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Cholet vs JL Bourg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game92.1
FranceLNBRound 11· La Meilleraie
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Cholet v JL Bourg
12 Dec 2026
CHO v JBO
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
CHO102
JBO96
26 May 2025
CHO71
JBO95
14 Dec 2024
CHO67
JBO102
09 Dec 2023
CHO78
JBO88
04 Mar 2023
CHO99
JBO88
22 Jan 2022
CHO79
JBO81
29 May 2021
CHO96
JBO89
09 Nov 2019
CHO88
JBO60
09 Feb 2019
CHO89
JBO82
05 May 2018
CHO69
JBO73
13 Dec 2014
CHO91
JBO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 79
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 79
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 79
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 79
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 79
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
21-12
14-20
31-20
15-23
159.2Avg total
78.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.086.0167.0-5.044%
Season at home (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Season away (4)79.281.2160.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.181.1159.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)80.285.0165.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.478.5162.9+5.960%
vs Weaker (5)91.872.4164.2+19.4100%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
89-93
89
93
-4
77avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
85avg 79
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
77avg 79
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#5
L
98-101
98
101
-3
93avg 79
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
29-19
24-17
22-25
28-26
24-22
20-26
18-17
19-24
34-21
22-15
15-19
33-28
15-25
18-15
23-13
19-25
13-21
17-29
28-21
31-13
25-34
18-24
24-30
27-20
20-19
14-21
27-24
24-25
22-32
19-22
12-28
21-20
15-16
18-16
12-16
16-19
28-28
17-15
16-28
173.1Avg total
84.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.192.1179.2-5.025%
Season at home (4)88.587.2175.8+1.250%
Season away (4)85.897.0182.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)84.189.0173.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)81.290.0171.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.287.8168.9-6.625%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.588.4173.9-2.933%
vs Weaker (6)87.779.0166.7+8.783%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
CholetJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A14/11
LNB
75.9Avg total
37.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.986.2+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.682.6-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.675.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.845.087.8-2.247%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.283.4+9.080%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#5
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/11
LNB
92.6Avg total
45.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.688.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.744.790.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.685.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.992.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.291.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.045.287.2-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.745.889.4-2.142%-
vs Weaker (6)46.241.387.5+4.867%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.8
55.2%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
34.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.416.7
68.4%
74.2%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WLLWLLLLWW
JL Bourg
LLLWLLWWLL
#9
League position
#13
+0.0
Net rating
-2.9
91.7
Offensive rating
95.0
91.7
Defensive rating
98.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.1%
3-point %
30.3%
70.5%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 95.0Defence91.7 · 98.0Shooting49.2% · 51.6%3-point %31.1% · 30.3%Ball care17.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Cholet   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cholet wins
4
JL Bourg wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Cholet v JL Bourg102-96
25/10/25JL Bourg v Cholet87-93
28/05/25JL Bourg v Cholet94-89
26/05/25Cholet v JL Bourg71-95
17/05/25JL Bourg v Cholet86-89
14/12/24Cholet v JL Bourg67-102
09/03/24JL Bourg v Cholet78-80
09/12/23Cholet v JL Bourg78-88
04/03/23Cholet v JL Bourg99-88
15/10/22JL Bourg v Cholet68-87
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASaint Quentin81-75
10/11/26ASpartak Subotica73-75
07/11/26HDijon71-97
03/11/26HParis94-90 OT
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRoanne77-90
10/11/26HBuducnost66-68
08/11/26AParis77-107
04/11/26ASlask Wroclaw88-84
31/10/26HNanterre98-101
28/10/26AChemnitz77-96
24/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque89-81
21/10/26HTrento90-79
18/10/26ALe Mans90-91
13/10/26ANeptunas89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game81.082.479.2
Allowed / game86.089.881.2
Point differential-5.0-7.4-2.0
Avg total167.0172.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
JL Bourg
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game87.188.585.8
Allowed / game92.187.297.0
Point differential-5.0+1.2-11.2
Avg total179.2175.8182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
12 Nancy82625%80.585.4-4.9
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque81712%79.189.5-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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