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Team FOG Naestved vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-83
28-18 22-16 15-21 21-28
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game78.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Naestved
Other2026-27
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Svendborg
15 Oct 2026
TEAM86
SVEN83
04 May 2026
TEAM111
SVEN87
27 Apr 2026
TEAM88
SVEN101
30 Mar 2026
TEAM92
SVEN90
12 Nov 2025
TEAM106
SVEN78
20 Mar 2025
TEAM95
SVEN86
17 Oct 2024
TEAM108
SVEN105
18 Mar 2024
TEAM97
SVEN88
01 Feb 2024
TEAM86
SVEN76
20 Apr 2023
TEAM90
SVEN82
20 Dec 2022
TEAM101
SVEN84
24 Mar 2022
TEAM91
SVEN75
28 Oct 2021
TEAM92
SVEN102
08 Apr 2021
TEAM78
SVEN85
28 Jan 2021
TEAM77
SVEN81
06 Oct 2020
TEAM62
SVEN64
17 Mar 2020
TEAM v SVEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2019
TEAM69
SVEN79
07 Mar 2019
TEAM95
SVEN74
20 Jan 2019
TEAM78
SVEN85
02 Oct 2018
TEAM89
SVEN94
26 Mar 2018
TEAM96
SVEN78
19 Mar 2018
TEAM93
SVEN78
05 Mar 2018
TEAM106
SVEN79
01 Oct 2017
TEAM83
SVEN60
27 Mar 2017
TEAM91
SVEN97
20 Mar 2017
TEAM67
SVEN72
09 Feb 2017
TEAM86
SVEN78
13 Oct 2016
TEAM75
SVEN77
29 Dec 2015
TEAM70
SVEN69
06 Oct 2015
TEAM91
SVEN73
03 Nov 2014
TEAM82
SVEN88
20 Feb 2014
TEAM72
SVEN84
27 Jan 2014
TEAM85
SVEN70
24 Jan 2013
TEAM66
SVEN99
14 Nov 2012
TEAM70
SVEN90
20 Oct 2012
TEAM75
SVEN80
05 Apr 2012
TEAM76
SVEN74
29 Mar 2012
TEAM73
SVEN65
12 Jan 2012
TEAM83
SVEN77
20 Nov 2010
TEAM88
SVEN79
21 Oct 2010
TEAM68
SVEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
W
111-87
111
87
+24
H04/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A07/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
A14/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H18/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A21/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H25/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
117-56
117
56
+61
H24/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
101-73
101
73
+28
A27/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
117-55
117
55
+62
A10/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
19-27
29-10
32-18
19-18
28-17
22-20
26-25
24-22
18-21
19-14
16-20
22-21
15-36
18-20
26-14
21-26
28-24
13-29
24-19
17-18
21-19
22-29
21-21
27-21
32-10
27-10
31-15
31-15
28-21
24-15
18-22
25-12
24-12
18-24
23-18
27-17
35-12
30-11
25-15
175.7Avg total
97.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)106.262.5168.8+43.8100%
Season at home (2)103.561.0164.5+42.5100%
Season away (2)109.064.0173.0+45.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.278.5175.7+18.770%
Last 5 (5)101.267.4168.6+33.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.997.3183.1-11.429%
vs Similar (9)95.892.0187.8+3.878%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)102.482.8185.2+19.686%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
101-88
101
88
+13
A27/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H30/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
87-111
87
111
-24
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H07/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H14/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A07/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
21-22
28-24
28-14
19-19
17-23
9-15
18-18
32-31
27-19
10-29
18-32
18-19
17-28
20-22
25-26
23-22
27-22
28-14
25-20
13-24
25-16
13-23
19-29
10-22
33-15
29-25
24-21
20-29
22-20
22-16
22-10
28-17
27-18
25-15
22-24
27-23
22-12
20-22
23-13
172.1Avg total
88.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.278.8168.0+10.480%
Season at home (3)86.080.3166.3+5.767%
Season away (2)94.076.5170.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.084.1172.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)89.278.8168.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)89.782.7172.3+7.067%
vs Similar (9)85.290.9176.1-5.733%
vs Weaker (18)90.972.8163.7+18.283%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
Team FOG NaestvedSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H04/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A07/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H18/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A21/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H24/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A27/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
62-29
62
29
+33
A10/10
Basketligaen
89.3Avg total
49.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.744.993.6+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.143.992.0+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)49.446.095.4+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)49.240.189.3+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)53.431.484.8+22.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.151.492.6-10.314%-
vs Similar (9)46.349.095.3-2.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)54.039.093.0+15.079%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A27/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/10
Basketligaen
88.1Avg total
45.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.285.8+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.537.681.1+5.853%-
Last 30 away (13)48.343.691.9+4.769%-
Last 10 (10)45.242.988.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.741.384.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (9)44.145.289.3-1.144%-
vs Weaker (18)46.837.684.3+9.267%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Team FOG Naestvedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Team FOG Naestved: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.729.6
60.8%
55.2%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.0
27.9%
31.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws25.316.6
65.6%
67.7%16.6
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.1
53.6%
55.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
31.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.917.0
71.1%
67.7%17.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Team FOG Naestved
WWWWLLLWWW
Svendborg
WWWWLWLLLW
#1
League position
#4
+18.9
Net rating
+3.8
98.0
Offensive rating
96.0
79.1
Defensive rating
92.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.9%
3-point %
32.5%
54.9%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 96.0Defence79.1 · 92.2Shooting54.3% · 51.7%3-point %27.9% · 32.5%Ball care14.2% · 13.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Team FOG Naestved   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Team FOG Naestved wins
3
Svendborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ABMS Herlev117-55
30/09/26HCopenhagen90-66
27/09/26AHorsens101-73
24/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus117-56
25/05/26HBakken Bears81-87
21/05/26ABakken Bears86-98
18/05/26HBakken Bears81-91
14/05/26ABakken Bears93-92 OT
07/05/26ASvendborg95-80
04/05/26HSvendborg111-87
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26AGladsaxe92-70
02/10/26HVejen102-74
26/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus86-75
23/09/26ARanders96-83
17/09/26HHorsens70-92
14/05/26HHorsens103-78
07/05/26HTeam FOG Naestved80-95
04/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved87-111
30/04/26HTeam FOG Naestved63-75
27/04/26ATeam FOG Naestved101-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game106.2103.5109.0
Allowed / game62.561.064.0
Point differential+43.8+42.5+45.0
Avg total168.8164.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game89.286.094.0
Allowed / game78.880.376.5
Point differential+10.4+5.7+17.5
Avg total168.0166.3170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved440100%106.262.5+43.8
2 Bakken Bears440100%101.577.2+24.2
3 Svendborg54180%89.278.8+10.4
4 Horsens64267%84.280.8+3.3
5 Randers53260%95.088.2+6.8
6 Copenhagen42250%75.076.5-1.5
7 Vejen42250%83.092.2-9.2
8 Holbaek-Stenhus62433%77.790.7-13.0
9 Vaerlose51420%81.289.2-8.0
10 Gladsaxe51420%77.487.8-10.4
11 Bears Academy51420%78.291.0-12.8
12 BMS Herlev51420%75.896.0-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved2822152186
Svendborg1816212883
← all games of the day
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