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Team FOG Naestved vs Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-62
21-16 19-18 23-15 17-13
Position#6
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#9
Record5-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game80.9
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 3
Other2012-13
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H20/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H24/10
Basketligaen
Glostrup
#14
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Aalborg
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A31/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A10/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H14/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#2
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
A22/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H28/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A06/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-20
16-24
24-20
21-20
27-24
15-15
12-11
–
–
–
–
21-17
16-18
21-19
26-16
15-18
18-16
12-11
14-20
21-23
32-23
24-18
20-14
–
–
–
–
14-26
17-14
19-15
21-16
25-21
27-11
17-11
28-22
23-23
28-22
21-17
24-16
157.5Avg total
83.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.174.0154.1+6.157%
Season at home (6)74.068.0142.0+6.050%
Season away (8)84.878.5163.2+6.262%
Last 10 (10)83.174.4157.5+8.760%
Last 5 (5)88.679.6168.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.580.2161.8+1.225%
vs Similar (9)73.077.9150.9-4.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.470.6152.0+10.975%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H13/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
77-105
77
105
-28
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#4
L
50-75
50
75
-25
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A05/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
31-25
21-27
26-15
21-25
12-30
22-26
22-24
–
–
–
–
13-16
11-30
11-13
15-16
13-20
15-11
17-15
17-16
14-14
15-14
14-13
11-23
17-14
10-22
9-22
12-22
16-26
27-18
23-16
17-17
18-21
14-16
22-20
20-20
23-24
15-16
21-24
23-18
152.3Avg total
71.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.980.9152.8-9.136%
Season at home (8)74.580.4154.9-5.950%
Season away (6)68.381.7150.0-13.317%
Last 10 (10)71.081.3152.3-10.330%
Last 5 (5)71.280.4151.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.683.8151.4-16.220%
vs Similar (3)78.378.3156.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Team FOG NaestvedAarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H20/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A31/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A10/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A22/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H28/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A06/12
Basketligaen
81.5Avg total
42.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.938.479.2+2.554%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.635.175.8+5.557%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.682.7-0.450%-
Last 10 (8)42.539.081.5+3.562%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.483.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.241.078.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (9)37.241.778.9-4.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.135.779.7+8.473%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H13/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A18/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/12
Basketligaen
74.3Avg total
33.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)34.639.473.9-4.836%-
Last 30 at home (8)35.539.975.4-4.425%-
Last 30 away (6)33.338.772.0-5.350%-
Last 10 (9)33.840.674.3-6.822%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.070.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.843.778.4-8.922%-
vs Similar (3)33.031.364.3+1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Team FOG Naestved wins
0
Aarhus wins
DateGameScore
08/10/12Aarhus v Team FOG Naestved61-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/12ASvendborg96-78
28/11/12HAalborg97-65
22/11/12ABakken Bears83-87 OT
14/11/12HSvendborg70-90
10/11/12AHorsholm97-78
07/11/12HSisu59-65
31/10/12AAalborg84-70
25/10/12AGlostrup95-61
24/10/12HVaerlose75-70
20/10/12HSvendborg75-80
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/12AVaerlose97-104 OT
29/11/12HSisu74-77
21/11/12HRanders83-77
13/11/12HBakken Bears48-80
08/11/12AAalborg54-64
30/10/12HVaerlose71-68 OT
28/10/12ASisu50-75
25/10/12ABakken Bears59-73
18/10/12ABakken Bears77-105
13/10/12HRanders97-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%50%62%
Points / game80.174.084.8
Allowed / game74.068.078.5
Point differential+6.1+6.0+6.2
Avg total154.1142.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%50%17%
Points / game71.974.568.3
Allowed / game80.980.481.7
Point differential-9.1-5.9-13.3
Avg total152.8154.9150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %21%25%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1413193%91.683.1+8.4
2 Bakken Bears1412286%89.777.4+12.4
3 Horsens1410471%87.279.7+7.5
4 Sisu1510567%80.174.5+5.6
5 Team FOG Naestved148657%80.174.0+6.1
6 Aarhus145936%71.980.9-9.1
7 Randers1551033%90.790.3+0.5
8 Horsholm1441029%76.985.6-8.6
9 Vaerlose1431121%77.485.7-8.3
10 Aalborg141137%76.891.7-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved2119231780
Aarhus1618151362
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