72-62
08/01/22TCU v Baylor64-76
09/01/21TCU v Baylor49-67
29/02/20TCU v Baylor75-72
01/02/20Baylor v TCU68-52
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HCincinnati75-57
21/02/24ATexas Tech81-82
17/02/24AKansas State75-72
13/02/24HWest Virginia81-65
10/02/24AIowa State59-71
03/02/24HTexas66-77
31/01/24HTexas Tech85-78
27/01/24ABaylor105-102 OT
24/01/24AOklahoma State74-69
20/01/24HIowa State72-73
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HHouston76-82 OT
21/02/24ABrigham Young71-78
17/02/24AWest Virginia94-81
14/02/24HOklahoma79-62
10/02/24AKansas61-64
07/02/24HTexas Tech79-73
04/02/24HIowa State70-68
01/02/24AUCF Knights77-69
27/01/24HTCU102-105 OT
20/01/24ATexas73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeLWLWW76%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %70%76%60%
Points / game81.381.381.2
Allowed / game70.866.578.1
Point differential+10.4+14.8+3.1
Avg total152.1147.8159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%59%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %7%0%20%
Baylor
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL70%
HomeLWWWL88%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %70%88%45%
Points / game82.386.975.6
Allowed / game71.468.375.8
Point differential+11.0+18.6-0.2
Avg total153.7155.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %15%12%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston2724389%74.256.1+18.1
2 Arizona2721678%90.173.1+16.9
3 Iowa State2721678%77.962.9+15.0
4 Kansas2721678%77.067.6+9.4
5 Brigham Young2719870%82.869.3+13.5
6 Baylor2719870%82.371.4+11.0
7 TCU2719870%81.370.8+10.4
8 Texas Tech2719870%76.069.0+7.0
9 Colorado2718967%80.672.4+8.3
10 Kansas State28171161%72.669.8+2.8
11 Cincinnati27161159%74.967.9+7.0
12 Utah Utes27161159%77.873.4+4.3
13 UCF Knights26141254%72.066.7+5.3
14 Arizona State28141450%70.273.3-3.1
15 Oklahoma State27121544%72.071.6+0.5
16 West Virginia2891932%69.475.1-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU233154
Baylor253762
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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