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Tennessee State vs UT Martin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-55
0-0 36-28 0-0 32-27
Position#51
Record21-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game74.2
Tennessee State 🏆
USA
vs
UT Martin
USA
Position#72
Record22-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee State v UT Martin
30 Jan 2027
TENN v UT M
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
TENN68
UT M55
18 Dec 2025
TENN78
UT M71
21 Jan 2025
TENN81
UT M80
28 Dec 2023
TENN75
UT M91
12 Jan 2023
TENN66
UT M77
06 Jan 2022
TENN78
UT M94
07 Jan 2021
TENN74
UT M62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Martin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#295
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-35
0-0
40-28
0-0
31-46
0-0
54-44
0-0
33-30
0-0
44-38
0-0
43-27
0-0
40-29
0-0
29-37
0-0
44-34
0-0
41-37
0-0
45-57
0-0
42-42
0-0
47-38
0-0
40-26
0-0
40-27
0-0
33-38
0-0
46-33
0-0
35-21
0-0
32-21
147.7Avg total
78.9Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.574.2154.7+6.470%
Season at home (13)87.372.5159.8+14.885%
Season away (17)75.475.5150.8-0.159%
Last 10 (10)78.968.8147.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)80.268.0148.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.076.3154.3+1.755%
vs Weaker (19)82.072.9154.9+9.179%
This opponent (UT Martin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT MartinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#295
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
53-56 OT
53
56
-3
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
42-67
42
67
-25
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
23-21
0-0
32-31
0-0
38-26
0-0
38-28
0-0
22-23
0-0
33-38
0-0
44-39
0-0
30-36
0-0
44-32
0-0
37-44
0-0
16-26
0-0
31-21
0-0
32-28
0-0
33-39
0-0
23-22
0-0
41-27
0-0
21-35
0-0
21-32
0-0
27-22
0-0
39-41
125.1Avg total
63.1Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)70.263.0133.3+7.269%
Season at home (16)68.256.3124.6+11.981%
Season away (16)72.269.8142.0+2.556%
Last 10 (10)63.162.0125.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)58.060.4118.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)64.567.1131.6-2.545%
vs Weaker (19)71.360.8132.2+10.579%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.3+8.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.3+8.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
Tennessee StateUT Martin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#295
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A28/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.272.2+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.734.574.2+5.262%-
Last 30 away (17)35.035.770.7-0.741%-
Last 10 (10)35.733.969.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.871.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.637.272.8-1.527%-
vs Weaker (19)37.834.071.8+3.863%-
This opponent (UT Martin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#295
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
22-23
22
23
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H06/03
NCAA
56.4Avg total
29.0Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.831.463.2+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.227.657.8+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.268.7-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)29.027.456.4+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)23.826.650.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.132.263.3-1.155%-
vs Weaker (19)32.330.963.2+1.353%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tennessee State wins
4
UT Martin wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26UT Martin v Tennessee State42-67
19/12/25Tennessee State v UT Martin78-71
19/02/25UT Martin v Tennessee State75-86
22/01/25Tennessee State v UT Martin81-80 OT
02/03/24UT Martin v Tennessee State96-87
29/12/23Tennessee State v UT Martin75-91
24/02/23UT Martin v Tennessee State82-88
13/01/23Tennessee State v UT Martin66-77
05/02/22UT Martin v Tennessee State61-69
07/01/22Tennessee State v UT Martin78-94
Tennessee Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AUT Martin67-42
27/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State79-71
21/02/26HSiu Edwardsville80-53
20/02/26HLindenwood89-80
14/02/26AMorehead State86-94
13/02/26ASouthern Indiana73-71
07/02/26HWestern Illinois83-56
06/02/26HEastern Illinois77-68
03/02/26HTennessee Tech85-90
30/01/26HUALR70-63
UT Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HEastern Illinois66-63
28/02/26HTennessee State42-67
27/02/26HTennessee Tech64-49
20/02/26AUALR65-67
18/02/26HSoutheast Missouri State53-56 OT
14/02/26ASiu Edwardsville81-76
13/02/26ALindenwood74-75
07/02/26HMorehead State55-61
06/02/26HSouthern Indiana76-54
04/02/26HUALR55-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %70%85%59%
Points / game80.587.375.4
Allowed / game74.272.575.5
Point differential+6.4+14.8-0.1
Avg total154.7159.8150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %3%8%0%
UT Martin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW69%
HomeLLWLW81%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %69%81%56%
Points / game70.268.272.2
Allowed / game63.056.369.8
Point differential+7.2+11.9+2.5
Avg total133.3124.6142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State3021970%80.574.2+6.4
2 UT Martin32221069%70.263.0+7.2
3 Southeast Missouri State32201262%75.070.8+4.2
4 Morehead State31191261%75.874.6+1.3
5 Siu Edwardsville32191359%71.064.7+6.3
6 Lindenwood33181555%77.872.7+5.1
7 Tennessee Tech31131842%73.374.5-1.2
8 Eastern Illinois33132039%67.170.3-3.2
9 UALR32122038%70.574.1-3.6
10 Southern Indiana3072323%68.773.7-5.0
11 Western Illinois3152616%64.976.8-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tennessee State03603268
UT Martin02802755
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