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Tennessee State vs Western Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 83-56
43-27 40-29
Position#51
Record15-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#366
Record4-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee State v Western Illinois
07 Jan 2027
TENN v WEST
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
TENN83
WEST56
06 Feb 2025
TENN87
WEST69
17 Feb 2024
TENN61
WEST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#295
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
90-68
90
68
+22
A09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A24/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
51-47
42-28
48-40
33-42
37-32
46-36
40-50
38-33
35-34
34-34
32-40
43-39
53-47
30-35
40-28
31-46
54-44
33-30
44-38
158.5Avg total
81.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.876.4157.3+4.465%
Season at home (10)88.375.3163.6+13.080%
Season away (13)75.177.3152.4-2.254%
Last 10 (10)81.676.9158.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)78.876.2155.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)77.082.3159.3-5.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.871.0150.9+8.880%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A03/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H09/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A24/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H30/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
44-84
44
84
-40
H31/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
23-39
28-42
40-48
26-18
28-41
24-29
31-28
41-50
38-36
32-39
34-32
31-51
33-45
29-36
45-42
20-38
24-46
30-53
42-44
141.7Avg total
62.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.576.5142.0-10.917%
Season at home (10)67.572.2139.7-4.730%
Season away (14)64.179.5143.6-15.47%
Last 10 (10)62.679.1141.7-16.50%
Last 5 (5)64.085.2149.2-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)63.779.1142.8-15.45%
vs Similar (5)77.070.6147.6+6.480%
vs Weaker (1)74.063.0137.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -10.2-10.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -6.3-6.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -10.2-10.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -6.3-6.3
Tennessee StateWestern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#295
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A23/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A24/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
36.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.771.5+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.732.870.5+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)36.036.272.2-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.571.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.871.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)35.739.074.7-3.330%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.232.669.8+4.670%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A24/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H30/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H31/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A06/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
28.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.666.9-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.831.663.4+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)30.938.669.5-7.824%-
Last 10 (10)28.839.067.8-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)28.443.471.8-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.937.367.1-7.427%-
vs Similar (5)36.232.869.0+3.460%-
vs Weaker (1)34.036.070.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tennessee State wins
2
Western Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HEastern Illinois77-68
03/02/26HTennessee Tech85-90
30/01/26HUALR70-63
24/01/26ALindenwood96-86
23/01/26ASiu Edwardsville66-74
17/01/26HSouthern Indiana73-67
16/01/26HMorehead State105-100 OT
10/01/26AEastern Illinois70-74
09/01/26AWestern Illinois90-68
03/01/26AUALR84-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26ATennessee Tech72-97
31/01/26HUT Martin44-84
30/01/26HSoutheast Missouri State74-78
24/01/26ASouthern Indiana64-96
23/01/26AMorehead State66-71
17/01/26AUALR79-86
14/01/26AEastern Illinois55-57
10/01/26HTennessee Tech54-59
09/01/26HTennessee State68-90
03/01/26ASoutheast Missouri State50-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %65%80%54%
Points / game80.888.375.1
Allowed / game76.475.377.3
Point differential+4.4+13.0-2.2
Avg total157.3163.6152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Western Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %17%30%7%
Points / game65.567.564.1
Allowed / game76.572.279.5
Point differential-10.9-4.7-15.4
Avg total142.0139.7143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin2519676%72.162.6+9.6
2 Tennessee State2315865%80.876.4+4.4
3 Siu Edwardsville2516964%72.064.7+7.4
4 Lindenwood25151060%79.972.8+7.1
5 Southeast Missouri State24141058%76.172.0+4.0
6 Morehead State25131252%75.675.9-0.3
7 Tennessee Tech25101540%74.776.0-1.2
8 Eastern Illinois25101540%66.769.8-3.2
9 UALR2591636%70.275.3-5.1
10 Southern Indiana2351822%68.372.8-4.5
11 Western Illinois2442017%65.576.5-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State434083
Western Illinois272956
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