Team FOG Naestved vs Stevnsgade Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2018

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 97-83

28-21 23-22 22-21 24-19

Position#3

Record7-6

FormLWLWL

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game82.8

Team FOG Naestved 🏆

Stevnsgade

Position#8

Record0-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game96.8

BasketligaenRound 17

Other2017-18

Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Stevnsgade winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG Naestved Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

86-80

H12/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

70-75

-5

H20/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

116-99

116

+17

A26/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

62-87

-25

H02/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

85-91

-6

A08/11

Basketligaen

Randers

91-107

107

-16

H04/12

Basketligaen

Randers

81-78

A07/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

81-83 OT

-2

A13/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

87-82

H28/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

73-86

-13

A05/01

Basketligaen

20-15

25-26

18-6

23-33

25-17

19-18

16-18

10-22

32-26

31-30

27-18

26-25

11-11

17-31

8-18

26-27

25-25

20-22

24-24

16-20

27-28

28-35

19-25

17-19

16-21

28-22

19-12

18-23

23-16

14-29

13-15

22-12

25-20

24-24

20-25

18-13

20-21

20-18

18-26

15-21

170.0Avg total

83.2Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	82.7	82.8	165.5	-0.2	54%
Season at home (6)	80.7	78.7	159.3	+2.0	67%
Season away (7)	84.4	86.4	170.9	-2.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	86.8	170.0	-3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	87.2	169.8	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.1	84.1	158.2	-10.0	12%
vs Similar (12)	84.0	85.8	169.8	-1.8	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	84.4	73.3	157.8	+11.1	89%

This opponent (Stevnsgade) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Stevnsgade Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

67-89

-22

A05/10

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

86-93

-7

A18/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

67-97

-30

H20/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

74-109

109

-35

A26/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

73-96

-23

H31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

83-87 OT

-4

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

68-80

-12

A03/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

90-100

100

-10

H12/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

87-96

-9

A27/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-94

-15

H30/12

Basketligaen

18-25

20-19

16-29

13-16

–

12-21

10-25

19-33

26-18

14-35

16-24

27-23

17-27

25-28

17-23

14-20

17-25

14-14

22-22

15-18

20-17

12-11

19-30

14-15

23-24

24-23

27-34

21-19

18-24

15-31

26-19

25-18

21-28

23-25

20-32

15-18

21-19

171.5Avg total

77.4Scored

94.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.3	96.8	174.1	-19.5	0%
Season at home (6)	80.5	94.7	175.2	-14.2	0%
Season away (5)	73.4	99.4	172.8	-26.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	94.1	171.5	-16.7	0%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	91.4	172.8	-10.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	72.3	94.6	166.9	-22.4	7%
vs Similar (1)	83.0	87.0	170.0	-4.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Team FOG NaestvedStevnsgade

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	18.6	40.9	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.8	20.8	43.5	+2.0	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.3	18.6	40.9	+3.8	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.7	23.8	40.5	-7.1	17%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	24.2	42.0	-6.5	15%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	23.5	39.3	-7.7	19%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.4	23.7	41.1	-6.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	16.8	24.2	41.0	-7.4	18%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	25.5	48.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.6	48.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.6	23.4	47.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	23.7	41.7	-5.7	21%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	25.2	43.0	-7.3	15%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	22.5	40.6	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	25.3	45.0	-5.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	27.4	50.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	17.9	23.8	41.6	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

45-41

H12/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

44-35

H20/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

63-56

A26/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

28-42

-14

H02/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

45-47

-2

A08/11

Basketligaen

Randers

55-63

-8

H04/12

Basketligaen

Randers

44-43

A07/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-45

-8

A13/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

49-44

H28/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

40-39

A05/01

Basketligaen

90.5Avg total

45.0Scored

45.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	41.2	84.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	39.5	83.1	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	42.8	84.8	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	45.5	90.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	46.8	91.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.6	42.8	80.4	-5.1	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	46.3	44.2	90.5	+2.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	42.6	36.7	79.2	+5.9	67%	-

This opponent (Stevnsgade) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

StevnsgadeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

38-44

-6

A05/10

Basketligaen

Randers

22-46

-24

H20/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

30-59

-29

A26/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

42-51

-9

H31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

36-36

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

31-41

-10

A03/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

51-57

-6

H12/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-50

-9

A27/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

43-57

-14

H30/12

Basketligaen

86.1Avg total

37.1Scored

49.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.7	47.5	82.2	-12.8	7%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.6	49.4	85.0	-13.8	0%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	46.0	79.9	-12.1	12%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.1	49.0	86.1	-11.9	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	48.2	88.6	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	34.6	47.9	82.6	-13.3	7%	-
vs Similar (1)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	18.8	37.2	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.8	16.1	33.9	+1.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	22.4	40.3	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	24.1	40.9	-7.2	19%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	21.4	39.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.1	22.5	40.6	-4.5	32%	-
vs Similar (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.2	41.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.1	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	23.9	43.5	-4.3	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	25.7	44.2	-7.2	6%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.6	77.6	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	38.8	74.5	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	40.4	80.2	-0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	40.2	77.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.2	74.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.5	41.4	77.9	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.7	41.6	79.2	-3.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.9	35.4	76.3	+5.4	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.6	46.3	83.9	-8.8	14%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.3	42.1	82.4	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.3	49.8	85.1	-14.4	0%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.0	43.4	81.4	-5.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	37.6	46.7	84.4	-9.1	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	35.0	70.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Team FOG Naestved wins

Stevnsgade wins

Date	Game	Score
26/09/17	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	91-94
04/03/17	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	71-89
19/01/17	Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade	80-60
07/12/16	Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade	76-72
22/10/16	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	70-97
08/03/16	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	59-85
03/02/16	Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade	76-70
18/12/15	Stevnsgade v Team FOG Naestved	53-82
09/11/15	Team FOG Naestved v Stevnsgade	92-70

Team FOG Naestvedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/18	A	Horsens	73-86
28/12/17	H	Bakken Bears	87-82
13/12/17	A	Svendborg	81-83 OT
07/12/17	A	Randers	81-78
04/12/17	H	Randers	91-107
08/11/17	A	Horsholm	85-91
02/11/17	H	Horsens	62-87
26/10/17	A	Randers	116-99
20/10/17	H	Horsholm	70-75
12/10/17	H	Horsholm	86-80

Stevnsgadelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/17	H	Horsens	79-94
27/12/17	A	Svendborg	87-96
12/12/17	H	Bakken Bears	90-100
03/12/17	A	Horsens	68-80
19/11/17	H	Herlev Wolfpack	83-87 OT
31/10/17	H	Horsholm	73-96
26/10/17	A	Horsens	74-109
20/10/17	H	Randers	67-97
18/10/17	A	EBAA Aarhus	86-93
05/10/17	A	Randers	67-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved

Basketligaen 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	54%
Home	WWLLW	67%
Away	WLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	54%	67%	43%
Points / game	82.7	80.7	84.4
Allowed / game	82.8	78.7	86.4
Point differential	-0.2	+2.0	-2.0
Avg total	165.5	159.3	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	33%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Stevnsgade

Basketligaen 2017-18

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	77.3	80.5	73.4
Allowed / game	96.8	94.7	99.4
Point differential	-19.5	-14.2	-26.0
Avg total	174.1	175.2	172.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Horsens	14	13	1	93%	88.1	74.0	+14.1
2	Bakken Bears	10	8	2	80%	94.0	78.6	+15.4
3	Horsholm	12	8	4	67%	91.1	80.6	+10.5
4	Team FOG Naestved	13	7	6	54%	82.7	82.8	-0.2
5	Randers	12	6	6	50%	90.5	84.2	+6.3
6	Svendborg	13	5	8	38%	81.9	88.5	-6.6
7	Herlev Wolfpack	13	2	11	15%	72.4	91.6	-19.2
8	Stevnsgade	11	0	11	0%	77.3	96.8	-19.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team FOG Naestved	28	23	22	24	97
Stevnsgade	21	22	21	19	83

← all games of the day

Team FOG Naestved vs Stevnsgade Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature