Team FOG Naestved vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 17:20

Final 90-86

31-31 18-18 18-18 23-19

Position#6

Record12-15

FormLLLWL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game79.5

Team FOG Naestved 🏆

Randers

Position#7

Record10-17

FormLLLLW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game90.8

BasketligaenRound 21

Other2016-17

Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Randers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Randers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG Naestved Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

81-80

A28/01

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

77-82

-5

A01/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

86-78

H09/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

85-96

-11

A12/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

78-83

-5

H16/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

68-71

-3

A22/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

80-89

-9

A26/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

65-73

-8

H28/02

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

89-71

+18

A04/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

82-89

-7

A13/03

Basketligaen

21-18

16-20

17-20

27-22

16-20

27-21

9-23

25-18

31-25

24-21

18-14

13-18

16-26

21-27

21-24

27-19

19-19

22-18

16-23

21-23

17-22

12-18

15-13

24-18

19-21

26-30

20-17

15-21

24-18

16-17

12-20

13-18

27-18

24-16

17-18

21-19

12-25

25-22

23-17

22-25

160.3Avg total

79.1Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.9	79.5	161.4	+2.3	44%
Season at home (13)	81.8	78.7	160.5	+3.1	46%
Season away (14)	81.9	80.3	162.2	+1.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	81.2	160.3	-2.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	78.6	155.4	-1.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.1	86.7	167.8	-5.6	11%
vs Similar (11)	82.5	78.0	160.5	+4.5	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	83.3	70.4	153.8	+12.9	89%

This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Randers

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

69-102

102

-33

H10/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

90-99

-9

A19/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

73-87

-14

H24/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

80-77

A01/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

69-103

103

-34

H07/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

66-83

-17

A11/02

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

92-106

106

-14

A17/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

83-85

-2

H25/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

91-111

111

-20

A28/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

89-79

+10

H07/03

Basketligaen

17-31

17-24

15-25

20-22

20-27

19-17

28-18

23-37

21-22

17-19

13-16

22-30

18-28

22-16

21-15

19-18

21-20

19-23

11-31

18-29

15-19

21-28

10-21

20-15

31-20

19-25

17-28

25-33

23-30

13-23

34-21

13-11

21-32

21-27

18-25

31-27

25-18

16-25

28-17

20-19

173.4Avg total

80.2Scored

93.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	82.4	90.8	173.2	-8.4	37%
Season at home (14)	83.5	88.1	171.6	-4.6	50%
Season away (13)	81.2	93.8	175.0	-12.5	23%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	93.2	173.4	-13.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	92.8	177.0	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	79.9	92.5	172.4	-12.7	29%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (5)	92.6	86.4	179.0	+6.2	60%

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Team FOG NaestvedRanders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	20.3	41.7	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	23.8	43.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	18.9	40.2	+2.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.7	43.0	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.7	45.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.3	23.1	43.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.7	22.0	42.6	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.7	41.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.6	43.6	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	17.5	43.8	+8.8	75%	-

Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

37-38

-1

A28/01

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

43-41

A01/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

55-46

H09/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

37-53

-16

A12/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

41-37

H16/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

29-40

-11

A22/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

45-51

-6

A26/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

40-35

H28/02

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

51-34

+17

A04/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-47

-10

A13/03

Basketligaen

83.7Avg total

41.5Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.6	40.5	82.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	39.7	80.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.2	83.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.4	81.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.9	44.9	84.8	-5.0	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.0	40.0	83.0	+3.0	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.4	36.9	78.2	+4.5	62%	-

This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

34-55

-21

H10/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

39-44

-5

A19/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-41

-3

H24/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-44

-4

A01/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

40-43

-3

H07/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

36-47

-11

A11/02

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

50-45

A17/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

36-53

-17

H25/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

42-59

-17

A28/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

41-43

-2

H07/03

Basketligaen

87.0Avg total

39.6Scored

47.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.1	44.5	85.6	-3.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	43.4	85.3	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	45.6	86.0	-5.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	47.4	87.0	-7.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	49.4	90.4	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	40.1	45.8	85.9	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	47.2	36.8	84.0	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.6	18.8	40.3	+2.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	18.9	36.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.8	16.5	33.3	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.5	17.8	39.2	+3.8	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	23.9	43.2	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	23.1	43.6	-2.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	24.6	42.9	-6.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.8	24.0	42.8	-5.2	21%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+2.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.4	19.4	39.7	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	24.1	46.4	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	24.1	45.2	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	23.0	49.2	+3.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.1	36.5	75.6	+2.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	39.6	79.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	37.2	73.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.9	43.0	81.9	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.5	36.8	80.2	+6.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.1	46.6	87.8	-5.5	32%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	44.6	86.3	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	48.6	89.3	-8.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	45.8	86.4	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	43.4	86.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.8	46.7	86.5	-6.9	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	49.2	46.2	95.5	+3.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Team FOG Naestved wins

Randers wins

Date	Game	Score
24/01/17	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	73-87
13/12/16	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	75-93
24/11/16	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	77-100
30/10/16	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	76-88
21/03/16	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	101-78
17/03/16	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	83-95
14/03/16	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	103-83
25/02/16	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	56-105
14/01/16	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	88-98
03/12/15	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	77-73

Team FOG Naestvedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/17	A	Bakken Bears	82-89
04/03/17	A	Stevnsgade	89-71
28/02/17	H	Bakken Bears	65-73
26/02/17	A	Sisu	80-89
22/02/17	A	Horsholm	68-71
16/02/17	H	Bakken Bears	78-83
12/02/17	A	Horsens	85-96
09/02/17	H	Svendborg	86-78
01/02/17	A	Horsholm	77-82
28/01/17	A	Horsens	81-80

Randerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/17	H	Sisu	89-79
28/02/17	A	Horsens	91-111
25/02/17	H	Svendborg	83-85
17/02/17	A	Stevnsgade	92-106
11/02/17	A	Horsholm	66-83
07/02/17	H	Bakken Bears	69-103
01/02/17	A	Svendborg	80-77
24/01/17	H	Team FOG Naestved	73-87
19/01/17	A	Sisu	90-99
10/01/17	H	Horsens	69-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved

Basketligaen 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	44%
Home	WWWLL	46%
Away	LLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	44%	46%	43%
Points / game	81.9	81.8	81.9
Allowed / game	79.5	78.7	80.3
Point differential	+2.3	+3.1	+1.6
Avg total	161.4	160.5	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	23%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	33% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Randers

Basketligaen 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	37%
Home	LLLLW	50%
Away	LWLLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	37%	50%	23%
Points / game	82.4	83.5	81.2
Allowed / game	90.8	88.1	93.8
Point differential	-8.4	-4.6	-12.5
Avg total	173.2	171.6	175.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	29%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	75% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	27	23	4	85%	95.2	78.1	+17.1
2	Horsens	27	22	5	81%	90.6	80.0	+10.5
3	Horsholm	27	15	12	56%	76.5	75.7	+0.9
4	Svendborg	28	13	15	46%	77.6	78.8	-1.2
5	Team FOG Naestved	27	12	15	44%	81.9	79.5	+2.3
6	Sisu	27	12	15	44%	82.1	83.3	-1.1
7	Randers	27	10	17	37%	82.4	90.8	-8.4
8	Stevnsgade	28	2	26	7%	71.6	90.9	-19.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team FOG Naestved	31	18	18	23	90
Randers	31	18	18	19	86

← all games of the day

Team FOG Naestved vs Randers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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