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Team FOG Naestved vs Randers Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#5
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game85.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Naestved
Other2026-27
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Randers
13 Jan 2027
TEAM v RAND
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
TEAM105
RAND104
09 Oct 2025
TEAM101
RAND90
10 Mar 2025
TEAM101
RAND102
15 Dec 2024
TEAM68
RAND82
03 Oct 2024
TEAM114
RAND109
04 Mar 2024
TEAM108
RAND114
11 Jan 2024
TEAM100
RAND97
01 May 2023
TEAM63
RAND97
24 Apr 2023
TEAM89
RAND81
06 Apr 2023
TEAM102
RAND87
04 Feb 2023
TEAM85
RAND91
13 Oct 2022
TEAM90
RAND85
14 Apr 2022
TEAM90
RAND85
23 Sep 2021
TEAM96
RAND94
15 Dec 2020
TEAM81
RAND83
17 Nov 2020
TEAM97
RAND102
07 Jan 2020
TEAM79
RAND98
02 Dec 2019
TEAM86
RAND79
29 Apr 2019
TEAM101
RAND92
16 Feb 2019
TEAM113
RAND91
08 Nov 2018
TEAM103
RAND90
30 Apr 2018
TEAM99
RAND100
04 Dec 2017
TEAM91
RAND107
16 Mar 2017
TEAM90
RAND86
30 Oct 2016
TEAM76
RAND88
21 Mar 2016
TEAM101
RAND78
14 Mar 2016
TEAM103
RAND83
14 Jan 2016
TEAM88
RAND98
19 Oct 2015
TEAM81
RAND69
13 Nov 2014
TEAM86
RAND103
11 Dec 2013
TEAM84
RAND86
07 Nov 2013
TEAM80
RAND95
06 Feb 2013
TEAM80
RAND77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Randers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNaestved
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
72avg 91
A21/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
68avg 91
H25/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
117-56
117
56
+61
116avg 91
H24/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
101-73
101
73
+28
88avg 91
A27/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
90-66
90
66
+24
91avg 91
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
117-55
117
55
+62
123avg 91
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
86-83
86
83
+3
79avg 91
H15/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
107-82
107
82
+25
103avg 91
A19/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
99-67
99
67
+32
96avg 91
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
113-80
113
80
+33
113avg 91
H28/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
28-24
13-29
24-19
17-18
21-19
22-29
21-21
27-21
32-10
27-10
31-15
31-15
28-21
24-15
18-22
25-12
24-12
18-24
23-18
27-17
35-12
30-11
25-15
28-18
22-16
15-21
21-28
22-20
26-23
31-15
28-24
19-16
27-12
30-14
23-25
35-15
21-20
25-26
32-19
174.4Avg total
99.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)103.870.2174.0+33.5100%
Season at home (4)101.571.2172.8+30.2100%
Season away (4)106.069.2175.2+36.8100%
Last 10 (10)99.774.7174.4+25.080%
Last 5 (5)104.473.4177.8+31.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.997.3183.1-11.429%
vs Similar (9)95.892.0187.8+3.878%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)102.179.4181.5+22.693%
This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
W
96-78
96
78
+18
97avg 89
H17/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
97-63
97
63
+34
105avg 89
H20/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 89
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 89
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
87avg 89
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
117-73
117
73
+44
123avg 89
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 89
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 89
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 89
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
110-80
110
80
+30
109avg 89
H30/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
31-26
27-13
17-16
30-12
18-9
17-22
32-20
21-22
33-32
26-12
20-18
22-10
15-33
25-29
21-24
13-16
23-20
25-14
12-23
21-16
24-22
38-15
34-20
27-27
14-27
25-25
20-24
18-22
31-14
19-23
25-12
25-28
21-18
20-22
18-26
30-16
27-17
17-27
36-20
178.2Avg total
95.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.285.8181.0+9.562%
Season at home (4)100.880.0180.8+20.875%
Season away (4)89.891.5181.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)95.582.7178.2+12.870%
Last 5 (5)98.084.2182.2+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)86.092.9178.9-6.938%
vs Similar (8)91.693.1184.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (14)99.379.9179.1+19.493%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +9.5+9.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +9.5+9.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
Team FOG NaestvedRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A21/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H24/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A27/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
62-29
62
29
+33
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A19/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H28/10
Basketligaen
86.3Avg total
51.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.044.092.0+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.443.992.3+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)47.644.091.6+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)51.634.786.3+16.990%-
Last 5 (5)52.433.886.2+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.151.492.6-10.314%-
vs Similar (9)46.349.095.3-2.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)52.637.089.6+15.686%-
This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H20/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H30/10
Basketligaen
87.5Avg total
46.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.342.289.5+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.342.192.5+8.280%-
Last 30 away (15)44.342.386.6+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.087.5+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.489.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.549.192.6-5.650%-
vs Similar (8)46.542.989.4+3.650%-
vs Weaker (14)50.037.987.9+12.186%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Team FOG Naestvedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Team FOG Naestved: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.130.1
61.3%
55.2%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.1
28.1%
31.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws25.117.9
71.3%
67.7%17.9
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.3
57.1%
55.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
31.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
67.7%18.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Team FOG Naestved
WWWWWWWWLL
Randers
WLWLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#5
+25.3
Net rating
+12.8
100.9
Offensive rating
97.8
75.6
Defensive rating
85.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
55.7%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.1%
3-point %
35.8%
57.3%
Assist %
65.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 97.8Defence75.6 · 85.1Shooting54.8% · 55.7%3-point %28.1% · 35.8%Ball care14.3% · 18.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Team FOG Naestved   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Team FOG Naestved wins
5
Randers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HBears Academy113-80
24/10/26AGladsaxe99-67
19/10/26AVejen107-82
15/10/26HSvendborg86-83
10/10/26ABMS Herlev117-55
30/09/26HCopenhagen90-66
27/09/26AHorsens101-73
24/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus117-56
25/05/26HBakken Bears81-87
21/05/26ABakken Bears86-98
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HGladsaxe110-80
23/10/26AHorsens84-94
18/10/26HBMS Herlev93-71
10/10/26ABakken Bears86-103
03/10/26HBears Academy117-73
27/09/26AVaerlose89-85 OT
23/09/26HSvendborg83-96
17/09/26AHolbaek-Stenhus100-84
20/04/26HCopenhagen97-63
17/04/26HSvendborg96-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.8101.5106.0
Allowed / game70.271.269.2
Point differential+33.5+30.2+36.8
Avg total174.0172.8175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game95.2100.889.8
Allowed / game85.880.091.5
Point differential+9.5+20.8-1.8
Avg total181.0180.8181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved880100%103.870.2+33.5
2 Bakken Bears770100%105.676.1+29.4
3 Svendborg86275%91.182.5+8.6
4 Horsens86275%87.679.4+8.2
5 Randers85362%95.285.8+9.5
6 Copenhagen74357%81.981.6+0.3
7 Holbaek-Stenhus83538%76.189.1-13.0
8 Vaerlose82625%82.492.0-9.6
9 Gladsaxe82625%77.990.0-12.1
10 Vejen82625%81.095.5-14.5
11 Bears Academy81712%77.492.9-15.5
12 BMS Herlev81712%77.098.1-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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