Tennessee Tech will host Western Kentucky on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Volunteers at 72% to win against the Hilltoppers' 28% chance; the projected score is 81-74 and the total is 155.2 points. Tennessee Tech has a 1-1 record after two games, averaging 102.5 points scored and 88.0 points allowed, and sits 192nd in the league; at home they are undefeated 1-0, averaging 117.0 points and 70.0 points allowed, and their last five games show two wins and three losses. Their recent outing was a 117-70 victory over Blue Mountain at home on 4 November 2026, followed by losses to Mississippi St. 88-106 and Southeast Missouri State 73-89. Western Kentucky is undefeated 2-0, averaging 82.5 points scored and 53.0 points allowed, and is 57th in the league; their last five games also record two wins and three losses, with recent wins over Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers 82-48 and Morehead State 83-58, and a loss to Kennesaw State 87-96. In head-to-head play the Hilltoppers have won both meetings, most recently 82-70 on 3 November 2025. The spread is 3.5 in favour of Tennessee Tech, with an 80% probability that they cover, while the total line of 159.5 has a 39% chance of an over; the game carries a 5% chance of overtime. The Volunteers' dominant home performance against Blue Mountain suggests they will likely keep the Hilltoppers' scoring low.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tennessee Tech winWon
71.6%fair 1.40
Best odds2.37
Implied40.6%
Edge+31.0pp
Western Kentucky winLost
28.4%fair 3.53
Best odds1.64
Implied59.4%
Edge-31.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Tennessee Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Over 154.5
Over 154.5
50.9%
@ 1.25-23.9pp
Under 154.5
49.1%
@ 3.70+23.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.70
Over/Under 159.5 · main lineActual: Over 159.5
Over 159.5
39.0%
@ 1.83-18.5pp
Under 159.5
61.0%
@ 2.55+18.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.72
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.37
Marathon Be
1.99
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
28.1%
@ 1.99-19.6pp
Under 164.5
71.9%
@ 1.90+19.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
📊 3. Team Totals
Tennessee Tech total 75Actual: Tennessee Tech over 75
Over 75
72.4%
Under 75
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tennessee Tech total 79 · main lineActual: Tennessee Tech over 79
Over 79
57.4%
@ 1.87+7.6pp
Under 79
42.6%
@ 1.85-7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Tennessee Tech total 83Actual: Tennessee Tech over 83
Over 83
41.0%
Under 83
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Western Kentucky total 78.5Actual: Western Kentucky over 78.5
Over 78.5
33.9%
@ 1.33-34.0pp
Under 78.5
66.1%
@ 2.82+34.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Under
Betano
2.82
Western Kentucky total 83 · main lineActual: Western Kentucky over 83
Over 83
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 83
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Western Kentucky total 86.5Actual: Western Kentucky over 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 2.38
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Tennessee Tech 0Actual: Tennessee Tech 0
TENN 0
71.6%
WEST 0
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
TENN
No market prices yet.
WEST
No market prices yet.
Spread Tennessee Tech +3 · main lineActual: Tennessee Tech +3
TENN +3
79.0%
@ 1.97+30.2pp
WEST -3
21.0%
@ 1.88-30.2pp
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Pinnacle
1.97
SBO
1.92
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.88
Bet365
1.87
WEST
Pinnacle
1.88
Bet365
1.86
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
SBO
1.82
Spread Tennessee Tech +6Actual: Tennessee Tech +6
TENN +6
86.0%
@ 1.55+26.3pp
WEST -6
14.0%
@ 2.30-26.3pp
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Bet365
1.55
WEST
Bet365
2.30
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Tennessee TechWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Tennessee Tech +1
73.3%
2.23
Pinnacle
2.34
Bet365
2.12
-
-
-
+32.4pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +2
76.4%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathon Bet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
-
-
+32.4pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +1.5
73.9%
2.12
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Bet365
2.05
-
+31.8pp
Won
Tennessee Tech win
71.6%
2.29
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.31
Marathon Bet
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
+31.0pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +2.5
77.2%
1.96
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.00
SBO
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.93
+30.8pp
Won
Tennessee Tech -1
70.9%
2.31
Bet365
2.31
-
-
-
-
+30.8pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +3
79.0%
1.91
Pinnacle
1.97
SBO
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.89
1xBet
1.88
Bet365
1.87
+30.2pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +3.5
79.5%
1.83
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.84
SBO
1.82
+28.2pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +4
81.6%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.78
SBO
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Bet365
1.71
+28.0pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +5.5
84.3%
1.62
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
-
+26.6pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +5
83.9%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +4.5
82.0%
1.72
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.68
+26.3pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +6
86.0%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+26.3pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +6.5
86.3%
1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+25.3pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +7
87.9%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+24.5pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +7.5
88.1%
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+24.3pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +8
89.6%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +8.5
89.7%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+23.0pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +9
91.0%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+22.0pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +9.5
91.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+21.8pp
Won
Under 165.5
73.9%
1.77
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.74
-
-
+21.0pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech +10
92.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Won
Under 167
77.2%
1.64
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Lost
Under 166
75.3%
1.71
Bet365
1.71
-
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech +10.5
92.4%
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Won
Under 166.5
75.8%
1.67
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.67
-
-
-
+20.5pp
Lost
Under 164
71.3%
1.87
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.79
-
-
+20.3pp
Lost
Under 168
79.0%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+20.1pp
Lost
Under 165
73.4%
1.76
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.70
-
-
+19.8pp
Lost
Under 167.5
77.6%
1.60
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
+19.8pp
Lost
Under 164.5
71.9%
1.83
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
+19.6pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech +11
93.4%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+19.3pp
Won
Under 168.5
79.3%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech +11.5
93.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+19.0pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +12.5
94.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Won
Under 169
80.7%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Lost
Under 170
82.2%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Lost
Under 169.5
81.0%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Lost
Under 170.5
82.5%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Lost
Under 171
83.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+17.5pp
Lost
Under 171.5
84.0%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech +13.5
95.2%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Won
Under 172
85.2%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Lost
Under 172.5
85.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Lost
Under 174.5
87.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech +17.5
97.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +18.5
97.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Under 179.5
92.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech +22.5
98.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
Tennessee Tech +23.5
99.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Under 177.5
91.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Lost
Overtime: no
95.4%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+5.0pp
-
Tennessee Tech over 74.5
73.3%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Tennessee Tech under 98.5
95.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Tennessee Tech under 87.5
74.7%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech under 99.5
96.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Tennessee Tech under 96.5
93.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech under 94.5
91.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech under 90.5
83.2%
1.14
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech over 75.5
70.0%
1.31
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Tennessee Tech over 73.5
76.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Tennessee Tech under 92.5
87.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Lost
Tennessee Tech under 89.5
80.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Lost
Western Kentucky +22.5
91.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Tennessee Tech under 88.5
77.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Lost
Western Kentucky +21.5
90.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Tennessee Tech under 86.5
71.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Lost
Over 137.5
85.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Western Kentucky over 62.5
87.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
Western Kentucky +17.5
83.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
Western Kentucky +16.5
81.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Won
Western Kentucky over 63.5
85.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-8.4pp
Won
Over 139.5
82.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-8.8pp
Won
Western Kentucky over 64.5
83.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-10.7pp
Won
Western Kentucky over 65.5
80.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-11.2pp
Won
Over 142.5
77.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-11.4pp
Won
Western Kentucky over 66.5
77.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-14.0pp
Won
Over 144.5
73.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-15.3pp
Won
Western Kentucky +12.5
70.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-15.6pp
Won
Western Kentucky over 67.5
74.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-15.8pp
Won
Western Kentucky over 68.5
71.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-19.1pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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