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Team FOG Naestved vs Stevnsgade Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-65
21-14 17-20 19-16 27-15
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#9
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game93.8
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2018-19
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade
12 Dec 2018
TEAM84
STEV65
10 Jan 2018
TEAM97
STEV83
19 Jan 2017
TEAM80
STEV60
07 Dec 2016
TEAM76
STEV72
03 Feb 2016
TEAM76
STEV70
09 Nov 2015
TEAM92
STEV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stevnsgade winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H02/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H16/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A20/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A25/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H28/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
89-109
89
109
-20
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H08/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A21/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-110
86
110
-24
A05/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
30-26
19-25
14-21
34-14
23-17
18-14
22-16
30-18
20-17
23-26
27-22
23-24
34-21
13-30
22-15
22-22
27-13
29-14
23-22
19-26
29-31
17-26
24-26
23-28
31-23
28-17
21-22
19-20
23-20
14-20
19-20
17-21
19-28
20-18
19-17
28-22
20-29
21-30
17-29
177.9Avg total
90.7Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.584.9177.5+7.655%
Season at home (4)97.579.0176.5+18.575%
Season away (7)89.788.3178.0+1.443%
Last 10 (10)90.787.2177.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)85.694.6180.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.987.0168.9-5.136%
vs Similar (4)87.884.2172.0+3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)95.577.9173.5+17.680%
This opponent (Stevnsgade) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StevnsgadeDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
62-111
62
111
-49
H25/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
A07/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A14/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-88
71
88
-17
H16/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A28/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H10/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-118
57
118
-61
H16/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A20/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H09/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
21-33
9-32
18-18
20-26
19-30
13-30
18-20
18-19
19-17
16-20
11-22
16-27
13-17
21-29
21-15
4-24
22-17
15-25
21-15
17-24
23-25
17-29
21-24
23-26
12-18
23-16
21-32
12-28
17-32
18-34
10-24
23-29
22-21
22-17
16-28
16-21
16-15
15-15
13-16
162.4Avg total
68.6Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.693.8162.4-25.20%
Season at home (5)65.895.2161.0-29.40%
Season away (5)71.492.4163.8-21.00%
Last 10 (10)68.693.8162.4-25.20%
Last 5 (5)71.494.8166.2-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.197.0170.1-23.94%
vs Similar (3)83.383.7167.0-0.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -8.9-8.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.4-4.4
Team FOG NaestvedStevnsgade
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H02/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H16/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A20/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A25/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H08/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A21/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A05/12
Basketligaen
93.9Avg total
49.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.940.988.8+7.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.139.190.1+12.080%-
Last 30 away (15)44.842.787.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)49.744.293.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.649.695.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.043.187.1+0.945%-
vs Similar (4)49.842.592.2+7.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)50.338.889.1+11.580%-
This opponent (Stevnsgade) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StevnsgadeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H25/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A07/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H16/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A28/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H10/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
29-60
29
60
-31
H16/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A20/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/12
Basketligaen
82.4Avg total
34.7Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.848.885.7-12.010%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.149.186.2-12.17%-
Last 30 away (16)36.648.685.2-11.912%-
Last 10 (10)34.747.782.4-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)36.247.884.0-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.449.986.3-13.47%-
vs Similar (3)40.739.780.3+1.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Team FOG Naestved wins
0
Stevnsgade wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/18ABakken Bears86-110
21/11/18ASvendborg75-84
15/11/18AHorsens75-80
08/11/18HRanders103-90
04/11/18ABakken Bears89-109
28/10/18HEBAA Aarhus101-71
25/10/18AHorsens92-90
20/10/18AHerlev Wolfpack100-83
16/10/18HVaerlose97-61
02/10/18HSvendborg89-94
Stevnsgadelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18HVaerlose60-67
20/11/18AHerlev Wolfpack83-95
16/11/18HBakken Bears57-118
10/11/18HEBAA Aarhus79-92
28/10/18ABakken Bears78-102
24/10/18ASvendborg62-81
16/10/18HRanders71-88
14/10/18AEBAA Aarhus64-78
07/10/18AHorsens70-106
25/09/18HTeam FOG Naestved62-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%75%43%
Points / game92.597.589.7
Allowed / game84.979.088.3
Point differential+7.6+18.5+1.4
Avg total177.5176.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%75%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stevnsgade
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.665.871.4
Allowed / game93.895.292.4
Point differential-25.2-29.4-21.0
Avg total162.4161.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1110191%106.581.6+24.8
2 Svendborg108280%86.779.7+7.0
3 Horsens107370%96.483.7+12.7
4 Team FOG Naestved116555%92.584.9+7.6
5 Randers105550%89.194.7-5.6
6 EBAA Aarhus104640%79.385.5-6.2
7 Herlev Wolfpack83538%87.695.2-7.6
8 Vaerlose102820%74.286.5-12.3
9 Stevnsgade100100%68.693.8-25.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved2117192784
Stevnsgade1420161565
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