Team FOG Naestved vs Stevnsgade Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 76-72

13-17 21-25 29-14 13-16

Position#6

Record2-7

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game81.8

Team FOG Naestved 🏆

Stevnsgade

Position#8

Record0-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game95.7

BasketligaenRound 11

Other2016-17

Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Stevnsgade winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG Naestved Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

97-70

+27

A22/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-97

-18

A27/10

Basketligaen

Randers

76-88

-12

H30/10

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

#13

98-75

+23

A01/11

Denmark Cup

Sisu

67-65

A03/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

90-95 OT

-5

A09/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

89-95

-6

H17/11

Basketligaen

Randers

100-77

100

+23

A24/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

64-71

-7

H28/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

76-78

-2

A01/12

Basketligaen

28-22

26-11

23-20

20-17

16-29

24-20

19-20

20-28

22-27

14-24

24-22

16-15

–

24-16

22-14

10-16

11-19

23-22

17-22

17-16

23-20

24-27

22-22

26-27

17-19

–

19-12

12-24

12-12

21-23

23-15

19-22

19-25

15-16

164.7Avg total

83.6Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.2	81.8	161.0	-2.6	22%
Season at home (4)	76.0	82.8	158.8	-6.8	0%
Season away (5)	81.8	81.0	162.8	+0.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	81.1	164.7	+2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	83.2	167.0	+0.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	82.5	88.6	171.2	-6.1	9%
vs Similar (4)	74.0	77.0	151.0	-3.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	88.7	76.9	165.6	+11.8	71%

This opponent (Stevnsgade) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Stevnsgade Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

90-104

104

-14

H11/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

78-87

-9

A20/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

70-97

-27

H22/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

51-92

-41

A26/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

83-91

-8

H30/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

56-71

-15

H06/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

78-84

-6

A08/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

87-108

108

-21

H19/11

Basketligaen

Randers

62-83

-21

A22/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

70-92

-22

H02/12

Basketligaen

23-14

19-36

28-24

20-30

14-18

18-31

17-26

29-12

22-28

11-26

20-23

17-20

7-17

12-21

17-30

15-24

20-16

21-20

20-25

22-30

–

17-19

21-17

21-23

19-25

20-36

24-27

17-25

26-20

18-19

8-24

17-20

19-20

14-19

14-24

18-31

24-18

163.4Avg total

72.5Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	74.1	95.7	169.8	-21.6	0%
Season at home (6)	78.7	101.8	180.5	-23.2	0%
Season away (4)	67.2	86.5	153.8	-19.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.5	90.9	163.4	-18.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	87.6	158.2	-17.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	70.4	93.5	163.9	-23.0	0%
vs Similar (4)	86.2	82.5	168.8	+3.8	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Team FOG NaestvedStevnsgade

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.7	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	17.5	39.2	+4.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	20.6	43.7	+2.4	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	22.6	41.1	-4.0	28%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	22.7	42.2	-3.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	22.4	39.6	-5.2	8%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.4	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.8	22.8	40.6	-4.9	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.3	41.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	10%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.7	24.1	40.8	-7.4	14%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	24.1	41.2	-7.0	12%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	24.1	40.2	-7.9	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.4	25.1	41.6	-8.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.4	40.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	15.9	24.3	40.2	-8.4	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	22.8	44.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

54-33

+21

A22/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

40-49

-9

A27/10

Basketligaen

Randers

36-51

-15

H30/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

46-30

+16

A03/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-44

-4

A09/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-49

-3

H17/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

31-36

-5

H28/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-37

A01/12

Basketligaen

83.0Avg total

41.9Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.6	40.6	82.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	41.3	82.5	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.9	39.9	81.8	+2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.9	41.1	83.0	+0.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.2	80.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.5	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.8	36.2	76.0	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.6	39.8	84.4	+4.8	64%	-

This opponent (Stevnsgade) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

StevnsgadeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

42-50

-8

H11/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

32-49

-17

A20/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

33-54

-21

H22/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

19-38

-19

A26/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

41-36

H30/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

38-36

A08/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

44-63

-19

H19/11

Basketligaen

Randers

26-43

-17

A22/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

28-43

-15

H02/12

Basketligaen

79.4Avg total

33.7Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.2	46.7	81.9	-11.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.7	46.8	83.5	-10.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.4	46.5	79.8	-13.1	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.7	45.8	79.4	-12.1	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	44.2	79.6	-8.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	33.8	47.1	80.8	-13.3	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.2	44.0	88.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	18.1	39.2	+3.1	46%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	15.5	31.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	17.4	40.5	+5.8	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	24.0	42.1	-5.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	23.2	40.6	-5.7	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.4	25.2	44.7	-5.8	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.3	24.5	41.8	-7.2	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	18.2	39.5	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-1.9	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	21.5	37.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	24%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	23.4	41.8	-4.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.3	39.4	80.7	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	40.3	82.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.9	38.5	78.4	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	38.6	72.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.1	43.6	84.7	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	31.8	37.0	68.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.1	37.1	81.3	+7.0	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	45.3	82.7	-7.9	21%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	47.4	83.9	-10.8	12%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.5	42.8	81.2	-4.3	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.7	47.3	88.0	-6.7	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	47.4	88.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	36.7	46.4	83.1	-9.7	16%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.0	38.5	80.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Team FOG Naestved wins

Stevnsgade wins

Date	Game	Score
22/10/16	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	70-97
08/03/16	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	59-85
03/02/16	Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade	76-70
18/12/15	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	53-82
09/11/15	Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade	92-70

Team FOG Naestvedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/16	A	Bakken Bears	76-78
28/11/16	H	Horsholm	64-71
24/11/16	A	Randers	100-77
17/11/16	H	Horsens	89-95
09/11/16	A	Svendborg	90-95 OT
03/11/16	A	Sisu	67-65
01/11/16	A	EBAA Aarhus	98-75
30/10/16	H	Randers	76-88
27/10/16	A	Horsens	79-97
22/10/16	A	Stevnsgade	97-70

Stevnsgadelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/16	H	Sisu	70-92
22/11/16	A	Randers	62-83
19/11/16	H	Bakken Bears	87-108
08/11/16	A	Horsens	78-84
06/11/16	H	Svendborg	56-71
30/10/16	H	Horsholm	83-91
26/10/16	A	Svendborg	51-92
22/10/16	H	Team FOG Naestved	70-97
20/10/16	A	Sisu	78-87
11/10/16	H	Randers	90-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved

Basketligaen 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	22%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	WLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	22%	0%	40%
Points / game	79.2	76.0	81.8
Allowed / game	81.8	82.8	81.0
Point differential	-2.6	-6.8	+0.8
Avg total	161.0	158.8	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Stevnsgade

Basketligaen 2016-17

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	74.1	78.7	67.2
Allowed / game	95.7	101.8	86.5
Point differential	-21.6	-23.2	-19.2
Avg total	169.8	180.5	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Horsens	10	9	1	90%	93.7	80.6	+13.1
2	Bakken Bears	9	8	1	89%	100.7	84.4	+16.2
3	Horsholm	10	6	4	60%	74.8	73.8	+1.0
4	Svendborg	11	6	5	55%	80.1	77.8	+2.3
5	Randers	11	6	5	55%	84.6	89.6	-5.0
6	Sisu	10	3	7	30%	75.4	77.2	-1.8
7	Team FOG Naestved	9	2	7	22%	79.2	81.8	-2.6
8	Stevnsgade	10	0	10	0%	74.1	95.7	-21.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team FOG Naestved	13	21	29	13	76
Stevnsgade	17	25	14	16	72

← all games of the day

Team FOG Naestved vs Stevnsgade Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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