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Tennessee State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 70-63
30-35 40-28
Position#51
Record13-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#295
Record9-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee State v UALR
29 Jan 2026
TENN70
UALR63
04 Jan 2025
TENN95
UALR86
30 Dec 2023
TENN90
UALR82
31 Dec 2022
TENN94
UALR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A31/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
90-68
90
68
+22
A09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
46-34
37-44
45-47
44-33
44-43
33-32
51-47
42-28
48-40
33-42
37-32
46-36
40-50
38-33
35-34
34-34
32-40
43-39
53-47
161.8Avg total
83.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.376.8158.2+4.565%
Season at home (7)93.076.0169.0+17.086%
Season away (13)75.177.3152.4-2.254%
Last 10 (10)83.278.6161.8+4.670%
Last 5 (5)82.080.2162.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)77.082.3159.3-5.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.169.7149.8+10.485%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A19/12
NCAA
Williams Baptist
#403
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H01/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H16/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-46
35-32
34-36
43-26
43-41
55-43
26-28
51-30
32-33
47-51
32-40
41-30
37-31
45-43
30-37
44-26
50-41
36-38
30-33
35-37
149.7Avg total
77.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.476.0147.4-4.645%
Season at home (7)83.474.4157.9+9.071%
Season away (13)64.976.9141.8-12.031%
Last 10 (10)77.572.2149.7+5.370%
Last 5 (5)76.071.2147.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.577.2141.8-12.715%
vs Similar (9)72.974.3147.2-1.456%
vs Weaker (7)77.466.7144.1+10.786%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +7.6+7.6
Tennessee StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H19/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A31/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A23/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A24/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
38.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.071.0+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.432.171.5+7.383%-
Last 30 away (18)35.335.370.6-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.874.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.875.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)35.739.074.7-3.330%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.531.669.1+6.080%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A19/12
NCAA
Williams Baptist
#403
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A23/01
NCAA
70.9Avg total
34.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.637.870.3-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.937.873.7-1.825%-
Last 30 away (18)30.337.868.1-7.428%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.670.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.472.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.337.866.1-9.515%-
vs Similar (9)33.638.071.6-4.422%-
vs Weaker (7)37.737.074.7+0.743%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tennessee State wins
3
UALR wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ALindenwood96-86
23/01/26ASiu Edwardsville66-74
17/01/26HSouthern Indiana73-67
16/01/26HMorehead State105-100 OT
10/01/26AEastern Illinois70-74
09/01/26AWestern Illinois90-68
03/01/26AUALR84-79
31/12/25ATennessee Tech88-76
20/12/25HSoutheast Missouri State82-91
19/12/25HUT Martin78-71
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ASoutheast Missouri State65-70
17/01/26HWestern Illinois86-79
16/01/26HEastern Illinois74-63
10/01/26ALindenwood82-74
09/01/26ASiu Edwardsville73-70
03/01/26HTennessee State79-84
01/01/26HTennessee Tech77-58
23/12/25HWilliams Baptist98-84
19/12/25ASouthern Indiana77-62
17/12/25AMorehead State64-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %65%86%54%
Points / game81.393.075.1
Allowed / game76.876.077.3
Point differential+4.5+17.0-2.2
Avg total158.2169.0152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%14%0%
UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %45%71%31%
Points / game71.483.464.9
Allowed / game76.074.476.9
Point differential-4.7+9.0-12.0
Avg total147.4157.9141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%57%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin2015575%72.864.2+8.6
2 Tennessee State2013765%81.376.8+4.5
3 Siu Edwardsville2213959%72.565.4+7.1
4 Lindenwood2112957%80.772.9+7.8
5 Morehead State22121055%76.476.5-0.0
6 Southeast Missouri State21111052%75.772.7+3.0
7 UALR2091145%71.476.0-4.7
8 Eastern Illinois2191243%67.269.6-2.4
9 Tennessee Tech2171433%73.376.4-3.1
10 Southern Indiana2051525%70.573.3-2.8
11 Western Illinois2141719%65.975.0-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State304070
UALR352863
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