Team FOG Naestved vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 88-98

19-29 27-26 23-24 19-19

Position#3

Record12-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game71.1

Team FOG Naestved

Randers 🏆

Position#6

Record6-11

FormLLLLW

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game91.1

BasketligaenRound 18

Other2015-16

Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Randers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Randers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG Naestved Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

62-77

-15

H17/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

77-62

+15

A23/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

84-86

-2

A27/11

Denmark Cup

Randers

73-77

-4

A03/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

65-84

-19

A14/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

82-53

+29

A18/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

70-69

H29/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

84-76

A03/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

71-69 OT

H07/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

84-79

A12/01

Basketligaen

11-8

24-20

19-25

8-24

22-13

23-20

13-19

19-10

–

20-20

18-23

16-18

19-16

19-15

19-21

12-19

15-29

16-22

25-10

20-12

21-9

20-20

12-15

22-18

16-16

26-24

17-17

15-22

26-13

18-15

19-12

11-17

14-18

23-20

20-18

22-17

19-24

148.4Avg total

75.2Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.4	71.1	150.5	+8.2	75%
Season at home (7)	80.3	70.1	150.4	+10.1	86%
Season away (9)	78.7	71.9	150.6	+6.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	73.2	148.4	+2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	69.2	147.4	+9.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	79.3	81.5	160.8	-2.2	38%
vs Similar (1)	104.0	103.0	207.0	+1.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	81.7	68.9	150.6	+12.7	87%

This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Randers

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

77-78

-1

A25/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

87-78

A27/11

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

77-73

H03/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

87-76

+11

A05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

78-76

H10/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

111-119 OT

111

119

-8

A16/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

93-105

105

-12

A19/12

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

94-110

110

-16

H29/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

78-83

-5

A04/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

100-85

100

+15

H11/01

Basketligaen

25-17

24-15

18-21

10-25

–

20-20

23-18

18-16

16-19

19-17

21-22

28-14

19-23

17-21

19-22

21-17

21-16

24-27

30-22

18-23

27-27

–

22-28

25-28

26-29

21-25

19-26

25-22

18-19

16-16

20-26

28-22

22-23

30-14

176.5Avg total

88.2Scored

88.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.6	91.1	173.8	-8.5	35%
Season at home (9)	83.4	92.2	175.7	-8.8	44%
Season away (8)	81.8	89.9	171.6	-8.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	88.3	176.5	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	100.4	195.6	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	80.7	93.5	174.2	-12.8	18%
vs Similar (6)	88.2	81.0	169.2	+7.2	100%
vs Weaker (1)	81.0	90.0	171.0	-9.0	0%

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Team FOG NaestvedRanders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	17.5	37.8	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.5	38.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.4	17.4	36.9	+2.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	54%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	26.0	49.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	17.4	37.9	+3.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	22.9	44.1	-1.7	21%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	54%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.8	22.8	43.5	-2.0	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.6	46.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.1	24.0	45.0	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	20.2	42.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	14.4	33.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	31%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	27.0	46.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.4	17.1	37.6	+3.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.7	22.5	43.2	-1.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (8)	24.4	21.4	45.8	+3.0	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.2	48.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.9	23.1	44.1	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

35-28

H17/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

45-33

+12

A23/11

Basketligaen

Randers

38-43

-5

A03/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

38-36

A14/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

41-32

A18/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

32-35

-3

H29/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

43-41

A03/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

37-27

+10

H07/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

43-38

A12/01

Basketligaen

73.9Avg total

39.1Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.9	38.1	79.0	+2.8	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	36.5	77.3	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	39.5	80.4	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.1	34.8	73.9	+4.3	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	34.6	73.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	40.6	40.8	81.5	-0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (1)	42.0	53.0	95.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.0	34.5	75.5	+6.5	79%	-

This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

49-32

+17

A25/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

43-38

H03/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

40-39

A05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

36-43

-7

H10/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

54-49

A16/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

47-56

-9

H29/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

44-48

-4

A04/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

48-48

H11/01

Basketligaen

89.2Avg total

45.1Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.1	45.6	87.7	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	44.9	87.3	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.9	46.3	88.2	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	45.1	44.1	89.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	48.8	94.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	42.0	47.1	89.2	-5.1	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.8	41.7	83.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	38.0	85.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.7	18.4	37.0	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.7	18.6	35.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	23%	-
vs Similar (1)	33.0	22.0	55.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.6	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	21.5	41.4	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	22.9	41.3	-4.6	10%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.5	17.3	40.8	+6.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.4	18.6	40.1	+2.8	68%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	62%	-
vs Similar (1)	29.0	28.0	57.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.7	22.0	40.6	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	22.7	41.0	-4.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	21.2	40.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.7	35%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	20.8	41.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	30.0	48.0	-12.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	35.2	73.5	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	38.5	80.3	+3.2	80%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.1	36.2	70.3	-2.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	33.2	70.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.7	40.6	79.3	-1.9	54%	-
vs Similar (1)	62.0	50.0	112.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.9	32.7	72.6	+7.1	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.5	26%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	44.5	81.9	-7.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.1	40.9	82.0	+0.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	41.8	85.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.6	44.9	81.5	-8.2	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	38.2	82.0	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	52.0	86.0	-18.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Team FOG Naestved wins

Randers wins

Date	Game	Score
03/12/15	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	77-73
19/10/15	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	81-69
09/03/15	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	67-76
15/01/15	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	71-97
13/11/14	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	86-103
08/03/14	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	85-74
11/12/13	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	84-86
07/11/13	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	80-95
06/02/13	Team FOG Naestved v Randers	80-77
09/01/13	Randers v Team FOG Naestved	96-76

Team FOG Naestvedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/16	A	Horsens	84-79
07/01/16	H	Horsholm	71-69 OT
03/01/16	A	Sisu	84-76
29/12/15	H	Svendborg	70-69
18/12/15	A	Stevnsgade	82-53
14/12/15	A	Bakken Bears	65-84
03/12/15	A	Randers	73-77
27/11/15	A	Svendborg	84-86
23/11/15	A	Svendborg	77-62
17/11/15	H	Horsens	62-77

Randerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/16	H	Horsholm	100-85
04/01/16	A	Horsens	78-83
29/12/15	H	Bakken Bears	94-110
19/12/15	A	Bakken Bears	93-105
16/12/15	A	Svendborg	111-119 OT
10/12/15	H	Sisu	78-76
05/12/15	A	Stevnsgade	87-76
03/12/15	H	Team FOG Naestved	77-73
27/11/15	A	Vaerlose	87-78
25/11/15	A	Horsholm	77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved

Basketligaen 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	75%
Home	WWLWW	86%
Away	LLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	75%	86%	67%
Points / game	79.4	80.3	78.7
Allowed / game	71.1	70.1	71.9
Point differential	+8.2	+10.1	+6.8
Avg total	150.5	150.4	150.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	57%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	14%	0%

Randers

Basketligaen 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	35%
Home	LWWLW	44%
Away	LLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	35%	44%	25%
Points / game	82.6	83.4	81.8
Allowed / game	91.1	92.2	89.9
Point differential	-8.5	-8.8	-8.1
Avg total	173.8	175.7	171.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	11%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	18%	22%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Horsens	16	15	1	94%	86.1	70.9	+15.2
2	Bakken Bears	14	11	3	79%	95.2	76.4	+18.9
3	Team FOG Naestved	16	12	4	75%	79.4	71.1	+8.2
4	Svendborg	17	10	7	59%	83.5	84.0	-0.5
5	Randers	17	6	11	35%	82.6	91.1	-8.5
6	Horsholm	15	5	10	33%	74.9	77.9	-3.0
7	Stevnsgade	16	3	13	19%	75.5	87.0	-11.5
8	Sisu	17	2	15	12%	74.5	89.6	-15.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team FOG Naestved	19	27	23	19	88
Randers	29	26	24	19	98

← all games of the day

Team FOG Naestved vs Randers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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